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Mon Oct 19 12:00 am

NFL - Week 6 of 18

Chargers What If?

The Chargers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Chargers play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Chargers What If?

Next Game - Rams (2‑4)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 1 6 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
Current Standings 0 6 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Lose Next Game 0 7 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
Best Case Scenario
None 		Worst Case Scenario
None
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
 2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7 8
11 of 11 100% 11 6 0 <1% 2% 7% 4% 34% 38% 13% 2%
10 of 11 91% 10 7 0 <1% <1% 1% 2% 9% 31% 35% 21%
9 of 11 82% 9 8 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 24% 68%
8 of 11 73% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 96%
7 of 11 64% 7 10 0 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
6 of 11 55% 6 11 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
5 of 11 45% 5 12 0 X X X X X X <1% >99%
4 of 11 36% 4 13 0 X X X X X X X 100%
3 of 11 27% 3 14 0 X X X X X X X 100%
2 of 11 18% 2 15 0 X X X X X X X 100%
1 of 11 9% 1 16 0 X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 11 0% 0 17 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs