Where is your team going in the playoffs? The AFC Playoff Picture table presents the probabilities that a team will win each NFL playoff spot.  All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.  Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.
| Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | DivisionDiv | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | T | GPi Games Played 17 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| Chiefs | West | 4i Chiefs Recent Games Won Mon, Sep 14 vs Broncos 31-10 Won Sun, Sep 20 vs Colts 33-30 Won Sun, Sep 27 @ Dolphins 24-10 Won Sun, Oct 04 @ Raiders 30-27 Sun, Oct 18 vs Chargers Sun, Oct 25 @ Seahawks Sun, Nov 01 @ Broncos Sun, Nov 08 vs Jets |
0 | 0 | 4 | 36% | 16% | 10% | 7% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 8% |
| Ravens | North | 4 Ravens Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 20 vs Saints 17-24 Won Sun, Sep 27 @ Cowboys 34-31 Won Sun, Oct 04 vs Titans 24-18 Won Sun, Oct 11 @ Falcons 30-23 Sun, Oct 18 @ Browns Sun, Oct 25 vs Bengals Sun, Nov 01 @ Bills Thu, Nov 05 vs Jaguars |
1 | 0 | 5 | 12% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 34% |
| Jaguars | South | 4 Jaguars Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 20 @ Broncos 13-20 Won Sun, Sep 27 vs Pats 35-6 Won Sun, Oct 04 @ Bengals 22-17 Won Sun, Oct 11 vs Eagles 19-17 Sun, Oct 18 vs Texans Sun, Nov 01 vs Colts Thu, Nov 05 @ Ravens Sun, Nov 15 @ Titans |
1 | 0 | 5 | 19% | 22% | 20% | 18% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 12% |
| Bills | East | 4 Bills Recent Games Won Thu, Sep 17 vs Lions 41-31 Won Sun, Sep 27 vs Chargers 24-16 Lost Sun, Oct 04 vs Pats 26-29 Won Mon, Oct 12 @ Rams 37-34 Sun, Oct 18 @ Raiders Sun, Nov 01 vs Ravens Mon, Nov 09 @ Vikings Sun, Nov 15 @ Jets |
1 | 0 | 5 | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 35% |
| Broncos | West | 4 Broncos Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 27 vs Rams 30-26 Lost Sun, Oct 04 @ 49ers 14-24 Won Sun, Oct 11 @ Chargers 23-17 Won Thu, Oct 15 vs Seahawks 17-14 Sun, Oct 25 @ Cards Sun, Nov 01 vs Chiefs Sun, Nov 08 @ Panthers Sun, Nov 22 vs Raiders |
2 | 0 | 6 | 7% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 21% | 13% | 10% | 34% |
| Patriots | East | 3 Patriots Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 20 vs Steelers 20-3 Lost Sun, Sep 27 @ Jaguars 6-35 Won Sun, Oct 04 @ Bills 29-26 Won Sun, Oct 11 vs Raiders 45-17 Sun, Oct 18 vs Jets Thu, Oct 22 @ Bears Sun, Nov 01 @ Dolphins Sun, Nov 08 vs Packers |
2 | 0 | 5 | 5% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 38% |
| Raiders | West | 3 Raiders Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 20 @ Chargers 26-14 Won Sun, Sep 27 @ Saints 35-27 Lost Sun, Oct 04 vs Chiefs 27-30 Lost Sun, Oct 11 @ Pats 17-45 Sun, Oct 18 vs Bills Sun, Oct 25 vs Rams Sun, Nov 01 @ Jets Sun, Nov 08 @ 49ers |
2 | 0 | 5 | 2% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 58% |
| Browns | North | 3 Browns Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 20 @ Bucs 23-19 Won Sun, Sep 27 vs Panthers 21-18 Won Thu, Oct 01 vs Steelers 27-24 Lost Sun, Oct 11 @ Jets 12-17 Sun, Oct 18 vs Ravens Sun, Oct 25 @ Titans Sun, Nov 01 @ Steelers Sun, Nov 08 @ Saints |
2 | 0 | 5 | 3% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 47% |
| Steelers | North | 3 Steelers Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 20 @ Pats 3-20 Won Sun, Sep 27 vs Bengals 30-27 Lost Thu, Oct 01 @ Browns 24-27 Won Sun, Oct 11 vs Colts 34-22 Sun, Oct 18 @ Bucs Sun, Oct 25 @ Saints Sun, Nov 01 vs Browns Sun, Nov 15 @ Bengals |
2 | 0 | 5 | 3% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 10% | 49% |
| Bengals | North | 3 Bengals Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 20 @ Texans 20-6 Lost Sun, Sep 27 @ Steelers 27-30 Lost Sun, Oct 04 vs Jaguars 17-22 Won Sun, Oct 11 @ Dolphins 31-24 Sun, Oct 25 @ Ravens Sun, Nov 01 vs Titans Sun, Nov 08 @ Falcons Sun, Nov 15 vs Steelers |
2 | 0 | 5 | 2% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 57% |
| Jets | East | 2 Jets Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 20 vs Packers 17-20 Lost Sun, Sep 27 @ Lions 24-31 Lost Sun, Oct 04 @ Bears 12-23 Won Sun, Oct 11 vs Browns 17-12 Sun, Oct 18 @ Pats Sun, Oct 25 vs Dolphins Sun, Nov 01 vs Raiders Sun, Nov 08 @ Chiefs |
3 | 0 | 5 | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 72% |
| Colts | South | 2 Colts Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 20 @ Chiefs 30-33 Won Sun, Sep 27 vs Texans 19-17 Won Sun, Oct 04 @ Commanders 30-13 Lost Sun, Oct 11 @ Steelers 22-34 Sun, Oct 18 vs Titans Sun, Oct 25 @ Vikings Sun, Nov 01 @ Jaguars Sun, Nov 08 vs Cowboys |
3 | 0 | 5 | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 68% |
| Texans | South | 1 Texans Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 20 vs Bengals 6-20 Lost Sun, Sep 27 @ Colts 17-19 Lost Sun, Oct 04 vs Cowboys 30-34 Won Sun, Oct 11 @ Titans 26-3 Sun, Oct 18 @ Jaguars Sun, Oct 25 vs Giants Sun, Nov 08 @ Chargers Sun, Nov 15 @ Browns |
4 | 0 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 94% |
| Chargers | West | 0 Chargers Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 20 vs Raiders 14-26 Lost Sun, Sep 27 @ Bills 16-24 Lost Sun, Oct 04 @ Seahawks 23-30 Lost Sun, Oct 11 vs Broncos 17-23 Sun, Oct 18 @ Chiefs Sun, Nov 01 @ Rams Sun, Nov 08 vs Texans Mon, Nov 16 @ Ravens |
5 | 0 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Titans | South | 0 Titans Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 20 vs Eagles 20-24 Lost Sun, Sep 27 @ Giants 7-12 Lost Sun, Oct 04 @ Ravens 18-24 Lost Sun, Oct 11 vs Texans 3-26 Sun, Oct 18 @ Colts Sun, Oct 25 vs Browns Sun, Nov 01 @ Bengals Sun, Nov 15 vs Jaguars |
5 | 0 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Dolphins | East | 0 Dolphins Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 20 @ 49ers 13-35 Lost Sun, Sep 27 vs Chiefs 10-24 Lost Sun, Oct 04 @ Vikings 10-15 Lost Sun, Oct 11 vs Bengals 24-31 Sun, Oct 25 @ Jets Sun, Nov 01 vs Pats Sun, Nov 08 vs Lions Sun, Nov 15 @ Colts |
5 | 0 | 5 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 96% |