The Most Important Games for the Bears are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bears Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bears (4‑3) vs Bengals (3‑5) |
20 | Bears Wins | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 61% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Bengals Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 73% | ||
| Vikings (3‑4) vs Lions (5‑2) |
5 | Vikings Wins | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Lions Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 67% | ||
| Saints (1‑7) vs Rams (5‑2) |
5 | Saints Wins | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 64% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Rams Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 67% | ||
| Giants (2‑6) vs Forty-Niners49ers (5‑3) |
2 | Giants Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 67% | ||
| Patriots (6‑2) vs Falcons (3‑4) |
2 | Patriots Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 66% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Falcons Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 68% | ||
| Cardinals (2‑5) vs Cowboys (3‑4‑1) |
2 | Cardinals Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Commanders (3‑5) vs Seahawks (5‑2) |
2 | Commanders Wins | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 65% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 67% | ||
| Panthers (4‑4) vs Packers (5‑1‑1) |
1 | Panthers Wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 67% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 66% | ||
| Packers Wins | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 66% | ||