Where is your team going in the playoffs? The AFC Playoff Picture table presents the probabilities that a team will win each NFL playoff spot. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.
| Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | DivisionDiv | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | T | GPi Games Played 17 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| Patriots | East | 10i Patriots Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 02 vs Falcons 24-23 Won Sun, Nov 09 @ Bucs 28-23 Won Thu, Nov 13 vs Jets 27-14 Won Sun, Nov 23 @ Bengals 26-20 Mon, Dec 01 vs Giants Sun, Dec 14 vs Bills Sun, Dec 21 @ Ravens Sun, Dec 28 @ Jets |
2 | 0 | 12 | 48% | 37% | 9% | 1% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Broncos | West | 9 Broncos Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 26 vs Cowboys 44-24 Won Sun, Nov 02 @ Texans 18-15 Won Thu, Nov 06 vs Raiders 10-7 Won Sun, Nov 16 vs Chiefs 22-19 Sun, Nov 30 @ Commanders Sun, Dec 07 @ Raiders Sun, Dec 14 vs Packers Sun, Dec 21 vs Jaguars |
2 | 0 | 11 | 42% | 29% | 15% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Colts | South | 8 Colts Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 26 vs Titans 38-14 Lost Sun, Nov 02 @ Steelers 20-27 Won Sun, Nov 09 vs Falcons 31-25 Lost Sun, Nov 23 @ Chiefs 20-23 Sun, Nov 30 vs Texans Sun, Dec 07 @ Jaguars Sun, Dec 14 @ Seahawks Mon, Dec 22 vs 49ers |
3 | 0 | 11 | 6% | 15% | 26% | 5% | 10% | 12% | 11% | 16% |
| Steelers | North | 6 Steelers Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 02 vs Colts 27-20 Lost Sun, Nov 09 @ Chargers 10-22 Won Sun, Nov 16 vs Bengals 34-12 Lost Sun, Nov 23 @ Bears 28-31 Sun, Nov 30 vs Bills Sun, Dec 07 @ Ravens Mon, Dec 15 vs Dolphins Sun, Dec 21 @ Lions |
5 | 0 | 11 | <1% | 2% | 11% | 54% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 30% |
| Chargers | West | 7 Chargers Recent Games Won Thu, Oct 23 vs Vikings 37-10 Won Sun, Nov 02 @ Titans 27-20 Won Sun, Nov 09 vs Steelers 22-10 Lost Sun, Nov 16 @ Jaguars 6-35 Sun, Nov 30 vs Raiders Mon, Dec 08 vs Eagles Sun, Dec 14 @ Chiefs Sun, Dec 21 @ Cowboys |
4 | 0 | 11 | 1% | 3% | 6% | <1% | 21% | 18% | 18% | 33% |
| Jaguars | South | 7 Jaguars Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 02 @ Raiders 30-29 Lost Sun, Nov 09 @ Texans 29-36 Won Sun, Nov 16 vs Chargers 35-6 Won Sun, Nov 23 @ Cards 27-24 Sun, Nov 30 @ Titans Sun, Dec 07 vs Colts Sun, Dec 14 vs Jets Sun, Dec 21 @ Broncos |
4 | 0 | 11 | 3% | 11% | 19% | 4% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 13% |
| Bills | East | 7 Bills Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 02 vs Chiefs 28-21 Lost Sun, Nov 09 @ Dolphins 13-30 Won Sun, Nov 16 vs Bucs 44-32 Lost Thu, Nov 20 @ Texans 19-23 Sun, Nov 30 @ Steelers Sun, Dec 07 vs Bengals Sun, Dec 14 @ Pats Sun, Dec 21 @ Browns |
4 | 0 | 11 | 1% | 2% | 2% | <1% | 28% | 24% | 19% | 24% |
| Texans | South | 6 Texans Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 02 vs Broncos 15-18 Won Sun, Nov 09 vs Jaguars 36-29 Won Sun, Nov 16 @ Titans 16-13 Won Thu, Nov 20 vs Bills 23-19 Sun, Nov 30 @ Colts Sun, Dec 07 @ Chiefs Sun, Dec 14 vs Cards Sun, Dec 21 vs Raiders |
5 | 0 | 11 | <1% | 1% | 11% | 2% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 47% |
| Chiefs | West | 6 Chiefs Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 02 @ Bills 21-28 Lost Sun, Nov 16 @ Broncos 19-22 Won Sun, Nov 23 vs Colts 23-20 Lost Thu, Nov 27 @ Cowboys 28-31 Sun, Dec 07 vs Texans Sun, Dec 14 vs Chargers Sun, Dec 21 @ Titans Thu, Dec 25 vs Broncos |
6 | 0 | 12 | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 72% |
| Ravens | North | 6 Ravens Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 09 @ Vikings 27-19 Won Sun, Nov 16 @ Browns 23-16 Won Sun, Nov 23 vs Jets 23-10 Lost Thu, Nov 27 vs Bengals 14-32 Sun, Dec 07 vs Steelers Sun, Dec 14 @ Bengals Sun, Dec 21 vs Pats Sun, Dec 28 @ Packers |
6 | 0 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 29% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 70% |
| Dolphins | East | 4 Dolphins Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 26 @ Falcons 34-10 Lost Thu, Oct 30 vs Ravens 6-28 Won Sun, Nov 09 vs Bills 30-13 Won Sun, Nov 16 vs Commanders 16-13 Sun, Nov 30 vs Saints Sun, Dec 07 @ Jets Mon, Dec 15 @ Steelers Sun, Dec 21 vs Bengals |
7 | 0 | 11 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Bengals | North | 4 Bengals Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 02 vs Bears 42-47 Lost Sun, Nov 16 @ Steelers 12-34 Lost Sun, Nov 23 vs Pats 20-26 Won Thu, Nov 27 @ Ravens 32-14 Sun, Dec 07 @ Bills Sun, Dec 14 vs Ravens Sun, Dec 21 @ Dolphins Sun, Dec 28 vs Cards |
8 | 0 | 12 | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 94% |
| Browns | North | 3 Browns Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 26 @ Pats 13-32 Lost Sun, Nov 09 @ Jets 20-27 Lost Sun, Nov 16 vs Ravens 16-23 Won Sun, Nov 23 @ Raiders 24-10 Sun, Nov 30 vs 49ers Sun, Dec 07 vs Titans Sun, Dec 14 @ Bears Sun, Dec 21 vs Bills |
8 | 0 | 11 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Jets | East | 2 Jets Recent Games Won Sun, Oct 26 @ Bengals 39-38 Won Sun, Nov 09 vs Browns 27-20 Lost Thu, Nov 13 @ Pats 14-27 Lost Sun, Nov 23 @ Ravens 10-23 Sun, Nov 30 vs Falcons Sun, Dec 07 vs Dolphins Sun, Dec 14 @ Jaguars Sun, Dec 21 @ Saints |
9 | 0 | 11 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Raiders | West | 2 Raiders Recent Games Lost Sun, Nov 02 vs Jaguars 29-30 Lost Thu, Nov 06 @ Broncos 7-10 Lost Mon, Nov 17 vs Cowboys 16-33 Lost Sun, Nov 23 vs Browns 10-24 Sun, Nov 30 @ Chargers Sun, Dec 07 vs Broncos Sun, Dec 14 @ Eagles Sun, Dec 21 @ Texans |
9 | 0 | 11 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Titans | South | 1 Titans Recent Games Lost Sun, Oct 26 @ Colts 14-38 Lost Sun, Nov 02 vs Chargers 20-27 Lost Sun, Nov 16 vs Texans 13-16 Lost Sun, Nov 23 vs Seahawks 24-30 Sun, Nov 30 vs Jaguars Sun, Dec 07 @ Browns Sun, Dec 14 @ 49ers Sun, Dec 21 vs Chiefs |
10 | 0 | 11 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% |