The Most Important Games for the Bears are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bears Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bears (10‑4) vs Packers (9‑4‑1) |
133 | Bears Wins | 12% | 71% | 2% | X | <1% | 1% | 10% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 48% | 2% | X | 3% | 7% | 21% | 11% | ||
| Packers Wins | <1% | 19% | 2% | X | 7% | 15% | 37% | 21% | ||
| Seahawks (11‑3) vs Rams (11‑3) |
16 | Seahawks Wins | 12% | 44% | 2% | X | 2% | 5% | 23% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 48% | 2% | X | 3% | 7% | 21% | 11% | ||
| Rams Wins | 5% | 51% | 2% | X | 3% | 8% | 19% | 11% | ||
| Steelers (7‑6) vs Lions (8‑6) |
13 | Steelers Wins | 8% | 50% | 2% | X | 3% | 8% | 23% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 48% | 2% | X | 3% | 7% | 21% | 11% | ||
| Lions Wins | 8% | 47% | 1% | X | 3% | 6% | 20% | 15% | ||
| Panthers (7‑7) vs Buccaneers (7‑7) |
1 | Panthers Wins | 8% | 48% | 2% | X | 3% | 7% | 21% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 48% | 2% | X | 3% | 7% | 21% | 11% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 8% | 48% | 2% | X | 3% | 7% | 21% | 12% | ||
| Commanders (4‑10) vs Eagles (9‑5) |
1 | Commanders Wins | 8% | 49% | <1% | X | 3% | 7% | 21% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 48% | 2% | X | 3% | 7% | 21% | 11% | ||
| Eagles Wins | 8% | 48% | 2% | X | 2% | 7% | 21% | 12% | ||
| Colts (8‑6) vs Forty-Niners49ers (10‑4) |
0 | Colts Wins | 8% | 48% | 2% | X | 3% | 7% | 21% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 48% | 2% | X | 3% | 7% | 21% | 11% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 8% | 49% | 2% | X | 3% | 7% | 21% | 12% | ||
| Cowboys (6‑7‑1) vs Chargers (10‑4) |
0 | Cowboys Wins | 8% | 48% | 2% | X | 3% | 7% | 21% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 48% | 2% | X | 3% | 7% | 21% | 11% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 8% | 48% | 2% | X | 3% | 7% | 21% | 11% | ||
| Giants (2‑12) vs Vikings (6‑8) |
0 | Giants Wins | 8% | 48% | 2% | X | 3% | 7% | 21% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 48% | 2% | X | 3% | 7% | 21% | 11% | ||
| Vikings Wins | 8% | 48% | 2% | X | 3% | 7% | 21% | 11% | ||
| Saints (4‑10) vs Jets (3‑11) |
0 | Saints Wins | 8% | 48% | 2% | X | 3% | 7% | 21% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 48% | 2% | X | 3% | 7% | 21% | 11% | ||
| Jets Wins | 8% | 48% | 2% | X | 3% | 7% | 21% | 11% | ||
| Cardinals (3‑11) vs Falcons (5‑9) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | 8% | 48% | 2% | X | 3% | 7% | 21% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 48% | 2% | X | 3% | 7% | 21% | 11% | ||
| Falcons Wins | 8% | 48% | 2% | X | 3% | 7% | 21% | 11% | ||