If it wins its remaining games, UCF makes the 2024 NCAA Football Playoffs 90% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it wins its remaining games, UCF makes the playoffs 90% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to UCF making the playoffs.
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | UCF (69) | Big 12Big 12 | 104 | 13 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Black Knights (86) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 98 | 12 | 0 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Kansas St. (38) | Big 12Big 12 | 90 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 89 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Auburn (128) | SECSEC | 88 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Kansas (57) | Big 12Big 12 | 88 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Utah St. (65) | Mountain WestMntn West | 87 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | North Texas (54) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 86 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Florida (84) | SECSEC | 85 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Maryland (105) | Big 10Big 10 | 83 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
If it wins its remaining games, UCF misses the playoffs 10% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to UCF missing the playoffs.
(69)UCF opponents lose (SOS related)
(69)UCF does not plays in the Big 12 Championship Game
(57)Kansas wins the Big 12 Championship
(61)Texas Tech wins out
(6)Arkansas St. wins out
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Boston College (89) | ACCACC | 94 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Coastal Carolina (10) | SunbeltSunbelt | 93 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Louisville (80) | ACCACC | 91 | 10 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | USC (108) | Big 10Big 10 | 90 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | UCF (69) | Big 12Big 12 | 88 | 13 | 0 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Air Force (46) | Mountain WestMntn West | 88 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Ohio (21) | MACMAC | 86 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Texas St. (42) | SunbeltSunbelt | 86 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Temple (71) | American AthleticAm. Athletic | 85 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Arizona (12) | Big 12Big 12 | 85 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |