The Most Important Games for the Bears are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bears Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bears (11‑5) vs Lions (8‑8) |
38 | Bears Wins | X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 76% | 24% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lions Wins | X | 9% | 91% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Commanders (4‑12) vs Eagles (11‑5) |
11 | Commanders Wins | X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 76% | 24% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Eagles Wins | X | 74% | 26% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Seahawks (13‑3) vs Forty-Niners49ers (12‑4) |
0 | Seahawks Wins | X | 77% | 23% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 76% | 24% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers Wins | X | 77% | 23% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Falcons (6‑9) vs Rams (11‑4) |
0 | Falcons Wins | X | 76% | 24% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 76% | 24% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rams Wins | X | 76% | 24% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Buccaneers (7‑9) vs Panthers (8‑8) |
0 | Buccaneers Wins | X | 76% | 24% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 76% | 24% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Panthers Wins | X | 76% | 24% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Falcons (6‑9) vs Saints (6‑10) |
0 | Falcons Wins | X | 76% | 24% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 76% | 24% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Saints Wins | X | 76% | 24% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Giants (3‑13) vs Cowboys (7‑8‑1) |
0 | Giants Wins | X | 76% | 24% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 76% | 24% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Cowboys Wins | X | 76% | 24% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Rams (11‑4) vs Cardinals (3‑13) |
0 | Rams Wins | X | 76% | 24% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 76% | 24% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Cardinals Wins | X | 76% | 24% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Vikings (8‑8) vs Packers (9‑6‑1) |
0 | Vikings Wins | X | 76% | 24% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 76% | 24% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Packers Wins | X | 76% | 24% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||