The Magic What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Magic play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in |
8** Play-in |
9** Play-in |
10** Play-in |
11 | |
Win Next Game | 18 | 10 | 7% | 16% | 23% | 17% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
Current Standings | 17 | 10 | 6% | 16% | 22% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
Lose Next Game | 17 | 11 | 5% | 13% | 21% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in |
8** Play-in |
9** Play-in |
10** Play-in |
11 | |
Best Case Scenario | 7% | 17% | 22% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
Current Standings | 6% | 16% | 22% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
Worst Case Scenario | 5% | 13% | 21% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
Best Case Scenario Magic beats Knicks Wizards beats Celtics Pistons beats Heat |
Worst Case Scenario Knicks beats Magic Celtics beats Wizards Heat beats Pistons |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in |
8** Play-in |
9** Play-in |
10** Play-in |
11 | ||
55 of 55 | 100% | 72 | 10 | >99% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
50 of 55 | 91% | 67 | 15 | 95% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
49 of 55 | 89% | 66 | 16 | 91% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
48 of 55 | 87% | 65 | 17 | 84% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
47 of 55 | 85% | 64 | 18 | 79% | 21% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
46 of 55 | 84% | 63 | 19 | 70% | 28% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
45 of 55 | 82% | 62 | 20 | 62% | 35% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
44 of 55 | 80% | 61 | 21 | 53% | 41% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
43 of 55 | 78% | 60 | 22 | 44% | 47% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
42 of 55 | 76% | 59 | 23 | 35% | 50% | 15% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
41 of 55 | 75% | 58 | 24 | 28% | 51% | 21% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
40 of 55 | 73% | 57 | 25 | 21% | 50% | 27% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
39 of 55 | 71% | 56 | 26 | 15% | 48% | 34% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
38 of 55 | 69% | 55 | 27 | 11% | 44% | 41% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
37 of 55 | 67% | 54 | 28 | 7% | 37% | 47% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
36 of 55 | 65% | 53 | 29 | 4% | 28% | 52% | 15% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
35 of 55 | 64% | 52 | 30 | 2% | 20% | 51% | 23% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
34 of 55 | 62% | 51 | 31 | 1% | 13% | 48% | 30% | 7% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
33 of 55 | 60% | 50 | 32 | <1% | 9% | 40% | 38% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
32 of 55 | 58% | 49 | 33 | <1% | 4% | 31% | 41% | 19% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
31 of 55 | 56% | 48 | 34 | <1% | 2% | 21% | 40% | 28% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
30 of 55 | 55% | 47 | 35 | <1% | 1% | 14% | 36% | 34% | 13% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
29 of 55 | 53% | 46 | 36 | <1% | <1% | 8% | 28% | 37% | 21% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
28 of 55 | 51% | 45 | 37 | <1% | <1% | 4% | 20% | 36% | 29% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
27 of 55 | 49% | 44 | 38 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 12% | 31% | 33% | 18% | 4% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
26 of 55 | 47% | 43 | 39 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 24% | 35% | 25% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
25 of 55 | 45% | 42 | 40 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 31% | 31% | 15% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
24 of 55 | 44% | 41 | 41 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 9% | 25% | 34% | 22% | 8% | 1% | <1% |
23 of 55 | 42% | 40 | 42 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 16% | 32% | 30% | 14% | 3% | <1% |
22 of 55 | 40% | 39 | 43 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 25% | 33% | 22% | 8% | 1% |
21 of 55 | 38% | 38 | 44 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 16% | 32% | 29% | 14% | 4% |
20 of 55 | 36% | 37 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 25% | 33% | 22% | 9% |
19 of 55 | 35% | 36 | 46 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 16% | 32% | 30% | 17% |
18 of 55 | 33% | 35 | 47 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 25% | 34% | 31% |
17 of 55 | 31% | 34 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 17% | 31% | 47% |
16 of 55 | 29% | 33 | 49 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 26% | 63% |
15 of 55 | 27% | 32 | 50 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | 77% |
14 of 55 | 25% | 31 | 51 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 11% | 87% |
13 of 55 | 24% | 30 | 52 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 94% |
10 of 55 | 18% | 27 | 55 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
0 of 55 | 0% | 17 | 65 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |