If it loses one of its remaining games, Arkansas St. will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 50% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it loses one of its remaining games, Arkansas St. makes the playoffs 50% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Arkansas St. making the playoffs.
(6)Arkansas St. opponents win (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 101 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Arkansas St. (6) | SunbeltSunbelt | 99 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Miami OH (16) | MACMAC | 98 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Kansas (57) | Big 12Big 12 | 93 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Ball State (3) | MACMAC | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Michigan St. (116) | Big 10Big 10 | 89 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Georgia (118) | SECSEC | 89 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Texas St. (42) | SunbeltSunbelt | 89 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Oklahoma St. (39) | Big 12Big 12 | 88 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | LA Monroe (88) | SunbeltSunbelt | 87 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
If it loses one of its remaining games, Arkansas St. misses the playoffs 50% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Arkansas St. missing the playoffs.
(6)Arkansas St. opponents lose (SOS related)
(6)Arkansas St. does not plays in the Sunbelt Championship Game
(42)Texas St. wins 12 or more games
(88)LA Monroe wins 12 or more games
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Missouri (119) | SECSEC | 116 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Maryland (105) | Big 10Big 10 | 107 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 107 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Clemson (93) | ACCACC | 101 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | North Texas (54) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 95 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Kent State (15) | MACMAC | 95 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Virginia Tech (98) | ACCACC | 94 | 9 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Arkansas St. (6) | SunbeltSunbelt | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | West Virginia (77) | Big 12Big 12 | 94 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Penn St. (121) | Big 10Big 10 | 89 | 9 | 4 | - | - | X |