If it wins its remaining games, Toledo makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 91% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it wins its remaining games, Toledo makes the playoffs 91% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Toledo making the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Louisiana Tech (4) | Conference USAConf. USA | 106 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | UTSA (25) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 106 | 11 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Vanderbilt (96) | SECSEC | 98 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Toledo (26) | MACMAC | 97 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Texas (133) | SECSEC | 96 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 6 | UAB (35) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 93 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Colorado St. (55) | Mountain WestMntn West | 93 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Charlotte (44) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 89 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | North Texas (54) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 85 | 9 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Texas St. (42) | SunbeltSunbelt | 84 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
If it wins its remaining games, Toledo misses the playoffs 9% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Toledo missing the playoffs.
(26)Toledo opponents lose (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | North Texas (54) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 103 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | UTEP (11) | Conference USAConf. USA | 101 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Clemson (93) | ACCACC | 100 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 100 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Toledo (26) | MACMAC | 98 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Tulane (33) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 97 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Fresno State (31) | Mountain WestMntn West | 96 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Tulsa (30) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 89 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Vanderbilt (96) | SECSEC | 89 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Texas Tech (61) | Big 12Big 12 | 88 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |