The Most Important Games for the Bears are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bears final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bears fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bears Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Bears (8‑3) vs Eagles (8‑3) |
85 | Bears Wins | 16% | 30% | 8% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 11% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 16% | 16% | 7% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 22% | ||
| Eagles Wins | 2% | 8% | 22% | 9% | 6% | 12% | 15% | 26% | ||
| Panthers (6‑5) vs Rams (9‑2) |
11 | Panthers Wins | 11% | 13% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 16% | 16% | 7% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 22% | ||
| Rams Wins | 6% | 16% | 18% | 6% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 21% | ||
| Vikings (4‑7) vs Seahawks (8‑3) |
6 | Vikings Wins | 8% | 15% | 16% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 12% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 16% | 16% | 7% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 22% | ||
| Seahawks Wins | 8% | 15% | 16% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 22% | ||
| Cardinals (3‑8) vs Buccaneers (6‑5) |
3 | Cardinals Wins | 8% | 17% | 19% | 3% | 7% | 12% | 14% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 16% | 16% | 7% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 22% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | 8% | 15% | 16% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 13% | 22% | ||
| Browns (3‑8) vs Forty-Niners49ers (7‑4) |
2 | Browns Wins | 8% | 15% | 17% | 7% | 8% | 12% | 13% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 16% | 16% | 7% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 22% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 8% | 15% | 16% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 22% | ||
| Panthers (6‑5) vs Forty-Niners49ers (7‑4) |
1 | Panthers Wins | 8% | 15% | 16% | 8% | 8% | 12% | 12% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 16% | 16% | 7% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 22% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 8% | 16% | 17% | 6% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 22% | ||
| Chiefs (6‑5) vs Cowboys (5‑5‑1) |
1 | Chiefs Wins | 7% | 16% | 16% | 7% | 7% | 12% | 14% | 20% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 16% | 16% | 7% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 22% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | 7% | 16% | 17% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 13% | 23% | ||
| Lions (7‑4) vs Packers (7‑3‑1) |
1 | Lions Wins | 8% | 16% | 17% | 8% | 6% | 10% | 13% | 23% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 16% | 16% | 7% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 22% | ||
| Packers Wins | 8% | 16% | 16% | 7% | 5% | 11% | 13% | 23% | ||
| Falcons (4‑7) vs Jets (2‑9) |
0 | Falcons Wins | 8% | 16% | 16% | 7% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 16% | 16% | 7% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 22% | ||
| Jets Wins | 8% | 15% | 17% | 7% | 6% | 12% | 13% | 22% | ||
| Dolphins (4‑7) vs Saints (2‑9) |
0 | Dolphins Wins | 8% | 16% | 17% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 16% | 16% | 7% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 22% | ||
| Saints Wins | 8% | 15% | 17% | 7% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 21% | ||
| Commanders (3‑8) vs Broncos (9‑2) |
0 | Commanders Wins | 8% | 15% | 16% | 7% | 7% | 12% | 13% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 16% | 16% | 7% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 22% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 8% | 15% | 16% | 7% | 7% | 12% | 13% | 22% | ||
| Patriots (10‑2) vs Giants (2‑10) |
0 | Patriots Wins | 8% | 16% | 16% | 7% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 16% | 16% | 7% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 22% | ||
| Giants Wins | 8% | 16% | 16% | 7% | 6% | 12% | 14% | 22% | ||