The Most Important Games for the Bears are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bears Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Cowboys (4‑5) vs Forty-Niners49ers (7‑1) |
12 | Cowboys Wins | 14% | 8% | 1% | <1% | 23% | 19% | 16% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 19% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 10% | 12% | 1% | <1% | 22% | 20% | 17% | 19% | ||
| Patriots (5‑4) vs Lions (6‑2) |
8 | Patriots Wins | 12% | 12% | 2% | <1% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 19% | ||
| Lions Wins | 11% | 10% | 1% | <1% | 21% | 20% | 17% | 20% | ||
| Packers (6‑3) vs Vikings (6‑2) |
8 | Packers Wins | 12% | 13% | 2% | <1% | 20% | 18% | 16% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 19% | ||
| Vikings Wins | 10% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 24% | 20% | 16% | 18% | ||
| Cardinals (3‑6) vs Rams (5‑4) |
4 | Cardinals Wins | 11% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 23% | 21% | 16% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 19% | ||
| Rams Wins | 11% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 22% | 19% | 16% | 20% | ||
| Commanders (2‑5‑1) vs Giants (5‑2‑1) |
4 | Commanders Wins | 12% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 23% | 20% | 16% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 19% | ||
| Giants Wins | 11% | 11% | 2% | <1% | 22% | 20% | 17% | 19% | ||
| Chiefs (6‑2) vs Falcons (3‑6) |
2 | Chiefs Wins | 11% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 19% | ||
| Falcons Wins | 11% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 23% | 20% | 15% | 19% | ||
| Saints (3‑5) vs Panthers (3‑5) |
2 | Saints Wins | 11% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 19% | ||
| Panthers Wins | 11% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 23% | 20% | 16% | 19% | ||
| Raiders (4‑5) vs Seahawks (5‑4) |
1 | Raiders Wins | 11% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 22% | 21% | 17% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 22% | 20% | 16% | 19% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | 11% | 11% | 1% | <1% | 22% | 19% | 16% | 20% | ||