The Most Important Games for the Bears are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bears Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bears (10‑4) vs Packers (9‑4‑1) |
148 | Bears Wins | 18% | 66% | 3% | X | <1% | <1% | 10% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 44% | 2% | X | 2% | 6% | 23% | 12% | ||
| Packers Wins | 1% | 18% | 2% | X | 5% | 13% | 40% | 21% | ||
| Steelers (8‑6) vs Lions (8‑6) |
11 | Steelers Wins | 11% | 46% | 3% | X | 2% | 7% | 25% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 44% | 2% | X | 2% | 6% | 23% | 12% | ||
| Lions Wins | 12% | 43% | 2% | X | 2% | 5% | 21% | 15% | ||
| Panthers (7‑7) vs Buccaneers (7‑7) |
3 | Panthers Wins | 12% | 45% | 2% | X | 2% | 6% | 23% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 44% | 2% | X | 2% | 6% | 23% | 12% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 11% | 45% | 2% | X | 2% | 6% | 23% | 12% | ||
| Colts (8‑6) vs Forty-Niners49ers (10‑4) |
1 | Colts Wins | 11% | 44% | 2% | X | 2% | 6% | 23% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 44% | 2% | X | 2% | 6% | 23% | 12% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 11% | 44% | 2% | X | 2% | 5% | 23% | 12% | ||
| Cowboys (6‑7‑1) vs Chargers (10‑4) |
0 | Cowboys Wins | 11% | 44% | 2% | X | 2% | 6% | 23% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 44% | 2% | X | 2% | 6% | 23% | 12% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 11% | 44% | 2% | X | 2% | 6% | 23% | 12% | ||
| Giants (2‑12) vs Vikings (6‑8) |
0 | Giants Wins | 11% | 44% | 2% | X | 2% | 6% | 23% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 44% | 2% | X | 2% | 6% | 23% | 12% | ||
| Vikings Wins | 11% | 44% | 2% | X | 2% | 6% | 23% | 12% | ||
| Saints (4‑10) vs Jets (3‑11) |
0 | Saints Wins | 11% | 44% | 2% | X | 2% | 6% | 23% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 44% | 2% | X | 2% | 6% | 23% | 12% | ||
| Jets Wins | 11% | 44% | 2% | X | 2% | 6% | 23% | 12% | ||
| Cardinals (3‑11) vs Falcons (5‑9) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | 11% | 44% | 2% | X | 2% | 6% | 23% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 44% | 2% | X | 2% | 6% | 23% | 12% | ||
| Falcons Wins | 11% | 44% | 2% | X | 2% | 6% | 23% | 12% | ||