The Most Important Games for the Colts are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Colts final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Colts fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Colts Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Colts (8‑6) vs Jaguars (11‑4) |
19 | Colts Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | X | 1% | 16% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | X | <1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ||
| Colts (8‑6) vs Forty-Niners49ers (10‑4) |
10 | Colts Wins | X | X | <1% | 1% | X | 1% | 12% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | X | <1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | 4% | 96% | ||
| Chargers (11‑4) vs Texans (10‑5) |
6 | Chargers Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | X | <1% | 10% | 89% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | X | <1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Texans Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 5% | 94% | ||
| Broncos (12‑3) vs Chiefs (6‑9) |
2 | Broncos Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | X | <1% | 9% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | X | <1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Chiefs Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | X | <1% | 7% | 92% | ||
| Dolphins (6‑9) vs Buccaneers (7‑8) |
1 | Dolphins Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | X | <1% | 9% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | X | <1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Buccaneers Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | X | <1% | 8% | 92% | ||
| Eagles (10‑5) vs Bills (11‑4) |
1 | Eagles Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | X | <1% | 9% | 90% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | X | <1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Bills Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | X | <1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Browns (3‑12) vs Steelers (9‑6) |
1 | Browns Wins | X | X | 1% | X | X | <1% | 8% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | X | <1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Steelers Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | X | <1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Ravens (7‑8) vs Packers (9‑5‑1) |
0 | Ravens Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | X | <1% | 8% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | X | <1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Packers Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | X | <1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Bengals (5‑10) vs Cardinals (3‑12) |
0 | Bengals Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | X | <1% | 8% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | X | <1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | X | <1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Jets (3‑12) vs Patriots (12‑3) |
0 | Jets Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | X | <1% | 8% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | X | <1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Patriots Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | X | <1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Titans (3‑12) vs Saints (5‑10) |
0 | Titans Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | X | <1% | 8% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | X | <1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Saints Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | X | <1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Raiders (2‑13) vs Giants (2‑13) |
0 | Raiders Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | X | <1% | 8% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | <1% | X | <1% | 8% | 91% | ||
| Giants Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | X | <1% | 8% | 91% | ||