If it wins its remaining games, UCF makes the 2023 NCAA Football Playoffs 14% of the times. The two tables below show the most likely outcomes when the team makes and misses the playoffs if those wins occur. (This content is currently in an experimental state.)
If it wins its remaining games, UCF makes the playoffs 14% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to UCF making the playoffs.
(44)UCF opponents win (SOS related)
(5)Georgia loses 3 or more games
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Penn St. (3) | Big 10Big 10 | 101 | 10 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Oregon (7) | PAC 12PAC 12 | 99 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | UCF (44) | Big 12Big 12 | 95 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Alabama (8) | SECSEC | 92 | 10 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Ohio St. (1) | Big 10Big 10 | 92 | 9 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Missouri (17) | SECSEC | 91 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Florida (18) | SECSEC | 91 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 8 | NorthwesternN. Western (53) | Big 10Big 10 | 91 | 10 | 3 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Syracuse (26) | ACCACC | 90 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Duke (19) | ACCACC | 87 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |
If it wins its remaining games, UCF misses the playoffs 86% of the times. The table below shows the most likely outcome when this occurs. The following list shows additonal key games and events (not neccessarily required) that heavily contribute to UCF missing the playoffs.
(44)UCF does not plays in the Big 12 Championship Game
| Rank | Team | ConferenceConf | MWP | Record | College Football Playoff Participation Probabilities |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | Win Out | Lose 1 More | Current | ||||
| 1 | Ohio St. (1) | Big 10Big 10 | 118 | 12 | 1 | - | - | 100% |
| 2 | Alabama (8) | SECSEC | 112 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 3 | Michigan (2) | Big 10Big 10 | 105 | 10 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 4 | Oregon (7) | PAC 12PAC 12 | 103 | 11 | 2 | - | - | 100% |
| 5 | Texas (4) | Big 12Big 12 | 100 | 12 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 6 | Ole Miss (31) | SECSEC | 95 | 11 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 7 | Marshall (36) | SunbeltSunbelt | 93 | 13 | 1 | - | - | X |
| 8 | Florida St. (6) | ACCACC | 91 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 9 | Colorado (32) | PAC 12PAC 12 | 88 | 11 | 2 | - | - | X |
| 10 | Miami (14) | ACCACC | 86 | 10 | 2 | - | - | X |