Based upon current play, Arkansas St. makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 3% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
Based upon current play, Arkansas St. makes the playoffs 3% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Arkansas St. making the playoffs.
(6)Arkansas St. wins 12 or more games
(6)Arkansas St. plays in the Sunbelt Championship Game
(6)Arkansas St. opponents win (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Arkansas St. (6) | SunbeltSunbelt | 98 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Florida St. (97) | ACCACC | 89 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | LA Monroe (88) | SunbeltSunbelt | 88 | 10 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Louisville (80) | ACCACC | 88 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Penn St. (121) | Big 10Big 10 | 87 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Purdue (117) | Big 10Big 10 | 87 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | New Mexico St. (13) | Conference USAConf. USA | 87 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Marshall (50) | SunbeltSunbelt | 86 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Tulsa (30) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 86 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
Based upon current play, Arkansas St. misses the playoffs 97% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Arkansas St. missing the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 102 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | LA Monroe (88) | SunbeltSunbelt | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Oklahoma St. (39) | Big 12Big 12 | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Utah St. (65) | Mountain WestMntn West | 88 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Texas Tech (61) | Big 12Big 12 | 87 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 6 | UTEP (11) | Conference USAConf. USA | 86 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 7 | W. Kentucky (1) | Conference USAConf. USA | 84 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 8 | East Carolina (29) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Virginia Tech (98) | ACCACC | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Tennessee (115) | SECSEC | 82 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |