PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Sep 24 3:45 am

NCAA Football - Week 5 of 13

Duke Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Current

Based upon current play, Duke makes the 2023 NCAA Football Playoffs 8% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

Based upon current play, Duke makes the playoffs 8% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Duke making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (19)Duke wins 8 or more games
  • (19)Duke plays in the ACC Championship Game
  • (7)Florida St. does not plays in the ACC Championship Game
  • (19)Duke opponents win (SOS related)
Duke Most Likely Outcome - Current - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Ohio St. (2) Big 10Big 10 111 11 2 - - 100%
2 Oregon (4) PAC 12PAC 12 106 12 1 - - 100%
3 Duke (19) ACCACC 105 12 1 - - 100%
4 Georgia (6) SECSEC 105 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 Michigan (1) Big 10Big 10 100 10 2 - - X
6 Penn St. (3) Big 10Big 10 99 10 2 - - X
7 Louisville (21) ACCACC 98 11 2 - - X
8 Texas A&M (25) SECSEC 97 11 2 - - X
9 Texas (5) Big 12Big 12 95 12 1 - - X
10 Tennessee (16) SECSEC 95 9 3 - - X




Based upon current play, Duke misses the playoffs 92% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Duke missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • None Found
Duke Most Likely Outcome - Current - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Michigan (1) Big 10Big 10 117 13 0 - - 100%
2 Texas (5) Big 12Big 12 114 13 0 - - 100%
3 Alabama (8) SECSEC 103 10 3 - - 100%
4 Oregon (4) PAC 12PAC 12 101 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 Penn St. (3) Big 10Big 10 92 10 2 - - X
6 Florida St. (7) ACCACC 92 11 2 - - X
7 Georgia St. (30) SunbeltSunbelt 91 12 1 - - X
8 Utah (9) PAC 12PAC 12 89 10 2 - - X
9 Miami (15) ACCACC 87 11 2 - - X
10 Notre Dame (24) NCAA IndependentsInd. 85 10 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot