If it wins its remaining games, Duke makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 92% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it wins its remaining games, Duke makes the playoffs 92% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Duke making the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Duke (64) | ACCACC | 95 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Indiana (131) | Big 10Big 10 | 93 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | LSU (123) | SECSEC | 92 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Clemson (93) | ACCACC | 90 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Ga. Southern (8) | SunbeltSunbelt | 88 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Boise State (62) | Mountain WestMntn West | 87 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Kennesaw St. (5) | Conference USAConf. USA | 86 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Hawaii (20) | Mountain WestMntn West | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. (52) | Conference USAConf. USA | 82 | 9 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Florida St. (97) | ACCACC | 79 | 9 | 3 | - | - | X |
If it wins its remaining games, Duke misses the playoffs 8% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Duke missing the playoffs.
(64)Duke opponents lose (SOS related)
(64)Duke does not plays in the ACC Championship Game
(87)California wins the ACC Championship
(87)California wins out
(93)Clemson wins the ACC Championship
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Kennesaw St. (5) | Conference USAConf. USA | 106 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | California (87) | ACCACC | 96 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Hawaii (20) | Mountain WestMntn West | 96 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 95 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Duke (64) | ACCACC | 93 | 12 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Bowling Green (24) | MACMAC | 93 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | BYU (73) | Big 12Big 12 | 89 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 8 | East Carolina (29) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 89 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Miami OH (16) | MACMAC | 88 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Liberty (2) | Conference USAConf. USA | 85 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |