If it loses one of its remaining games, Duke will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 49% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it loses one of its remaining games, Duke makes the playoffs 49% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Duke making the playoffs.
(64)Duke opponents win (SOS related)
(64)Duke plays in the ACC Championship Game
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Black Knights (86) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 102 | 11 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Louisville (80) | ACCACC | 97 | 11 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Duke (64) | ACCACC | 96 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Houston (75) | Big 12Big 12 | 93 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Tulsa (30) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 91 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Arizona St. (74) | Big 12Big 12 | 89 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Texas St. (42) | SunbeltSunbelt | 89 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Kent State (15) | MACMAC | 89 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Florida (84) | SECSEC | 88 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Utah (53) | Big 12Big 12 | 87 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
If it loses one of its remaining games, Duke misses the playoffs 51% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Duke missing the playoffs.
(64)Duke opponents lose (SOS related)
(64)Duke does not plays in the ACC Championship Game
(89)Boston College wins out
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Houston (75) | Big 12Big 12 | 99 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Liberty (2) | Conference USAConf. USA | 95 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Alabama (126) | SECSEC | 94 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | South Alabama (37) | SunbeltSunbelt | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Duke (64) | ACCACC | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Tulane (33) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 91 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Michigan St. (116) | Big 10Big 10 | 91 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Southern Miss (28) | SunbeltSunbelt | 88 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Arizona St. (74) | Big 12Big 12 | 87 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Coastal Carolina (10) | SunbeltSunbelt | 86 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |