Where is your team going in the playoffs? The AFC Playoff Picture table presents the probabilities that a team will win each NFL playoff spot.  All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.  Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.
Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs |
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Team | DivisionDiv | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | T | GPi Games Played 17 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
Colts | South | 5i Colts Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 21 @ Titans 41-20 Lost Sun, Sep 28 @ Rams 20-27 Won Sun, Oct 05 vs Raiders 40-6 Won Sun, Oct 12 vs Cards 31-27 Sun, Oct 19 @ Chargers Sun, Oct 26 vs Titans Sun, Nov 02 @ Steelers Sun, Nov 09 vs Falcons |
1 | 0 | 6 | 22% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 17% |
Steelers | North | 4 Steelers Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 14 vs Seahawks 17-31 Won Sun, Sep 21 @ Pats 21-14 Won Sun, Sep 28 vs Vikings 24-21 Won Sun, Oct 12 vs Browns 23-9 Thu, Oct 16 @ Bengals Sun, Oct 26 vs Packers Sun, Nov 02 vs Colts Sun, Nov 09 @ Chargers |
1 | 0 | 5 | 29% | 17% | 15% | 18% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 12% |
Chargers | West | 4 Chargers Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 21 vs Broncos 23-20 Lost Sun, Sep 28 @ Giants 18-21 Lost Sun, Oct 05 vs Commanders 10-27 Won Sun, Oct 12 @ Dolphins 29-27 Sun, Oct 19 vs Colts Thu, Oct 23 vs Vikings Sun, Nov 02 @ Titans Sun, Nov 09 vs Steelers |
2 | 0 | 6 | 10% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 31% |
Patriots | East | 4 Patriots Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 21 vs Steelers 14-21 Won Sun, Sep 28 vs Panthers 42-13 Won Sun, Oct 05 @ Bills 23-20 Won Sun, Oct 12 @ Saints 25-19 Sun, Oct 19 @ Titans Sun, Oct 26 vs Browns Sun, Nov 02 vs Falcons Sun, Nov 09 @ Bucs |
2 | 0 | 6 | 10% | 17% | 19% | 21% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 17% |
Bills | East | 4 Bills Recent Games Won Thu, Sep 18 vs Dolphins 31-21 Won Sun, Sep 28 vs Saints 31-19 Lost Sun, Oct 05 vs Pats 20-23 Lost Mon, Oct 13 @ Falcons 14-24 Sun, Oct 26 @ Panthers Sun, Nov 02 vs Chiefs Sun, Nov 09 @ Dolphins Sun, Nov 16 vs Bucs |
2 | 0 | 6 | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 37% |
Broncos | West | 4 Broncos Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 21 @ Chargers 20-23 Won Mon, Sep 29 vs Bengals 28-3 Won Sun, Oct 05 @ Eagles 21-17 Won Sun, Oct 12 @ Jets 13-11 Sun, Oct 19 vs Giants Sun, Oct 26 vs Cowboys Sun, Nov 02 @ Texans Thu, Nov 06 vs Raiders |
2 | 0 | 6 | 9% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 28% |
Jaguars | South | 4 Jaguars Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 21 vs Texans 17-10 Won Sun, Sep 28 @ 49ers 26-21 Won Mon, Oct 06 vs Chiefs 31-28 Lost Sun, Oct 12 vs Seahawks 12-20 Sun, Oct 19 vs Rams Sun, Nov 02 @ Raiders Sun, Nov 09 @ Texans Sun, Nov 16 vs Chargers |
2 | 0 | 6 | 11% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 28% |
Chiefs | West | 3 Chiefs Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 21 @ Giants 22-9 Won Sun, Sep 28 vs Ravens 37-20 Lost Mon, Oct 06 @ Jaguars 28-31 Won Sun, Oct 12 vs Lions 30-17 Sun, Oct 19 vs Raiders Mon, Oct 27 vs Commanders Sun, Nov 02 @ Bills Sun, Nov 16 @ Broncos |
3 | 0 | 6 | 2% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 54% |
Texans | South | 2 Texans Recent Games Lost Mon, Sep 15 vs Bucs 19-20 Lost Sun, Sep 21 @ Jaguars 10-17 Won Sun, Sep 28 vs Titans 26-0 Won Sun, Oct 05 @ Ravens 44-10 Mon, Oct 20 @ Seahawks Sun, Oct 26 vs 49ers Sun, Nov 02 vs Broncos Sun, Nov 09 vs Jaguars |
3 | 0 | 5 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 68% |
Bengals | North | 2 Bengals Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 21 @ Vikings 10-48 Lost Mon, Sep 29 @ Broncos 3-28 Lost Sun, Oct 05 vs Lions 24-37 Lost Sun, Oct 12 @ Packers 18-27 Thu, Oct 16 vs Steelers Sun, Oct 26 vs Jets Sun, Nov 02 vs Bears Sun, Nov 16 @ Steelers |
4 | 0 | 6 | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 62% |
Raiders | West | 2 Raiders Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 21 @ Commanders 24-41 Lost Sun, Sep 28 vs Bears 24-25 Lost Sun, Oct 05 @ Colts 6-40 Won Sun, Oct 12 vs Titans 20-10 Sun, Oct 19 @ Chiefs Sun, Nov 02 vs Jaguars Thu, Nov 06 @ Broncos Mon, Nov 17 vs Cowboys |
4 | 0 | 6 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 75% |
Ravens | North | 1 Ravens Recent Games Lost Mon, Sep 22 vs Lions 30-38 Lost Sun, Sep 28 @ Chiefs 20-37 Lost Sun, Oct 05 vs Texans 10-44 Lost Sun, Oct 12 vs Rams 3-17 Sun, Oct 26 vs Bears Thu, Oct 30 @ Dolphins Sun, Nov 09 @ Vikings Sun, Nov 16 @ Browns |
5 | 0 | 6 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 94% |
Browns | North | 1 Browns Recent Games Won Sun, Sep 21 vs Packers 13-10 Lost Sun, Sep 28 @ Lions 10-34 Lost Sun, Oct 05 vs Vikings 17-21 Lost Sun, Oct 12 @ Steelers 9-23 Sun, Oct 19 vs Dolphins Sun, Oct 26 @ Pats Sun, Nov 09 @ Jets Sun, Nov 16 vs Ravens |
5 | 0 | 6 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 92% |
Dolphins | East | 1 Dolphins Recent Games Lost Thu, Sep 18 @ Bills 21-31 Won Mon, Sep 29 vs Jets 27-21 Lost Sun, Oct 05 @ Panthers 24-27 Lost Sun, Oct 12 vs Chargers 27-29 Sun, Oct 19 @ Browns Sun, Oct 26 @ Falcons Thu, Oct 30 vs Ravens Sun, Nov 09 vs Bills |
5 | 0 | 6 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 93% |
Titans | South | 1 Titans Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 21 vs Colts 20-41 Lost Sun, Sep 28 @ Texans 0-26 Won Sun, Oct 05 @ Cards 22-21 Lost Sun, Oct 12 @ Raiders 10-20 Sun, Oct 19 vs Pats Sun, Oct 26 @ Colts Sun, Nov 02 vs Chargers Sun, Nov 16 vs Texans |
5 | 0 | 6 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% |
Jets | East | 0 Jets Recent Games Lost Sun, Sep 21 @ Bucs 27-29 Lost Mon, Sep 29 @ Dolphins 21-27 Lost Sun, Oct 05 vs Cowboys 22-37 Lost Sun, Oct 12 vs Broncos 11-13 Sun, Oct 19 vs Panthers Sun, Oct 26 @ Bengals Sun, Nov 09 vs Browns Thu, Nov 13 @ Pats |
6 | 0 | 6 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |