Based upon current play, Duke makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 3% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
Based upon current play, Duke makes the playoffs 3% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Duke making the playoffs.
(64)Duke wins 12 or more games
(64)Duke plays in the ACC Championship Game
(64)Duke opponents win (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Duke (64) | ACCACC | 108 | 12 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Clemson (93) | ACCACC | 102 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 97 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Georgia St. (66) | SunbeltSunbelt | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Kentucky (111) | SECSEC | 92 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Navy (82) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 91 | 12 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Ohio St. (129) | Big 10Big 10 | 90 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Middle Tenn. St. (9) | Conference USAConf. USA | 88 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Eastern Michigan (45) | MACMAC | 88 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Kansas (57) | Big 12Big 12 | 86 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
Based upon current play, Duke misses the playoffs 97% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Duke missing the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 102 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | LA Monroe (88) | SunbeltSunbelt | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Oklahoma St. (39) | Big 12Big 12 | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Utah St. (65) | Mountain WestMntn West | 88 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Texas Tech (61) | Big 12Big 12 | 87 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 6 | UTEP (11) | Conference USAConf. USA | 86 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 7 | W. Kentucky (1) | Conference USAConf. USA | 84 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 8 | East Carolina (29) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Virginia Tech (98) | ACCACC | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Tennessee (115) | SECSEC | 82 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |