Where is your team going in the playoffs? The AFC Playoff Picture table presents the probabilities that a team will win each NFL playoff spot.  All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.  Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.
Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs |
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Team | DivisionDiv | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | T | GPi Games Played 17 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
Chiefs | West | 12i Chiefs Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 17 @ Bills 21-30 Won Sun, Nov 24 @ Panthers 30-27 Won Fri, Nov 29 vs Raiders 19-17 Won Sun, Dec 08 vs Chargers 19-17 Sun, Dec 15 @ Browns Sat, Dec 21 vs Texans Wed, Dec 25 @ Steelers Sun, Jan 05 @ Broncos |
1 | 0 | 13 | 88% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Bills | East | 10 Bills Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 10 @ Colts 30-20 Won Sun, Nov 17 vs Chiefs 30-21 Won Sun, Dec 01 vs 49'ers 35-10 Lost Sun, Dec 08 @ Rams 42-44 Sun, Dec 15 @ Lions Sun, Dec 22 vs Pats Sun, Dec 29 vs Jets Sun, Jan 05 @ Pats |
3 | 0 | 13 | 7% | 72% | 20% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Steelers | North | 10 Steelers Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 17 vs Ravens 18-16 Lost Thu, Nov 21 @ Browns 19-24 Won Sun, Dec 01 @ Bengals 44-38 Won Sun, Dec 08 vs Browns 27-14 Sun, Dec 15 @ Eagles Sat, Dec 21 @ Ravens Wed, Dec 25 vs Chiefs Sun, Jan 05 vs Bengals |
3 | 0 | 13 | 5% | 16% | 51% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 1% | <1% |
Texans | South | 8 Texans Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 10 vs Lions 23-26 Won Mon, Nov 18 @ Cowboys 34-10 Lost Sun, Nov 24 vs Titans 27-32 Won Sun, Dec 01 @ Jaguars 23-20 Sun, Dec 15 vs Dolphins Sat, Dec 21 @ Chiefs Wed, Dec 25 vs Ravens Sun, Jan 05 @ Titans |
5 | 0 | 13 | <1% | 1% | 13% | 79% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% |
Ravens | North | 8 Ravens Recent Games Won Thu, Nov 07 vs Bengals 35-34 Lost Sun, Nov 17 @ Steelers 16-18 Won Mon, Nov 25 @ Chargers 30-23 Lost Sun, Dec 01 vs Eagles 19-24 Sun, Dec 15 @ Giants Sat, Dec 21 vs Steelers Wed, Dec 25 @ Texans Sun, Jan 05 vs Browns |
5 | 0 | 13 | <1% | 2% | 13% | 3% | 38% | 28% | 11% | 5% |
Chargers | West | 8 Chargers Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 17 vs Bengals 34-27 Lost Mon, Nov 25 vs Ravens 23-30 Won Sun, Dec 01 @ Falcons 17-13 Lost Sun, Dec 08 @ Chiefs 17-19 Sun, Dec 15 vs Bucs Sun, Dec 22 vs Broncos Sun, Dec 29 @ Pats Sun, Jan 05 @ Raiders |
5 | 0 | 13 | X | X | X | X | 36% | 33% | 22% | 9% |
Broncos | West | 8 Broncos Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 10 @ Chiefs 14-16 Won Sun, Nov 17 vs Falcons 38-6 Won Sun, Nov 24 @ Raiders 29-19 Won Mon, Dec 02 vs Browns 41-32 Sun, Dec 15 vs Colts Sun, Dec 22 @ Chargers Sun, Dec 29 @ Bengals Sun, Jan 05 vs Chiefs |
5 | 0 | 13 | X | X | X | X | 15% | 21% | 36% | 29% |
Colts | South | 6 Colts Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 10 vs Bills 20-30 Won Sun, Nov 17 @ Jets 28-27 Lost Sun, Nov 24 vs Lions 6-24 Won Sun, Dec 01 @ Pats 25-24 Sun, Dec 15 @ Broncos Sun, Dec 22 vs Titans Sun, Dec 29 @ Giants Sun, Jan 05 vs Jaguars |
7 | 0 | 13 | X | <1% | <1% | 6% | 2% | 8% | 18% | 65% |
Dolphins | East | 6 Dolphins Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 17 vs Raiders 34-19 Won Sun, Nov 24 vs Pats 34-15 Lost Thu, Nov 28 @ Packers 17-30 Won Sun, Dec 08 vs Jets 32-26 Sun, Dec 15 @ Texans Sun, Dec 22 vs 49'ers Sun, Dec 29 @ Browns Sun, Jan 05 @ Jets |
7 | 0 | 13 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 9% | 88% |
Bengals | North | 5 Bengals Recent Games Lost Thu, Nov 07 @ Ravens 34-35 Lost Sun, Nov 17 @ Chargers 27-34 Lost Sun, Dec 01 vs Steelers 38-44 Won Mon, Dec 09 @ Cowboys 27-20 Sun, Dec 15 @ Titans Thu, Dec 19 vs Browns Sun, Dec 29 vs Broncos Sun, Jan 05 @ Steelers |
8 | 0 | 13 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
Browns | North | 3 Browns Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 17 @ Saints 14-35 Won Thu, Nov 21 vs Steelers 24-19 Lost Mon, Dec 02 @ Broncos 32-41 Lost Sun, Dec 08 @ Steelers 14-27 Sun, Dec 15 vs Chiefs Thu, Dec 19 @ Bengals Sun, Dec 29 vs Dolphins Sun, Jan 05 @ Ravens |
10 | 0 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
Jaguars | South | 3 Jaguars Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 10 vs Vikings 7-12 Lost Sun, Nov 17 @ Lions 6-52 Lost Sun, Dec 01 vs Texans 20-23 Won Sun, Dec 08 @ Titans 10-6 Sun, Dec 15 vs Jets Sun, Dec 22 @ Raiders Sun, Dec 29 vs Titans Sun, Jan 05 @ Colts |
10 | 0 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
Jets | East | 3 Jets Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 10 @ Cards 6-31 Lost Sun, Nov 17 vs Colts 27-28 Lost Sun, Dec 01 vs Seahawks 21-26 Lost Sun, Dec 08 @ Dolphins 26-32 Sun, Dec 15 @ Jaguars Sun, Dec 22 vs Rams Sun, Dec 29 @ Bills Sun, Jan 05 vs Dolphins |
10 | 0 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
Titans | South | 3 Titans Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 17 vs Vikings 13-23 Won Sun, Nov 24 @ Texans 32-27 Lost Sun, Dec 01 @ Commanders 19-42 Lost Sun, Dec 08 vs Jaguars 6-10 Sun, Dec 15 vs Bengals Sun, Dec 22 @ Colts Sun, Dec 29 @ Jaguars Sun, Jan 05 vs Texans |
10 | 0 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
Patriots | East | 3 Patriots Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 10 @ Bears 19-3 Lost Sun, Nov 17 vs Rams 22-28 Lost Sun, Nov 24 @ Dolphins 15-34 Lost Sun, Dec 01 vs Colts 24-25 Sun, Dec 15 @ Cards Sun, Dec 22 @ Bills Sun, Dec 29 vs Chargers Sun, Jan 05 vs Bills |
10 | 0 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
Raiders | West | 2 Raiders Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 17 @ Dolphins 19-34 Lost Sun, Nov 24 vs Broncos 19-29 Lost Fri, Nov 29 @ Chiefs 17-19 Lost Sun, Dec 08 @ Bucs 13-28 Mon, Dec 16 vs Falcons Sun, Dec 22 vs Jaguars Sun, Dec 29 @ Saints Sun, Jan 05 vs Chargers |
11 | 0 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |