PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Navy Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Winout

If it wins its remaining games, Navy makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 81% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it wins its remaining games, Navy makes the playoffs 81% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Navy making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (82)Navy opponents win (SOS related)
Navy Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Navy (82) American AthleticAm. Athletic 110 12 0 - - 100%
2 Western Michigan (17) MACMAC 99 12 1 - - 100%
3 Bowling Green (24) MACMAC 98 11 2 - - 100%
4 Toledo (26) MACMAC 92 10 2 - - 100%
 
5 Michigan St. (116) Big 10Big 10 89 11 2 - - X
6 Oklahoma St. (39) Big 12Big 12 88 12 1 - - X
7 NorthwesternN. Western (107) Big 10Big 10 87 10 2 - - X
8 San José State (68) Mountain WestMntn West 86 11 2 - - X
9 Iowa (122) Big 10Big 10 86 11 2 - - X
10 James Madison (59) SunbeltSunbelt 86 10 3 - - X




If it wins its remaining games, Navy misses the playoffs 19% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Navy missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (82)Navy opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (40)New Mexico wins out
Navy Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Oklahoma St. (39) Big 12Big 12 107 12 1 - - 100%
2 New Mexico (40) Mountain WestMntn West 103 12 1 - - 100%
3 Colorado (58) Big 12Big 12 100 11 2 - - 100%
4 Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. (52) Conference USAConf. USA 99 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 UCLA (101) Big 10Big 10 98 13 0 - - X
6 Navy (82) American AthleticAm. Athletic 95 12 0 - - X
7 Georgia Tech (91) ACCACC 95 12 1 - - X
8 Vanderbilt (96) SECSEC 93 13 0 - - X
9 Washington St. (83) NCAA IndependentsInd. 91 11 1 - - X
10 Miami OH (16) MACMAC 91 12 1 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot