Where is your team going in the playoffs? The AFC Playoff Picture table presents the probabilities that a team will win each NFL playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.
| Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | DivisionDiv | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | T | GPi Games Played 17 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| Broncos | West | 9i Broncos Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 26 vs Cowboys 44-24 Won Sun, Nov 02 @ Texans 18-15 Won Thu, Nov 06 vs Raiders 10-7 Won Sun, Nov 16 vs Chiefs 22-19 Sun, Nov 30 @ Commanders Sun, Dec 07 @ Raiders Sun, Dec 14 vs Packers Sun, Dec 21 vs Jaguars |
2 | 0 | 11 | 38% | 27% | 18% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 1% |
| Patriots | East | 9 Patriots Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 26 vs Browns 32-13 Won Sun, Nov 02 vs Falcons 24-23 Won Sun, Nov 09 @ Bucs 28-23 Won Thu, Nov 13 vs Jets 27-14 Sun, Nov 23 @ Bengals Mon, Dec 01 vs Giants Sun, Dec 14 vs Bills Sun, Dec 21 @ Ravens |
2 | 0 | 11 | 32% | 32% | 18% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% |
| Colts | South | 8 Colts Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 19 @ Chargers 38-24 Won Sun, Oct 26 vs Titans 38-14 Lost Sun, Nov 02 @ Steelers 20-27 Won Sun, Nov 09 vs Falcons 31-25 Sun, Nov 23 @ Chiefs Sun, Nov 30 vs Texans Sun, Dec 07 @ Jaguars Sun, Dec 14 @ Seahawks |
2 | 0 | 10 | 21% | 21% | 22% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 8% |
| Steelers | North | 6 Steelers Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 26 vs Packers 25-35 Won Sun, Nov 02 vs Colts 27-20 Lost Sun, Nov 09 @ Chargers 10-22 Won Sun, Nov 16 vs Bengals 34-12 Sun, Nov 23 @ Bears Sun, Nov 30 vs Bills Sun, Dec 07 @ Ravens Mon, Dec 15 vs Dolphins |
4 | 0 | 10 | 1% | 4% | 12% | 43% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 30% |
| Bills | East | 7 Bills Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 26 @ Panthers 40-9 Won Sun, Nov 02 vs Chiefs 28-21 Lost Sun, Nov 09 @ Dolphins 13-30 Won Sun, Nov 16 vs Bucs 44-32 Thu, Nov 20 @ Texans Sun, Nov 30 @ Steelers Sun, Dec 07 vs Bengals Sun, Dec 14 @ Pats |
3 | 0 | 10 | 4% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 38% | 21% | 13% | 15% |
| Chargers | West | 7 Chargers Recent Games Won Thu, Oct 23 vs Vikings 37-10 Won Sun, Nov 02 @ Titans 27-20 Won Sun, Nov 09 vs Steelers 22-10 Lost Sun, Nov 16 @ Jaguars 6-35 Sun, Nov 30 vs Raiders Mon, Dec 08 vs Eagles Sun, Dec 14 @ Chiefs Sun, Dec 21 @ Cowboys |
4 | 0 | 11 | 1% | 3% | 7% | 1% | 19% | 20% | 19% | 30% |
| Jaguars | South | 6 Jaguars Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 19 vs Rams 7-35 Won Sun, Nov 02 @ Raiders 30-29 Lost Sun, Nov 09 @ Texans 29-36 Won Sun, Nov 16 vs Chargers 35-6 Sun, Nov 23 @ Cards Sun, Nov 30 @ Titans Sun, Dec 07 vs Colts Sun, Dec 14 vs Jets |
4 | 0 | 10 | 2% | 6% | 11% | 4% | 12% | 19% | 19% | 27% |
| Texans | South | 5 Texans Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 26 vs 49ers 26-15 Lost Sun, Nov 02 vs Broncos 15-18 Won Sun, Nov 09 vs Jaguars 36-29 Won Sun, Nov 16 @ Titans 16-13 Thu, Nov 20 vs Bills Sun, Nov 30 @ Colts Sun, Dec 07 @ Chiefs Sun, Dec 14 vs Cards |
5 | 0 | 10 | <1% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 66% |
| Chiefs | West | 5 Chiefs Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 19 vs Raiders 31-0 Won Mon, Oct 27 vs Commanders 28-7 Lost Sun, Nov 02 @ Bills 21-28 Lost Sun, Nov 16 @ Broncos 19-22 Sun, Nov 23 vs Colts Thu, Nov 27 @ Cowboys Sun, Dec 07 vs Texans Sun, Dec 14 vs Chargers |
5 | 0 | 10 | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 13% | 70% |
| Ravens | North | 5 Ravens Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 26 vs Bears 30-16 Won Thu, Oct 30 @ Dolphins 28-6 Won Sun, Nov 09 @ Vikings 27-19 Won Sun, Nov 16 @ Browns 23-16 Sun, Nov 23 vs Jets Thu, Nov 27 vs Bengals Sun, Dec 07 vs Steelers Sun, Dec 14 @ Bengals |
5 | 0 | 10 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 34% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 59% |
| Dolphins | East | 4 Dolphins Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 26 @ Falcons 34-10 Lost Thu, Oct 30 vs Ravens 6-28 Won Sun, Nov 09 vs Bills 30-13 Won Sun, Nov 16 vs Commanders 16-13 Sun, Nov 30 vs Saints Sun, Dec 07 @ Jets Mon, Dec 15 @ Steelers Sun, Dec 21 vs Bengals |
7 | 0 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Bengals | North | 3 Bengals Recent Games Won Thu, Oct 16 vs Steelers 33-31 Lost Sun, Oct 26 vs Jets 38-39 Lost Sun, Nov 02 vs Bears 42-47 Lost Sun, Nov 16 @ Steelers 12-34 Sun, Nov 23 vs Pats Thu, Nov 27 @ Ravens Sun, Dec 07 @ Bills Sun, Dec 14 vs Ravens |
7 | 0 | 10 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 96% |
| Raiders | West | 2 Raiders Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 12 vs Titans 20-10 Lost Sun, Oct 19 @ Chiefs 0-31 Lost Sun, Nov 02 vs Jaguars 29-30 Lost Thu, Nov 06 @ Broncos 7-10 Mon, Nov 17 vs Cowboys Sun, Nov 23 vs Browns Sun, Nov 30 @ Chargers Sun, Dec 07 vs Broncos |
7 | 0 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Jets | East | 2 Jets Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 19 vs Panthers 6-13 Won Sun, Oct 26 @ Bengals 39-38 Won Sun, Nov 09 vs Browns 27-20 Lost Thu, Nov 13 @ Pats 14-27 Sun, Nov 23 @ Ravens Sun, Nov 30 vs Falcons Sun, Dec 07 vs Dolphins Sun, Dec 14 @ Jaguars |
8 | 0 | 10 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Browns | North | 2 Browns Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 19 vs Dolphins 31-6 Lost Sun, Oct 26 @ Pats 13-32 Lost Sun, Nov 09 @ Jets 20-27 Lost Sun, Nov 16 vs Ravens 16-23 Sun, Nov 23 @ Raiders Sun, Nov 30 vs 49ers Sun, Dec 07 vs Titans Sun, Dec 14 @ Bears |
8 | 0 | 10 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Titans | South | 1 Titans Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 19 vs Pats 13-31 Lost Sun, Oct 26 @ Colts 14-38 Lost Sun, Nov 02 vs Chargers 20-27 Lost Sun, Nov 16 vs Texans 13-16 Sun, Nov 23 vs Seahawks Sun, Nov 30 vs Jaguars Sun, Dec 07 @ Browns Sun, Dec 14 @ 49ers |
9 | 0 | 10 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |