If it loses one of its remaining games, Toledo will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 56% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it loses one of its remaining games, Toledo makes the playoffs 56% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Toledo making the playoffs.
(26)Toledo opponents win (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Nebraska (120) | Big 10Big 10 | 100 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Toledo (26) | MACMAC | 99 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Central Michigan (18) | MACMAC | 99 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | N.C. State (106) | ACCACC | 96 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Wyoming (14) | Mountain WestMntn West | 92 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Florida St. (97) | ACCACC | 89 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Virginia Tech (98) | ACCACC | 86 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Kansas (57) | Big 12Big 12 | 85 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | UCF (69) | Big 12Big 12 | 83 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Missouri (119) | SECSEC | 83 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
If it loses one of its remaining games, Toledo misses the playoffs 44% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to Toledo missing the playoffs.
(26)Toledo opponents lose (SOS related)
(26)Toledo does not plays in the MAC Championship Game
(3)Ball State wins the MAC Championship
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Duke (64) | ACCACC | 105 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Jacksonville St.Jacksnvlle St. (52) | Conference USAConf. USA | 102 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Virginia (78) | ACCACC | 98 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | North Texas (54) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 96 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Michigan St. (116) | Big 10Big 10 | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Southern Miss (28) | SunbeltSunbelt | 89 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | UConn (125) | NCAA IndependentsInd. | 89 | 9 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Navy (82) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 88 | 10 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 9 | East Carolina (29) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 87 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 10 | San Diego State (49) | Mountain WestMntn West | 87 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |