PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Sep 24 3:45 am

NCAA Football - Week 5 of 13

Ohio St. Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Current

Based upon current play, Ohio St. makes the 2023 NCAA Football Playoffs 30% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

Based upon current play, Ohio St. makes the playoffs 30% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Ohio St. making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (2)Ohio St. wins 7 or more games
  • (2)Ohio St. wins the Big 10 Championship
Ohio St. Most Likely Outcome - Current - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Ohio St. (2) Big 10Big 10 113 12 1 - - 100%
2 Oregon (4) PAC 12PAC 12 101 11 2 - - 100%
3 Texas (5) Big 12Big 12 96 11 1 - - 100%
4 Alabama (8) SECSEC 95 10 2 - - 100%
 
5 Kansas St. (34) Big 12Big 12 94 12 1 - - X
6 Missouri (17) SECSEC 92 12 1 - - X
7 Maryland (23) Big 10Big 10 92 10 2 - - X
8 Texas A&M (25) SECSEC 91 11 2 - - X
9 West Virginia (43) Big 12Big 12 91 11 2 - - X
10 Fresno State (37) Mountain WestMntn West 88 13 0 - - X




Based upon current play, Ohio St. misses the playoffs 70% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Ohio St. missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (2)Ohio St. loses 3 or more games
  • (3)Penn St. plays in the Big 10 Championship Game
  • (1)Michigan plays in the Big 10 Championship Game
  • (23)Maryland plays in the Big 10 Championship Game
Ohio St. Most Likely Outcome - Current - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Michigan (1) Big 10Big 10 117 13 0 - - 100%
2 Texas (5) Big 12Big 12 114 13 0 - - 100%
3 Alabama (8) SECSEC 103 10 3 - - 100%
4 Oregon (4) PAC 12PAC 12 101 11 2 - - 100%
 
5 Penn St. (3) Big 10Big 10 92 10 2 - - X
6 Florida St. (7) ACCACC 92 11 2 - - X
7 Georgia St. (30) SunbeltSunbelt 91 12 1 - - X
8 Utah (9) PAC 12PAC 12 89 10 2 - - X
9 Miami (15) ACCACC 87 11 2 - - X
10 Notre Dame (24) NCAA IndependentsInd. 85 10 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot