PlayoffStatus.com

Sat Aug 17 2:00 pm

NCAA Football - Week 1 of 14

Toledo Most Likely Playoff Participation Outcomes - Lose 1

If it loses one of its remaining games, Toledo will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 56% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)

If it loses one of its remaining games, Toledo makes the playoffs 56% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Toledo making the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (26)Toledo opponents win (SOS related)
Toledo Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Making the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Nebraska (120) Big 10Big 10 100 13 0 - - 100%
2 Toledo (26) MACMAC 99 12 1 - - 100%
3 Central Michigan (18) MACMAC 99 12 1 - - 100%
4 N.C. State (106) ACCACC 96 13 0 - - 100%
 
5 Wyoming (14) Mountain WestMntn West 92 13 0 - - X
6 Florida St. (97) ACCACC 89 11 2 - - X
7 Virginia Tech (98) ACCACC 86 10 2 - - X
8 Kansas (57) Big 12Big 12 85 10 2 - - X
9 UCF (69) Big 12Big 12 83 11 2 - - X
10 Missouri (119) SECSEC 83 11 2 - - X




If it loses one of its remaining games, Toledo misses the playoffs 44% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Toledo missing the playoffs.

  • Key Games and Events
  • (26)Toledo opponents lose (SOS related)
  • (26)Toledo does not plays in the MAC Championship Game
  • (3)Ball State wins the MAC Championship
Toledo Most Likely Outcome - Lose 1 - Missing the Playoffs
Rank Team ConferenceConf MWP Record College Football Playoff
Participation Probabilities
W L Win Out Lose 1 More Current
1 Duke (64) ACCACC 105 12 1 - - 100%
2 Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. (52) Conference USAConf. USA 102 12 1 - - 100%
3 Virginia (78) ACCACC 98 11 2 - - 100%
4 North Texas (54) American AthleticAm. Athletic 96 12 1 - - 100%
 
5 Michigan St. (116) Big 10Big 10 93 12 1 - - X
6 Southern Miss (28) SunbeltSunbelt 89 11 2 - - X
7 UConn (125) NCAA IndependentsInd. 89 9 3 - - X
8 Navy (82) American AthleticAm. Athletic 88 10 1 - - X
9 East Carolina (29) American AthleticAm. Athletic 87 10 3 - - X
10 San Diego State (49) Mountain WestMntn West 87 12 1 - - X
  • Notes
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team advances to the playoffs - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot