If it wins its remaining games, Toledo makes the 2023 NCAA Football Playoffs 0% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it wins its remaining games, Toledo misses the playoffs 100% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Toledo missing the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | USC (4) | PAC 12PAC 12 | 111 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Texas (1) | Big 12Big 12 | 108 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Georgia (3) | SECSEC | 105 | 11 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Michigan (2) | Big 10Big 10 | 104 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Alabama (9) | SECSEC | 101 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Kansas St. (38) | Big 12Big 12 | 101 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Florida St. (10) | ACCACC | 99 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Missouri (21) | SECSEC | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Oregon St. (12) | PAC 12PAC 12 | 94 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Oregon (11) | PAC 12PAC 12 | 92 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |