PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Oct 1 2:15 am

NCAA Football - Week 6 of 13

Missouri Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Winout

If it wins its remaining games, Missouri makes the 2023 NCAA Football Playoffs 41% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it wins its remaining games, Missouri makes the playoffs 41% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Missouri making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (21)Missouri opponents win (SOS related)
  • (9)Alabama loses 5 or more games
  • (1)Texas loses 4 or more games
Missouri Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 USC (4) PAC 12PAC 12 110 12 1 - - 100%
2 Michigan (2) Big 10Big 10 108 12 1 - - 100%
3 Texas (1) Big 12Big 12 105 12 1 - - 100%
4 Missouri (21) SECSEC 96 13 0 - - 100%
 
5 Georgia (3) SECSEC 96 10 2 - - X
6 Fresno State (26) Mountain WestMntn West 95 13 0 - - X
7 James Madison (20) SunbeltSunbelt 93 13 0 - - X
8 Penn St. (5) Big 10Big 10 93 10 2 - - X
9 Rutgers (29) Big 10Big 10 90 10 2 - - X
10 Ole Miss (14) SECSEC 89 11 1 - - X




If it wins its remaining games, Missouri misses the playoffs 59% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Missouri missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (21)Missouri opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (9)Alabama wins 7 or more games
  • (10)Florida St. wins out
Missouri Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Michigan (2) Big 10Big 10 108 12 1 - - 100%
2 USC (4) PAC 12PAC 12 106 11 2 - - 100%
3 Texas (1) Big 12Big 12 104 12 1 - - 100%
4 Georgia (3) SECSEC 104 10 2 - - 100%
 
5 Washington (7) PAC 12PAC 12 104 12 1 - - X
6 Oklahoma (13) Big 12Big 12 99 12 1 - - X
7 Missouri (21) SECSEC 98 13 0 - - X
8 Ohio St. (6) Big 10Big 10 97 10 2 - - X
9 Florida St. (10) ACCACC 90 12 1 - - X
10 Penn St. (5) Big 10Big 10 89 10 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot