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Mon Oct 27 11:15 pm

NFL - Week 9 of 18

Browns What If?

The Browns What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Browns play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Browns What If?

Next Game - Jets (1‑7)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 3 6 0 <1% <1% <1% 5% <1% 1% 3% 91%
Current Standings 2 6 0 <1% <1% <1% 4% <1% 1% 2% 93%
Lose Next Game 2 7 0 <1% <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% 1% 96%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% 5% <1% 1% 2% 92%
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% 4% <1% 1% 2% 93%
Worst Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% 4% <1% 1% 2% 93%
Best Case Scenario
   Bears beats Bengals
 Worst Case Scenario
   Bengals beats Bears
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
9 of 9 100% 11 6 0 <1% 3% 22% 51% 11% 11% 3% <1%
8 of 9 89% 10 7 0 <1% <1% 4% 47% 5% 16% 19% 9%
7 of 9 78% 9 8 0 <1% <1% <1% 24% 1% 5% 19% 52%
6 of 9 67% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% 6% <1% <1% 3% 90%
5 of 9 56% 7 10 0 X <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
4 of 9 44% 6 11 0 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
3 of 9 33% 5 12 0 X X X <1% X X <1% >99%
2 of 9 22% 4 13 0 X X X X X X X 100%
1 of 9 11% 3 14 0 X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 9 0% 2 15 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs