Based upon current play, Toledo makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 3% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
Based upon current play, Toledo makes the playoffs 3% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Toledo making the playoffs.
(26)Toledo wins 12 or more games
(26)Toledo plays in the MAC Championship Game
(26)Toledo opponents win (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Iowa St. (76) | Big 12Big 12 | 104 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Toledo (26) | MACMAC | 98 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Auburn (128) | SECSEC | 98 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Penn St. (121) | Big 10Big 10 | 97 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | James Madison (59) | SunbeltSunbelt | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | LA Monroe (88) | SunbeltSunbelt | 92 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | UCF (69) | Big 12Big 12 | 88 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Cincinnati (72) | Big 12Big 12 | 88 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Central Michigan (18) | MACMAC | 87 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Liberty (2) | Conference USAConf. USA | 86 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
Based upon current play, Toledo misses the playoffs 97% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Toledo missing the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 102 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | LA Monroe (88) | SunbeltSunbelt | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Oklahoma St. (39) | Big 12Big 12 | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Utah St. (65) | Mountain WestMntn West | 88 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Texas Tech (61) | Big 12Big 12 | 87 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 6 | UTEP (11) | Conference USAConf. USA | 86 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 7 | W. Kentucky (1) | Conference USAConf. USA | 84 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 8 | East Carolina (29) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Virginia Tech (98) | ACCACC | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Tennessee (115) | SECSEC | 82 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |