Where is your team going in the playoffs? The AFC Playoff Picture table presents the probabilities that a team will win each NFL playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.
| Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | DivisionDiv | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | T | GPi Games Played 17 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| Dolphins | East | 9i Dolphins Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 05 @ Chiefs 14-21 Won Sun, Nov 19 vs Raiders 20-13 Won Fri, Nov 24 @ Jets 34-13 Won Sun, Dec 03 @ Commanders 45-15 Mon, Dec 11 vs Titans Sun, Dec 17 vs Jets Sun, Dec 24 vs Cowboys Sun, Dec 31 @ Ravens |
3 | 0 | 12 | 32% | 25% | 23% | 17% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Ravens | North | 9 Ravens Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 05 vs Seahawks 37-3 Lost Sun, Nov 12 vs Browns 31-33 Won Thu, Nov 16 vs Bengals 34-20 Won Sun, Nov 26 @ Chargers 20-10 Sun, Dec 10 vs Rams Sun, Dec 17 @ Jaguars Mon, Dec 25 @ 49'ers Sun, Dec 31 vs Dolphins |
3 | 0 | 12 | 28% | 20% | 17% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Chiefs | West | 8 Chiefs Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 05 vs Dolphins 21-14 Lost Mon, Nov 20 vs Eagles 17-21 Won Sun, Nov 26 @ Raiders 31-17 Lost Sun, Dec 03 @ Packers 19-27 Sun, Dec 10 vs Bills Sun, Dec 17 @ Pats Mon, Dec 25 vs Raiders Sun, Dec 31 vs Bengals |
4 | 0 | 12 | 28% | 30% | 21% | 15% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
| Jaguars | South | 8 Jaguars Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 12 vs 49'ers 3-34 Won Sun, Nov 19 vs Titans 34-14 Won Sun, Nov 26 @ Texans 24-21 Lost Mon, Dec 04 vs Bengals 31-34 Sun, Dec 10 @ Browns Sun, Dec 17 vs Ravens Sun, Dec 24 @ Bucs Sun, Dec 31 vs Panthers |
4 | 0 | 12 | 10% | 17% | 23% | 28% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 4% |
| Browns | North | 7 Browns Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 12 @ Ravens 33-31 Won Sun, Nov 19 vs Steelers 13-10 Lost Sun, Nov 26 @ Broncos 12-29 Lost Sun, Dec 03 @ Rams 19-36 Sun, Dec 10 vs Jaguars Sun, Dec 17 vs Bears Sun, Dec 24 @ Texans Thu, Dec 28 vs Jets |
5 | 0 | 12 | 1% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 29% | 16% | 13% | 28% |
| Colts | South | 7 Colts Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 05 @ Panthers 27-13 Won Sun, Nov 12 @ Pats 10-6 Won Sun, Nov 26 vs Bucs 27-20 Won Sun, Dec 03 @ Titans 31-28 Sun, Dec 10 @ Bengals Sat, Dec 16 vs Steelers Sun, Dec 24 @ Falcons Sun, Dec 31 vs Raiders |
5 | 0 | 12 | <1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 35% |
| Texans | South | 7 Texans Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 12 @ Bengals 30-27 Won Sun, Nov 19 vs Cards 21-16 Lost Sun, Nov 26 vs Jaguars 21-24 Won Sun, Dec 03 vs Broncos 22-17 Sun, Dec 10 @ Jets Sun, Dec 17 @ Titans Sun, Dec 24 vs Browns Sun, Dec 31 vs Titans |
5 | 0 | 12 | <1% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 22% | 19% | 16% | 32% |
| Steelers | North | 7 Steelers Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 19 @ Browns 10-13 Won Sun, Nov 26 @ Bengals 16-10 Lost Sun, Dec 03 vs Cards 10-24 Lost Thu, Dec 07 vs Pats 18-21 Sat, Dec 16 @ Colts Sat, Dec 23 vs Bengals Sun, Dec 31 @ Seahawks Sun, Jan 07 @ Ravens |
6 | 0 | 13 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 10% | 14% | 68% |
| Broncos | West | 6 Broncos Recent Games Won Mon, Nov 13 @ Bills 24-22 Won Sun, Nov 19 vs Vikings 21-20 Won Sun, Nov 26 vs Browns 29-12 Lost Sun, Dec 03 @ Texans 17-22 Sun, Dec 10 @ Chargers Sat, Dec 16 @ Lions Sun, Dec 24 vs Pats Sun, Dec 31 vs Chargers |
6 | 0 | 12 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 13% | 73% |
| Bengals | North | 6 Bengals Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 12 vs Texans 27-30 Lost Thu, Nov 16 @ Ravens 20-34 Lost Sun, Nov 26 vs Steelers 10-16 Won Mon, Dec 04 @ Jaguars 34-31 Sun, Dec 10 vs Colts Sat, Dec 16 vs Vikings Sat, Dec 23 @ Steelers Sun, Dec 31 @ Chiefs |
6 | 0 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 8% | 8% | 79% |
| Bills | East | 6 Bills Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 05 @ Bengals 18-24 Lost Mon, Nov 13 vs Broncos 22-24 Won Sun, Nov 19 vs Jets 32-6 Lost Sun, Nov 26 @ Eagles 34-37 Sun, Dec 10 @ Chiefs Sun, Dec 17 vs Cowboys Sat, Dec 23 @ Chargers Sun, Dec 31 vs Pats |
6 | 0 | 12 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 92% |
| Chargers | West | 5 Chargers Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 12 vs Lions 38-41 Lost Sun, Nov 19 @ Packers 20-23 Lost Sun, Nov 26 vs Ravens 10-20 Won Sun, Dec 03 @ Pats 6-0 Sun, Dec 10 vs Broncos Thu, Dec 14 @ Raiders Sat, Dec 23 vs Bills Sun, Dec 31 @ Broncos |
7 | 0 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 90% |
| Raiders | West | 5 Raiders Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 05 vs Giants 30-6 Won Sun, Nov 12 vs Jets 16-12 Lost Sun, Nov 19 @ Dolphins 13-20 Lost Sun, Nov 26 vs Chiefs 17-31 Sun, Dec 10 vs Vikings Thu, Dec 14 vs Chargers Mon, Dec 25 @ Chiefs Sun, Dec 31 @ Colts |
7 | 0 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 95% |
| Titans | South | 4 Titans Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 12 @ Bucs 6-20 Lost Sun, Nov 19 @ Jaguars 14-34 Won Sun, Nov 26 vs Panthers 17-10 Lost Sun, Dec 03 vs Colts 28-31 Mon, Dec 11 @ Dolphins Sun, Dec 17 vs Texans Sun, Dec 24 vs Seahawks Sun, Dec 31 @ Texans |
8 | 0 | 12 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Jets | East | 4 Jets Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 12 @ Raiders 12-16 Lost Sun, Nov 19 @ Bills 6-32 Lost Fri, Nov 24 vs Dolphins 13-34 Lost Sun, Dec 03 vs Falcons 8-13 Sun, Dec 10 vs Texans Sun, Dec 17 @ Dolphins Sun, Dec 24 vs Commanders Thu, Dec 28 @ Browns |
8 | 0 | 12 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Patriots | East | 3 Patriots Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 12 vs Colts 6-10 Lost Sun, Nov 26 @ Giants 7-10 Lost Sun, Dec 03 vs Chargers 0-6 Won Thu, Dec 07 @ Steelers 21-18 Sun, Dec 17 vs Chiefs Sun, Dec 24 @ Broncos Sun, Dec 31 @ Bills Sun, Jan 07 vs Jets |
10 | 0 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |