The Most Important Games for the Colts are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Colts final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Colts fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Colts Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Colts (8‑3) vs Texans (6‑5) |
68 | Colts Wins | 7% | 18% | 29% | 6% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 14% | 25% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 19% | ||
| Texans Wins | 1% | 7% | 20% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 31% | ||
| Giants (2‑10) vs Patriots (10‑2) |
15 | Giants Wins | 10% | 15% | 20% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 14% | 25% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 19% | ||
| Patriots Wins | 5% | 14% | 25% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 18% | ||
| Commanders (3‑8) vs Broncos (9‑2) |
10 | Commanders Wins | 8% | 18% | 20% | 5% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 14% | 25% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 19% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 5% | 13% | 27% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 19% | ||
| Titans (1‑10) vs Jaguars (7‑4) |
8 | Titans Wins | 6% | 15% | 29% | 8% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 14% | 25% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 19% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 6% | 15% | 24% | 5% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 19% | ||
| Steelers (6‑5) vs Bills (7‑4) |
4 | Steelers Wins | 6% | 15% | 23% | 7% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 14% | 25% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 19% | ||
| Bills Wins | 6% | 14% | 27% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 21% | ||
| Raiders (2‑9) vs Chargers (7‑4) |
4 | Raiders Wins | 6% | 15% | 24% | 5% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 14% | 25% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 19% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 6% | 15% | 25% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 20% | ||
| Cowboys (5‑5‑1) vs Chiefs (6‑5) |
2 | Cowboys Wins | 6% | 15% | 24% | 5% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 14% | 25% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 19% | ||
| Chiefs Wins | 6% | 14% | 25% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 19% | ||
| Bengals (3‑8) vs Ravens (6‑5) |
2 | Bengals Wins | 6% | 15% | 26% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 14% | 25% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 19% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 6% | 14% | 25% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 19% | ||
| Saints (2‑9) vs Dolphins (4‑7) |
2 | Saints Wins | 6% | 15% | 25% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 14% | 25% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 19% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | 6% | 14% | 24% | 5% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 19% | ||
| Browns (3‑8) vs Forty-Niners49ers (8‑4) |
1 | Browns Wins | 6% | 15% | 25% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 14% | 25% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 19% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 6% | 14% | 25% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 19% | ||
| Falcons (4‑7) vs Jets (2‑9) |
1 | Falcons Wins | 6% | 14% | 25% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 19% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 14% | 25% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 19% | ||
| Jets Wins | 6% | 15% | 25% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 19% | ||