The Chargers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Chargers play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1% | 3% | 7% | 1% | 21% | 21% | 21% | 25% |
| Current Standings | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1% | 3% | 6% | 1% | 19% | 20% | 20% | 30% |
| Lose Next Game | 7 | 5 | 0 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 10% | 16% | 21% | 47% |
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 2% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 26% | 19% | 16% | 28% |
| Current Standings | 1% | 3% | 6% | 1% | 19% | 20% | 20% | 30% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 1% | 3% | 7% | 1% | 15% | 18% | 23% | 31% |
|
Best Case Scenario Texans beats Bills Bengals beats Patriots Cardinals beats Jaguars |
Worst Case Scenario Bills beats Texans Patriots beats Bengals Jaguars beats Cardinals |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 6 of 6 | 100% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 22% | 37% | 19% | <1% | 22% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 6 | 83% | 12 | 5 | 0 | 2% | 12% | 26% | 2% | 49% | 9% | <1% | <1% |
| 4 of 6 | 67% | 11 | 6 | 0 | <1% | 1% | 10% | 3% | 39% | 36% | 12% | 1% |
| 3 of 6 | 50% | 10 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 11% | 33% | 40% | 14% |
| 2 of 6 | 33% | 9 | 8 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 31% | 60% |
| 1 of 6 | 17% | 8 | 9 | 0 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 94% |
| 0 of 6 | 0% | 7 | 10 | 0 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |