PlayoffStatus.com

Mon Sep 20 11:15 pm

NFL - Week 3 of 18

Colts What If?

The Colts What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Colts play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Colts What If?

Next Game - Titans (1‑1)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 1 2 0 1% 2% 4% 9% 2% 4% 5% 74%
Current Standings 0 2 0 <1% 2% 3% 7% 2% 3% 4% 79%
Lose Next Game 0 3 0 <1% 1% 2% 6% 1% 3% 4% 83%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 1% 2% 4% 9% 2% 4% 5% 74%
Current Standings <1% 2% 3% 7% 2% 3% 4% 79%
Worst Case Scenario <1% 1% 2% 6% 1% 3% 4% 83%
Best Case Scenario
   Colts beats Titans
Worst Case Scenario
   Titans beats Colts
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1* 2** 3** 4** 5 6 7 8
15 of 15 100% 15 2 0 85% 15% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
14 of 15 93% 14 3 0 53% 42% 4% <1% 1% <1% ^ ^
13 of 15 87% 13 4 0 18% 50% 23% 3% 5% 1% <1% <1%
12 of 15 80% 12 5 0 3% 26% 38% 14% 14% 6% <1% <1%
11 of 15 73% 11 6 0 <1% 6% 26% 28% 13% 18% 7% 1%
10 of 15 67% 10 7 0 <1% 1% 9% 29% 5% 20% 23% 13%
9 of 15 60% 9 8 0 <1% <1% 2% 20% 1% 8% 22% 48%
8 of 15 53% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% 10% <1% 1% 7% 82%
7 of 15 47% 7 10 0 <1% <1% <1% 3% <1% <1% 1% 96%
6 of 15 40% 6 11 0 X <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
5 of 15 33% 5 12 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
4 of 15 27% 4 13 0 X X X X X X <1% >99%
3 of 15 20% 3 14 0 X X X X X X X 100%
2 of 15 13% 2 15 0 X X X X X X X 100%
1 of 15 7% 1 16 0 X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 15 0% 0 17 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs