The Most Important Games for the Bears are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bears Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bears (3‑1) vs Packers (2‑2) |
39 | Bears Wins | 11% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 31% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 18% | 11% | 9% | 38% | ||
| Packers Wins | 5% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 42% | ||
| Saints (1‑3) vs Vikings (4‑0) |
10 | Saints Wins | 11% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 18% | 11% | 9% | 38% | ||
| Vikings Wins | 9% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 19% | 12% | 10% | 38% | ||
| Seahawks (3‑1) vs Forty-Niners49ers (4‑0) |
6 | Seahawks Wins | 11% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 18% | 11% | 9% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 18% | 11% | 9% | 38% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 9% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 18% | 11% | 9% | 38% | ||
| Commanders (1‑3) vs Giants (3‑1) |
2 | Commanders Wins | 10% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 18% | 11% | 9% | 38% | ||
| Giants Wins | 9% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 19% | 12% | 9% | 38% | ||
| Bills (3‑1) vs Rams (2‑2) |
2 | Bills Wins | 10% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 19% | 12% | 9% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 18% | 11% | 9% | 38% | ||
| Rams Wins | 10% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 18% | 11% | 9% | 38% | ||
| Jaguars (3‑1) vs Eagles (2‑2) |
1 | Jaguars Wins | 10% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 18% | 12% | 9% | 37% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 18% | 11% | 9% | 38% | ||
| Eagles Wins | 10% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 18% | 11% | 9% | 38% | ||
| Falcons (2‑2) vs Ravens (3‑1) |
0 | Falcons Wins | 10% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 18% | 11% | 9% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 18% | 11% | 9% | 38% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 10% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 19% | 11% | 9% | 38% | ||
| Lions (2‑2) vs Cardinals (1‑3) |
0 | Lions Wins | 10% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 19% | 12% | 9% | 38% |
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 18% | 11% | 9% | 38% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 10% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 18% | 11% | 9% | 38% | ||