The Most Important Games for the Bears are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bears Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bears (7‑3) vs Steelers (6‑4) |
44 | Bears Wins | 6% | 11% | 19% | 10% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 10% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 28% | ||
| Steelers Wins | 2% | 6% | 13% | 11% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 37% | ||
| Giants (2‑9) vs Lions (6‑4) |
8 | Giants Wins | 5% | 11% | 18% | 13% | 4% | 10% | 13% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 10% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 28% | ||
| Lions Wins | 5% | 9% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 29% | ||
| Titans (1‑9) vs Seahawks (7‑3) |
5 | Titans Wins | 5% | 10% | 16% | 10% | 7% | 12% | 13% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 10% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 28% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | 5% | 10% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 29% | ||
| Cowboys (4‑5‑1) vs Eagles (8‑2) |
4 | Cowboys Wins | 6% | 11% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 10% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 28% | ||
| Eagles Wins | 4% | 9% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 28% | ||
| Vikings (4‑6) vs Packers (6‑3‑1) |
4 | Vikings Wins | 5% | 10% | 18% | 13% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 10% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 28% | ||
| Packers Wins | 5% | 10% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 28% | ||
| Falcons (3‑7) vs Saints (2‑8) |
2 | Falcons Wins | 5% | 10% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 10% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 28% | ||
| Saints Wins | 4% | 10% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 28% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers (7‑4) vs Panthers (6‑5) |
1 | Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 5% | 10% | 17% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 10% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 28% | ||
| Panthers Wins | 5% | 9% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 29% | ||
| Jaguars (6‑4) vs Cardinals (3‑7) |
1 | Jaguars Wins | 5% | 9% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 10% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 28% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 5% | 10% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 28% | ||
| Buccaneers (6‑4) vs Rams (8‑2) |
1 | Buccaneers Wins | 6% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 10% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 28% | ||
| Rams Wins | 5% | 11% | 17% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 28% | ||