The Most Important Games for the Bears are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bears Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bears (8‑3) vs Eagles (8‑3) |
82 | Bears Wins | 16% | 31% | 8% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 12% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 16% | 17% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 22% | ||
| Eagles Wins | 2% | 7% | 23% | 9% | 5% | 12% | 16% | 25% | ||
| Panthers (6‑6) vs Rams (9‑2) |
14 | Panthers Wins | 11% | 14% | 15% | 7% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 16% | 17% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 22% | ||
| Rams Wins | 6% | 16% | 18% | 6% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 22% | ||
| Vikings (4‑7) vs Seahawks (8‑3) |
6 | Vikings Wins | 8% | 16% | 16% | 6% | 8% | 13% | 13% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 16% | 17% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 22% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | 7% | 16% | 17% | 7% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 23% | ||
| Browns (3‑8) vs Forty-Niners49ers (8‑4) |
4 | Browns Wins | 7% | 15% | 16% | 7% | 7% | 12% | 14% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 16% | 17% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 22% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 7% | 16% | 17% | 7% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 23% | ||
| Saints (2‑9) vs Dolphins (4‑7) |
3 | Saints Wins | 7% | 16% | 17% | 7% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 16% | 17% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 22% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | 7% | 15% | 17% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 22% | ||
| Jets (2‑9) vs Falcons (4‑7) |
2 | Jets Wins | 7% | 16% | 17% | 7% | 5% | 11% | 14% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 16% | 17% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 22% | ||
| Falcons Wins | 7% | 15% | 17% | 7% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 23% | ||
| Chiefs (6‑5) vs Cowboys (5‑5‑1) |
1 | Chiefs Wins | 7% | 16% | 17% | 7% | 6% | 12% | 15% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 16% | 17% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 22% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | 7% | 16% | 17% | 7% | 5% | 11% | 14% | 23% | ||
| Cardinals (3‑8) vs Buccaneers (6‑5) |
1 | Cardinals Wins | 7% | 17% | 20% | 2% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 16% | 17% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 22% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 7% | 15% | 17% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 22% | ||
| Lions (7‑4) vs Packers (7‑3‑1) |
0 | Lions Wins | 7% | 16% | 18% | 8% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 16% | 17% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 22% | ||
| Packers Wins | 7% | 16% | 17% | 7% | 5% | 11% | 14% | 23% | ||
| Broncos (9‑2) vs Commanders (3‑8) |
0 | Broncos Wins | 7% | 16% | 17% | 7% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 16% | 17% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 22% | ||
| Commanders Wins | 7% | 17% | 16% | 7% | 5% | 11% | 14% | 22% | ||
| Patriots (10‑2) vs Giants (2‑10) |
0 | Patriots Wins | 7% | 16% | 17% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 16% | 17% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 22% | ||
| Giants Wins | 7% | 16% | 17% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 22% | ||