The Most Important Games for the Colts are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Colts final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Colts fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Colts Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Chiefs (5‑4) vs Broncos (8‑2) |
12 | Chiefs Wins | 27% | 23% | 20% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 22% | 23% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 23% | 22% | 24% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Chargers (7‑3) vs Jaguars (5‑4) |
4 | Chargers Wins | 24% | 22% | 26% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 22% | 23% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 24% | 22% | 21% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | ||
| Titans (1‑8) vs Texans (4‑5) |
3 | Titans Wins | 24% | 22% | 24% | 9% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 22% | 23% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Texans Wins | 24% | 22% | 23% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Bengals (3‑6) vs Steelers (5‑4) |
2 | Bengals Wins | 23% | 24% | 26% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 22% | 23% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Steelers Wins | 23% | 22% | 23% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Browns (2‑7) vs Ravens (4‑5) |
2 | Browns Wins | 24% | 23% | 24% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 22% | 23% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 24% | 22% | 23% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Buccaneers (6‑3) vs Bills (6‑3) |
1 | Buccaneers Wins | 24% | 22% | 23% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 22% | 23% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Bills Wins | 24% | 22% | 24% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 7% | ||
| Commanders (3‑7) vs Dolphins (3‑7) |
1 | Commanders Wins | 24% | 23% | 23% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 22% | 23% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | 23% | 23% | 24% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Cowboys (3‑5‑1) vs Raiders (2‑7) |
0 | Cowboys Wins | 23% | 22% | 24% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 22% | 23% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | ||
| Raiders Wins | 23% | 22% | 24% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | ||