Where is your team going in the playoffs? The AFC Playoff Picture table presents the probabilities that a team will win each NFL playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.
| Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | DivisionDiv | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | T | GPi Games Played 17 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| Chiefs | West | 5i Chiefs Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 15 vs Bengals 26-25 Won Sun, Sep 22 @ Falcons 22-17 Won Sun, Sep 29 @ Chargers 17-10 Won Mon, Oct 07 vs Saints 26-13 Sun, Oct 20 @ 49'ers Sun, Oct 27 @ Raiders Mon, Nov 04 vs Bucs Sun, Nov 10 vs Broncos |
0 | 0 | 5 | 51% | 17% | 9% | 4% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 2% |
| Texans | South | 5 Texans Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 22 @ Vikings 7-34 Won Sun, Sep 29 vs Jaguars 24-20 Won Sun, Oct 06 vs Bills 23-20 Won Sun, Oct 13 @ Pats 41-21 Sun, Oct 20 @ Packers Sun, Oct 27 vs Colts Thu, Oct 31 @ Jets Sun, Nov 10 vs Lions |
1 | 0 | 6 | 25% | 27% | 19% | 15% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 5% |
| Ravens | North | 4 Ravens Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 22 @ Cowboys 28-25 Won Sun, Sep 29 vs Bills 35-10 Won Sun, Oct 06 @ Bengals 41-38 Won Sun, Oct 13 vs Commanders 30-23 Mon, Oct 21 @ Bucs Sun, Oct 27 @ Browns Sun, Nov 03 vs Broncos Thu, Nov 07 vs Bengals |
2 | 0 | 6 | 5% | 15% | 15% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 27% |
| Bills | East | 4 Bills Recent Games Won Mon, Sep 23 vs Jaguars 47-10 Lost Sun, Sep 29 @ Ravens 10-35 Lost Sun, Oct 06 @ Texans 20-23 Won Mon, Oct 14 @ Jets 23-20 Sun, Oct 20 vs Titans Sun, Oct 27 @ Seahawks Sun, Nov 03 vs Dolphins Sun, Nov 10 @ Colts |
2 | 0 | 6 | 6% | 13% | 21% | 33% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 18% |
| Steelers | North | 4 Steelers Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 22 vs Chargers 20-10 Lost Sun, Sep 29 @ Colts 24-27 Lost Sun, Oct 06 vs Cowboys 17-20 Won Sun, Oct 13 @ Raiders 32-13 Sun, Oct 20 vs Jets Mon, Oct 28 vs Giants Sun, Nov 10 @ Commanders Sun, Nov 17 vs Ravens |
2 | 0 | 6 | 8% | 15% | 16% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 23% |
| Chargers | West | 3 Chargers Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 15 @ Panthers 26-3 Lost Sun, Sep 22 @ Steelers 10-20 Lost Sun, Sep 29 vs Chiefs 10-17 Won Sun, Oct 13 @ Broncos 23-16 Mon, Oct 21 @ Cards Sun, Oct 27 vs Saints Sun, Nov 03 @ Browns Sun, Nov 10 vs Titans |
2 | 0 | 5 | 3% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 28% | 15% | 11% | 34% |
| Colts | South | 3 Colts Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 22 vs Bears 21-16 Won Sun, Sep 29 vs Steelers 27-24 Lost Sun, Oct 06 @ Jaguars 34-37 Won Sun, Oct 13 @ Titans 20-17 Sun, Oct 20 vs Dolphins Sun, Oct 27 @ Texans Sun, Nov 03 @ Vikings Sun, Nov 10 vs Bills |
3 | 0 | 6 | 1% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 50% |
| Broncos | West | 3 Broncos Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 22 @ Bucs 26-7 Won Sun, Sep 29 @ Jets 10-9 Won Sun, Oct 06 vs Raiders 34-18 Lost Sun, Oct 13 vs Chargers 16-23 Thu, Oct 17 @ Saints Sun, Oct 27 vs Panthers Sun, Nov 03 @ Ravens Sun, Nov 10 @ Chiefs |
3 | 0 | 6 | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 59% |
| Dolphins | East | 2 Dolphins Recent Games Lost Thu, Sep 12 vs Bills 10-31 Lost Sun, Sep 22 @ Seahawks 3-24 Lost Mon, Sep 30 vs Titans 12-31 Won Sun, Oct 06 @ Pats 15-10 Sun, Oct 20 @ Colts Sun, Oct 27 vs Cards Sun, Nov 03 @ Bills Mon, Nov 11 @ Rams |
3 | 0 | 5 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 71% |
| Jets | East | 2 Jets Recent Games Won Thu, Sep 19 vs Pats 24-3 Lost Sun, Sep 29 vs Broncos 9-10 Lost Sun, Oct 06 @ Vikings 17-23 Lost Mon, Oct 14 vs Bills 20-23 Sun, Oct 20 @ Steelers Sun, Oct 27 @ Pats Thu, Oct 31 vs Texans Sun, Nov 10 @ Cards |
4 | 0 | 6 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 73% |
| Raiders | West | 2 Raiders Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 22 vs Panthers 22-36 Won Sun, Sep 29 vs Browns 20-16 Lost Sun, Oct 06 @ Broncos 18-34 Lost Sun, Oct 13 vs Steelers 13-32 Sun, Oct 20 @ Rams Sun, Oct 27 vs Chiefs Sun, Nov 03 @ Bengals Sun, Nov 17 @ Dolphins |
4 | 0 | 6 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 85% |
| Bengals | North | 2 Bengals Recent Games Lost Mon, Sep 23 vs Commanders 33-38 Won Sun, Sep 29 @ Panthers 34-24 Lost Sun, Oct 06 vs Ravens 38-41 Won Sun, Oct 13 @ Giants 17-7 Sun, Oct 20 @ Browns Sun, Oct 27 vs Eagles Sun, Nov 03 vs Raiders Thu, Nov 07 @ Ravens |
4 | 0 | 6 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 79% |
| Titans | South | 1 Titans Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 15 vs Jets 17-24 Lost Sun, Sep 22 vs Packers 14-30 Won Mon, Sep 30 @ Dolphins 31-12 Lost Sun, Oct 13 vs Colts 17-20 Sun, Oct 20 @ Bills Sun, Oct 27 @ Lions Sun, Nov 03 vs Pats Sun, Nov 10 @ Chargers |
4 | 0 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% |
| Browns | North | 1 Browns Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 22 vs Giants 15-21 Lost Sun, Sep 29 @ Raiders 16-20 Lost Sun, Oct 06 @ Commanders 13-34 Lost Sun, Oct 13 @ Eagles 16-20 Sun, Oct 20 vs Bengals Sun, Oct 27 vs Ravens Sun, Nov 03 vs Chargers Sun, Nov 17 @ Saints |
5 | 0 | 6 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 95% |
| Patriots | East | 1 Patriots Recent Games Lost Thu, Sep 19 @ Jets 3-24 Lost Sun, Sep 29 @ 49'ers 13-30 Lost Sun, Oct 06 vs Dolphins 10-15 Lost Sun, Oct 13 vs Texans 21-41 Sun, Oct 20 @ Jaguars Sun, Oct 27 vs Jets Sun, Nov 03 @ Titans Sun, Nov 10 @ Bears |
5 | 0 | 6 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 92% |
| Jaguars | South | 1 Jaguars Recent Games Lost Mon, Sep 23 @ Bills 10-47 Lost Sun, Sep 29 @ Texans 20-24 Won Sun, Oct 06 vs Colts 37-34 Lost Sun, Oct 13 @ Bears 16-35 Sun, Oct 20 vs Pats Sun, Oct 27 vs Packers Sun, Nov 03 @ Eagles Sun, Nov 10 vs Vikings |
5 | 0 | 6 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |