The Bears What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Bears play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 10 | 4 | 0 | 10% | 32% | 1% | <1% | 8% | 12% | 21% | 15% |
| Current Standings | 9 | 4 | 0 | 9% | 31% | 1% | <1% | 7% | 11% | 21% | 18% |
| Lose Next Game | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2% | 18% | 3% | <1% | 5% | 14% | 24% | 33% |
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 12% | 38% | 2% | <1% | 6% | 9% | 20% | 14% |
| Current Standings | 9% | 31% | 1% | <1% | 7% | 11% | 21% | 18% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 1% | 9% | 1% | <1% | 6% | 17% | 31% | 35% |
|
Best Case Scenario Bears beats Browns Broncos beats Packers Colts beats Seahawks |
Worst Case Scenario Browns beats Bears Packers beats Broncos Seahawks beats Colts |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 4 of 4 | 100% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 58% | 42% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 4 | 75% | 12 | 5 | 0 | 5% | 62% | <1% | X | 21% | 10% | 1% | <1% |
| 2 of 4 | 50% | 11 | 6 | 0 | <1% | 10% | 6% | 1% | 6% | 31% | 37% | 9% |
| 1 of 4 | 25% | 10 | 7 | 0 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 30% | 67% |
| 0 of 4 | 0% | 9 | 8 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |