The Most Important Games for the Bears are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bears Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Panthers (6‑6) vs Rams (9‑2) |
29 | Panthers Wins | 26% | 26% | 7% | 3% | 8% | 11% | 11% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 34% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Rams Wins | 14% | 38% | 8% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 12% | 9% | ||
| Browns (3‑8) vs Forty-Niners49ers (8‑4) |
7 | Browns Wins | 19% | 33% | 7% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 10% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 34% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 17% | 34% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 12% | 10% | ||
| Vikings (4‑7) vs Seahawks (8‑3) |
7 | Vikings Wins | 19% | 33% | 7% | 3% | 9% | 13% | 9% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 34% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | 18% | 34% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 12% | 10% | ||
| Cardinals (3‑8) vs Buccaneers (6‑5) |
4 | Cardinals Wins | 18% | 37% | 6% | 1% | 6% | 11% | 11% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 34% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 18% | 34% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Jets (2‑9) vs Falcons (4‑7) |
1 | Jets Wins | 18% | 34% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 11% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 34% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Falcons Wins | 18% | 34% | 8% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Commanders (3‑8) vs Broncos (9‑2) |
0 | Commanders Wins | 18% | 34% | 7% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 11% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 34% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 18% | 34% | 7% | 3% | 7% | 11% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Dolphins (4‑7) vs Saints (2‑9) |
0 | Dolphins Wins | 18% | 34% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 11% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 34% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Saints Wins | 18% | 34% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Patriots (10‑2) vs Giants (2‑10) |
0 | Patriots Wins | 18% | 34% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 11% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 34% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Giants Wins | 18% | 34% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 11% | 9% | ||