PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Oct 22 7:30 pm

NFL - Week 7 of 17

Bears What If?

The Bears What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Bears play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Bears What If?

Next Game - Saints (4‑2)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
Win Next Game 4 4 0 <1% 2% 3% 4% 4% 7% 79%
Current Standings 3 4 0 <1% 1% 2% 4% 2% 5% 86%
Lose Next Game 3 5 0 <1% <1% 1% 3% 1% 3% 91%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
Best Case Scenario 1% 2% 4% 5% 4% 7% 77%
Current Standings <1% 1% 2% 4% 2% 5% 86%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% 1% 3% 1% 3% 91%
Best Case Scenario
   Browns beats Vikings
   Bears beats Saints
   Jets beats Falcons
Worst Case Scenario
   Vikings beats Browns
   Saints beats Bears
   Falcons beats Jets
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
9 of 9 100% 12 4 0 16% 43% 23% 3% 14% 1% <1%
8 of 9 89% 11 5 0 1% 14% 29% 15% 26% 13% 2%
7 of 9 78% 10 6 0 <1% 1% 8% 17% 15% 31% 28%
6 of 9 67% 9 7 0 <1% <1% <1% 6% 1% 11% 82%
5 of 9 56% 8 8 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 99%
4 of 9 44% 7 9 0 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
3 of 9 33% 6 10 0 X X X X <1% <1% >99%
2 of 9 22% 5 11 0 X X X X X X 100%
1 of 9 11% 4 12 0 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 9 0% 3 13 0 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs