The Bears What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Bears play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 9 | 3 | 0 | 16% | 31% | 8% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 12% | 11% |
| Current Standings | 8 | 3 | 0 | 7% | 16% | 17% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 22% |
| Lose Next Game | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2% | 7% | 23% | 9% | 5% | 12% | 16% | 25% |
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 25% | 21% | 8% | 4% | 10% | 13% | 10% | 9% |
| Current Standings | 7% | 16% | 17% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 22% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 1% | 7% | 24% | 9% | 4% | 11% | 17% | 26% |
|
Best Case Scenario Bears beats Eagles Panthers beats Rams Vikings beats Seahawks |
Worst Case Scenario Eagles beats Bears Rams beats Panthers Seahawks beats Vikings |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 6 of 6 | 100% | 14 | 3 | 0 | 80% | 20% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 6 | 83% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 34% | 59% | 6% | X | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 6 | 67% | 12 | 5 | 0 | 3% | 39% | 34% | 6% | 13% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| 3 of 6 | 50% | 11 | 6 | 0 | <1% | 3% | 19% | 14% | 13% | 30% | 18% | 3% |
| 2 of 6 | 33% | 10 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 12% | 39% | 44% |
| 1 of 6 | 17% | 9 | 8 | 0 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 95% |
| 0 of 6 | 0% | 8 | 9 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |