If it wins its remaining games, California makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 90% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it wins its remaining games, California makes the playoffs 90% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to California making the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | California (87) | ACCACC | 110 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | North Texas (54) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 96 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Marshall (50) | SunbeltSunbelt | 96 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | South Alabama (37) | SunbeltSunbelt | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Ohio St. (129) | Big 10Big 10 | 93 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | New Mexico (40) | Mountain WestMntn West | 91 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Kent State (15) | MACMAC | 87 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Iowa St. (76) | Big 12Big 12 | 86 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Eastern Michigan (45) | MACMAC | 85 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Michigan St. (116) | Big 10Big 10 | 82 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
If it wins its remaining games, California misses the playoffs 10% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to California missing the playoffs.
(87)California opponents lose (SOS related)
(87)California does not plays in the ACC Championship Game
(91)Georgia Tech wins the ACC Championship
(98)Virginia Tech wins the ACC Championship
(98)Virginia Tech wins out
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Penn St. (121) | Big 10Big 10 | 102 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 100 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Troy (41) | SunbeltSunbelt | 95 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Ohio (21) | MACMAC | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Utah St. (65) | Mountain WestMntn West | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | California (87) | ACCACC | 92 | 12 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Cincinnati (72) | Big 12Big 12 | 91 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. (52) | Conference USAConf. USA | 89 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Georgia Tech (91) | ACCACC | 86 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Air Force (46) | Mountain WestMntn West | 83 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |