The Most Important Games for the Magic are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Magic final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Magic fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Magic Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conference Playoff Spots | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7** Play-in Tournament Participant |
8** Play-in Tournament Participant |
9** Play-in Tournament Participant |
10** Play-in Tournament Participant |
11 | |||
| Magic (37‑28) vs Heat (38‑29) |
78 | Magic Wins | <1% | <1% | 3% | 12% | 39% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 30% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Heat Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 26% | 24% | 18% | 13% | 8% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Nets (17‑49) vs Sixers (35‑31) |
15 | Nets Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 33% | 24% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 30% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Sixers Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 30% | 23% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Suns (39‑27) vs Raptors (36‑29) |
13 | Suns Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 32% | 22% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 30% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Raptors Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 29% | 22% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Bucks (27‑38) vs Hawks (35‑31) |
11 | Bucks Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 31% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 30% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Hawks Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 30% | 22% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Mavericks (22‑44) vs Cavaliers (40‑26) |
9 | Mavericks Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 10% | 29% | 22% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 30% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Cavaliers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 31% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Spurs (48‑18) vs Hornets (34‑33) |
8 | Spurs Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 31% | 23% | 14% | 11% | 7% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 30% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Hornets Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 30% | 23% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Wizards (16‑49) vs Celtics (43‑23) |
7 | Wizards Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 31% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 30% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Celtics Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 30% | 22% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Clippers (33‑32) vs Bulls (27‑39) |
2 | Clippers Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 30% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 7% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 30% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Bulls Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 31% | 22% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Knicks (42‑25) vs Pacers (15‑51) |
1 | Knicks Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 31% | 23% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 30% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Pacers Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 30% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Grizzlies (23‑42) vs Pistons (47‑18) |
1 | Grizzlies Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 31% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 7% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 30% | 23% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Pistons Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 31% | 23% | 16% | 10% | 7% | 3% | <1% | ||