PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Toledo Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Winout

If it wins its remaining games, Toledo makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 91% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it wins its remaining games, Toledo makes the playoffs 91% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Toledo making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • None Found
Toledo Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Louisiana Tech (4) Conference USAConf. USA 106 13 0 - - 100%
2 UTSA (25) American AthleticAm. Athletic 106 11 1 - - 100%
3 Vanderbilt (96) SECSEC 98 11 2 - - 100%
4 Toledo (26) MACMAC 97 13 0 - - 100%
 
5 Texas (133) SECSEC 96 10 3 - - X
6 UAB (35) American AthleticAm. Athletic 93 11 2 - - X
7 Colorado St. (55) Mountain WestMntn West 93 11 2 - - X
8 Charlotte (44) American AthleticAm. Athletic 89 11 2 - - X
9 North Texas (54) American AthleticAm. Athletic 85 9 3 - - X
10 Texas St. (42) SunbeltSunbelt 84 10 3 - - X




If it wins its remaining games, Toledo misses the playoffs 9% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Toledo missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (26)Toledo opponents lose (SOS related)
Toledo Most Likely Outcome - Winout - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 North Texas (54) American AthleticAm. Athletic 103 12 1 - - 100%
2 UTEP (11) Conference USAConf. USA 101 13 0 - - 100%
3 Clemson (93) ACCACC 100 12 1 - - 100%
4 Boston College (89) ACCACC 100 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Toledo (26) MACMAC 98 13 0 - - X
6 Tulane (33) American AthleticAm. Athletic 97 11 2 - - X
7 Fresno State (31) Mountain WestMntn West 96 13 0 - - X
8 Tulsa (30) American AthleticAm. Athletic 89 11 1 - - X
9 Vanderbilt (96) SECSEC 89 11 2 - - X
10 Texas Tech (61) Big 12Big 12 88 11 2 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot