Based upon current play, UCF makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 3% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
Based upon current play, UCF makes the playoffs 3% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to UCF making the playoffs.
(69)UCF wins 12 or more games
(69)UCF plays in the Big 12 Championship Game
(69)UCF opponents win (SOS related)
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Rice (19) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 104 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | UCF (69) | Big 12Big 12 | 101 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Nebraska (120) | Big 10Big 10 | 99 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Coastal Carolina (10) | SunbeltSunbelt | 96 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Middle Tenn. St. (9) | Conference USAConf. USA | 95 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Kentucky (111) | SECSEC | 95 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Indiana (131) | Big 10Big 10 | 94 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | BYU (73) | Big 12Big 12 | 90 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | West Virginia (77) | Big 12Big 12 | 86 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | New Mexico St. (13) | Conference USAConf. USA | 82 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
Based upon current play, UCF misses the playoffs 97% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to UCF missing the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 102 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | LA Monroe (88) | SunbeltSunbelt | 93 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Oklahoma St. (39) | Big 12Big 12 | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Utah St. (65) | Mountain WestMntn West | 88 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Texas Tech (61) | Big 12Big 12 | 87 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 6 | UTEP (11) | Conference USAConf. USA | 86 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 7 | W. Kentucky (1) | Conference USAConf. USA | 84 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 8 | East Carolina (29) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Virginia Tech (98) | ACCACC | 84 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Tennessee (115) | SECSEC | 82 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |