The Most Important Games for the Bears are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bears Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bears (9‑3) vs Packers (8‑3‑1) |
122 | Bears Wins | 38% | 33% | 7% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 26% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Packers Wins | 12% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 15% | ||
| Cardinals (3‑9) vs Rams (9‑3) |
19 | Cardinals Wins | 30% | 20% | 7% | 3% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 26% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Rams Wins | 23% | 27% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Falcons (4‑8) vs Seahawks (9‑3) |
16 | Falcons Wins | 28% | 23% | 6% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 10% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 26% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | 23% | 26% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 13% | ||
| Commanders (3‑9) vs Vikings (4‑8) |
4 | Commanders Wins | 25% | 26% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 26% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Vikings Wins | 24% | 25% | 7% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Chargers (8‑4) vs Eagles (8‑4) |
4 | Chargers Wins | 25% | 29% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 26% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Eagles Wins | 25% | 23% | 8% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Saints (2‑10) vs Buccaneers (7‑5) |
1 | Saints Wins | 25% | 29% | 6% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 26% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 25% | 25% | 7% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 12% | ||