The Most Important Games for the Bears are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bears Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bears (11‑4) vs Forty-Niners49ers (11‑4) |
135 | Bears Wins | 52% | 48% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 75% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers Wins | X | 92% | 8% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Panthers (8‑7) vs Seahawks (12‑3) |
39 | Panthers Wins | 30% | 65% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 75% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Seahawks Wins | 14% | 80% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bills (11‑4) vs Eagles (10‑5) |
6 | Bills Wins | 19% | 81% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 75% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Eagles Wins | 19% | 65% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Falcons (6‑9) vs Rams (11‑4) |
3 | Falcons Wins | 21% | 74% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 75% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rams Wins | 19% | 75% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bengals (5‑10) vs Cardinals (3‑12) |
0 | Bengals Wins | 19% | 75% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 75% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 19% | 75% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Dolphins (6‑9) vs Buccaneers (7‑8) |
0 | Dolphins Wins | 19% | 75% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 75% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 19% | 75% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Titans (3‑12) vs Saints (5‑10) |
0 | Titans Wins | 19% | 75% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 75% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Saints Wins | 19% | 75% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Raiders (2‑13) vs Giants (2‑13) |
0 | Raiders Wins | 19% | 75% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 19% | 75% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Giants Wins | 19% | 75% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||