If it loses one of its remaining games, UCF will make the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 49% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if that loss occurs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it loses one of its remaining games, UCF makes the playoffs 49% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to UCF making the playoffs.
(69)UCF opponents win (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Liberty (2) | Conference USAConf. USA | 105 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | UCF (69) | Big 12Big 12 | 100 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 99 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Central Michigan (18) | MACMAC | 98 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | South Florida (70) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Temple (71) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 90 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Akron (23) | MACMAC | 87 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Virginia (78) | ACCACC | 86 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Tulsa (30) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 85 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Toledo (26) | MACMAC | 84 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
If it loses one of its remaining games, UCF misses the playoffs 51% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to UCF missing the playoffs.
(69)UCF opponents lose (SOS related)
(69)UCF does not plays in the Big 12 Championship Game
(39)Oklahoma St. wins the Big 12 Championship
(61)Texas Tech wins 12 or more games
(7)Baylor wins 12 or more games
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Pittsburgh (79) | ACCACC | 103 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | UTEP (11) | Conference USAConf. USA | 98 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Clemson (93) | ACCACC | 97 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 95 | 11 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Oklahoma St. (39) | Big 12Big 12 | 93 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | San José State (68) | Mountain WestMntn West | 90 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Southern Miss (28) | SunbeltSunbelt | 90 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Kennesaw St. (5) | Conference USAConf. USA | 89 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Texas Tech (61) | Big 12Big 12 | 87 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Hawaii (20) | Mountain WestMntn West | 85 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |