The Most Important Games for the Chargers are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Chargers final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Chargers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Chargers Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Chargers (7‑3) vs Jaguars (5‑4) |
50 | Chargers Wins | 8% | 11% | 9% | 1% | 37% | 18% | 10% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 9% | 1% | 28% | 18% | 14% | 16% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 2% | 5% | 9% | 1% | 23% | 20% | 18% | 22% | ||
| Jets (2‑7) vs Patriots (8‑2) |
10 | Jets Wins | 8% | 8% | 6% | 1% | 29% | 17% | 14% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 9% | 1% | 28% | 18% | 14% | 16% | ||
| Patriots Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 1% | 28% | 18% | 13% | 17% | ||
| Chiefs (5‑4) vs Broncos (8‑2) |
7 | Chiefs Wins | 6% | 10% | 12% | 1% | 20% | 16% | 14% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 9% | 1% | 28% | 18% | 14% | 16% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 5% | 7% | 8% | 1% | 30% | 18% | 14% | 16% | ||
| Buccaneers (6‑3) vs Bills (6‑3) |
5 | Buccaneers Wins | 6% | 9% | 9% | 1% | 31% | 17% | 13% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 9% | 1% | 28% | 18% | 14% | 16% | ||
| Bills Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 1% | 26% | 19% | 14% | 18% | ||
| Titans (1‑8) vs Texans (4‑5) |
3 | Titans Wins | 5% | 9% | 9% | 1% | 30% | 18% | 14% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 9% | 1% | 28% | 18% | 14% | 16% | ||
| Texans Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 1% | 28% | 18% | 13% | 17% | ||
| Browns (2‑7) vs Ravens (4‑5) |
2 | Browns Wins | 6% | 8% | 9% | 1% | 29% | 18% | 14% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 9% | 1% | 28% | 18% | 14% | 16% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 6% | 8% | 9% | 1% | 28% | 18% | 14% | 17% | ||
| Commanders (3‑7) vs Dolphins (3‑7) |
2 | Commanders Wins | 6% | 8% | 9% | 1% | 28% | 18% | 14% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 9% | 1% | 28% | 18% | 14% | 16% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | 6% | 8% | 9% | 1% | 28% | 18% | 14% | 17% | ||
| Bengals (3‑6) vs Steelers (5‑4) |
1 | Bengals Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | <1% | 29% | 18% | 14% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 9% | 1% | 28% | 18% | 14% | 16% | ||
| Steelers Wins | 5% | 9% | 9% | 1% | 28% | 18% | 14% | 16% | ||
| Raiders (2‑7) vs Cowboys (3‑5‑1) |
0 | Raiders Wins | 6% | 8% | 9% | 1% | 28% | 18% | 14% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 9% | 1% | 28% | 18% | 14% | 16% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | 6% | 8% | 9% | 1% | 28% | 18% | 14% | 17% | ||