If it loses one of its remaining games, California will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 46% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it loses one of its remaining games, California makes the playoffs 46% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to California making the playoffs.
(87)California opponents win (SOS related)
(87)California plays in the ACC Championship Game
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Louisville (80) | ACCACC | 102 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Michigan (134) | Big 10Big 10 | 101 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | UL Lafayette (60) | SunbeltSunbelt | 95 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | California (87) | ACCACC | 95 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Northern Illinois (32) | MACMAC | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Wisconsin (100) | Big 10Big 10 | 88 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Oklahoma St. (39) | Big 12Big 12 | 88 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Arizona (12) | Big 12Big 12 | 87 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Old Dominion (51) | SunbeltSunbelt | 87 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Vanderbilt (96) | SECSEC | 87 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
If it loses one of its remaining games, California misses the playoffs 54% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to California missing the playoffs.
(87)California opponents lose (SOS related)
(87)California does not plays in the ACC Championship Game
(98)Virginia Tech wins the ACC Championship
(80)Louisville wins 12 or more games
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Sam Houston (36) | Conference USAConf. USA | 100 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | UAB (35) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 98 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Nevada (43) | Mountain WestMntn West | 97 | 13 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Purdue (117) | Big 10Big 10 | 96 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Kent State (15) | MACMAC | 96 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | South Alabama (37) | SunbeltSunbelt | 94 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Boise State (62) | Mountain WestMntn West | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Navy (82) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 91 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Rutgers (102) | Big 10Big 10 | 89 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | California (87) | ACCACC | 88 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |