PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Navy Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, Navy will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 34% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, Navy makes the playoffs 34% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Navy making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (82)Navy opponents win (SOS related)
Navy Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Virginia Tech (98) ACCACC 109 13 0 - - 100%
2 Miami OH (16) MACMAC 91 12 1 - - 100%
3 Georgia Tech (91) ACCACC 89 10 3 - - 100%
4 Navy (82) American AthleticAm. Athletic 87 11 1 - - 100%
 
5 San Diego State (49) Mountain WestMntn West 86 11 1 - - X
6 Southern Miss (28) SunbeltSunbelt 85 11 2 - - X
7 Penn St. (121) Big 10Big 10 81 10 2 - - X
8 Georgia (118) SECSEC 81 9 3 - - X
9 Cincinnati (72) Big 12Big 12 80 11 2 - - X
10 Boston College (89) ACCACC 78 10 2 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, Navy misses the playoffs 66% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Navy missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (82)Navy opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (82)Navy does not plays in the Am. Athletic Championship Game
Navy Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Boston College (89) ACCACC 105 12 1 - - 100%
2 Miami (81) ACCACC 100 12 1 - - 100%
3 New Mexico (40) Mountain WestMntn West 95 12 1 - - 100%
4 Clemson (93) ACCACC 92 11 1 - - 100%
 
5 South Alabama (37) SunbeltSunbelt 92 11 2 - - X
6 Toledo (26) MACMAC 89 11 2 - - X
7 Nevada (43) Mountain WestMntn West 89 11 3 - - X
8 Ohio (21) MACMAC 89 11 2 - - X
9 Troy (41) SunbeltSunbelt 88 10 2 - - X
10 Navy (82) American AthleticAm. Athletic 85 11 1 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot