If it loses one of its remaining games, Duke will make the 2023 NCAA Football Playoffs 50% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it loses one of its remaining games, Duke makes the playoffs 50% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Duke making the playoffs.
(19)Duke plays in the ACC Championship Game
(19)Duke opponents win (SOS related)
(15)Miami loses 5 or more games
(26)Syracuse loses 6 or more games
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Ohio St. (2) | Big 10Big 10 | 112 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Oregon (4) | PAC 12PAC 12 | 107 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Georgia (6) | SECSEC | 103 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Duke (19) | ACCACC | 102 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Kansas (22) | Big 12Big 12 | 98 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Penn St. (3) | Big 10Big 10 | 97 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Florida St. (7) | ACCACC | 95 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Florida (18) | SECSEC | 92 | 9 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Marshall (36) | SunbeltSunbelt | 92 | 13 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Notre Dame (24) | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 91 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
If it loses one of its remaining games, Duke misses the playoffs 50% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Duke missing the playoffs.
(19)Duke does not plays in the ACC Championship Game
(19)Duke opponents lose (SOS related)
(15)Miami wins 8 or more games
(26)Syracuse wins 8 or more games
(18)Florida wins 8 or more games
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Oregon (4) | PAC 12PAC 12 | 107 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Alabama (8) | SECSEC | 102 | 10 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Michigan (1) | Big 10Big 10 | 101 | 10 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Texas (5) | Big 12Big 12 | 101 | 11 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Penn St. (3) | Big 10Big 10 | 100 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Oklahoma (14) | Big 12Big 12 | 100 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Miami (15) | ACCACC | 100 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Syracuse (26) | ACCACC | 95 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Duke (19) | ACCACC | 93 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Florida St. (7) | ACCACC | 92 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |