The Most Important Games for the Bears are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bears Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Broncos (9‑2) vs Commanders (3‑8) |
2 | Broncos Wins | 26% | 26% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 26% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 10% | ||
| Commanders Wins | 26% | 26% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 11% | ||
| Patriots (10‑2) vs Giants (2‑10) |
0 | Patriots Wins | 25% | 26% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 26% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 10% | ||
| Giants Wins | 25% | 26% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 10% | ||