Based upon current play, Duke makes the 2023 NCAA Football Playoffs 8% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
Based upon current play, Duke makes the playoffs 8% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Duke making the playoffs.
(19)Duke wins 8 or more games
(19)Duke plays in the ACC Championship Game
(7)Florida St. does not plays in the ACC Championship Game
(19)Duke opponents win (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Ohio St. (2) | Big 10Big 10 | 111 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Oregon (4) | PAC 12PAC 12 | 106 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Duke (19) | ACCACC | 105 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Georgia (6) | SECSEC | 105 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Michigan (1) | Big 10Big 10 | 100 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Penn St. (3) | Big 10Big 10 | 99 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Louisville (21) | ACCACC | 98 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Texas A&M (25) | SECSEC | 97 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Texas (5) | Big 12Big 12 | 95 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Tennessee (16) | SECSEC | 95 | 9 | 3 | - | - | X |
Based upon current play, Duke misses the playoffs 92% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Duke missing the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Michigan (1) | Big 10Big 10 | 117 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Texas (5) | Big 12Big 12 | 114 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Alabama (8) | SECSEC | 103 | 10 | 3 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Oregon (4) | PAC 12PAC 12 | 101 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Penn St. (3) | Big 10Big 10 | 92 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Florida St. (7) | ACCACC | 92 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Georgia St. (30) | SunbeltSunbelt | 91 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Utah (9) | PAC 12PAC 12 | 89 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Miami (15) | ACCACC | 87 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Notre Dame (24) | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 85 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |