The Most Important Games for the Bears are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bears Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bears (9‑4) vs Browns (3‑10) |
69 | Bears Wins | 9% | 28% | 6% | 1% | 7% | 13% | 21% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 27% | 6% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 21% | 18% | ||
| Browns Wins | 1% | 14% | 8% | 1% | 5% | 14% | 23% | 35% | ||
| Broncos (11‑2) vs Packers (9‑3‑1) |
25 | Broncos Wins | 9% | 32% | 7% | 1% | 5% | 9% | 20% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 27% | 6% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 21% | 18% | ||
| Packers Wins | 9% | 18% | 3% | <1% | 11% | 17% | 23% | 19% | ||
| Colts (8‑5) vs Seahawks (10‑3) |
10 | Colts Wins | 11% | 24% | 6% | 1% | 9% | 12% | 20% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 27% | 6% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 21% | 18% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | 8% | 27% | 6% | 1% | 6% | 11% | 21% | 19% | ||
| Lions (8‑5) vs Rams (10‑3) |
7 | Lions Wins | 14% | 20% | 5% | <1% | 10% | 10% | 17% | 24% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 27% | 6% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 21% | 18% | ||
| Rams Wins | 8% | 28% | 6% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 23% | 17% | ||
| Raiders (2‑11) vs Eagles (8‑4) |
4 | Raiders Wins | 9% | 32% | 1% | <1% | 7% | 11% | 21% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 27% | 6% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 21% | 18% | ||
| Eagles Wins | 9% | 26% | 6% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 21% | 18% | ||
| Titans (2‑11) vs Forty-Niners49ers (9‑4) |
4 | Titans Wins | 9% | 26% | 6% | 1% | 8% | 15% | 18% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 27% | 6% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 21% | 18% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 9% | 27% | 6% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 21% | 19% | ||
| Chargers (8‑4) vs Eagles (8‑4) |
3 | Chargers Wins | 9% | 30% | 2% | <1% | 7% | 12% | 21% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 27% | 6% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 21% | 18% | ||
| Eagles Wins | 9% | 24% | 9% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 21% | 18% | ||
| Vikings (5‑8) vs Cowboys (6‑6‑1) |
2 | Vikings Wins | 9% | 27% | 6% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 21% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 27% | 6% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 21% | 18% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | 9% | 27% | 6% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 21% | 18% | ||
| Falcons (4‑9) vs Buccaneers (7‑6) |
0 | Falcons Wins | 9% | 27% | 6% | <1% | 7% | 12% | 21% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 27% | 6% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 21% | 18% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 9% | 27% | 6% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 21% | 18% | ||
| Saints (3‑10) vs Panthers (7‑6) |
0 | Saints Wins | 9% | 27% | 6% | <1% | 7% | 12% | 21% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 27% | 6% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 21% | 18% | ||
| Panthers Wins | 9% | 27% | 6% | 1% | 7% | 11% | 21% | 18% | ||
| Giants (2‑11) vs Commanders (3‑10) |
0 | Giants Wins | 9% | 27% | 6% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 21% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 27% | 6% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 21% | 18% | ||
| Commanders Wins | 9% | 27% | 6% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 21% | 18% | ||
| Texans (8‑5) vs Cardinals (3‑10) |
0 | Texans Wins | 9% | 27% | 6% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 21% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 27% | 6% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 21% | 18% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 9% | 27% | 6% | 1% | 7% | 12% | 21% | 18% | ||