PlayoffStatus.com

Mon Nov 3 2:00 am

NFL - Week 9 of 18

Colts What If?

The Colts What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Colts play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Colts What If?

Next Game - Falcons (3‑5)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 8 2 0 23% 19% 16% 7% 11% 10% 7% 7%
Current Standings 7 2 0 20% 17% 17% 9% 10% 10% 8% 10%
Lose Next Game 7 3 0 10% 15% 20% 13% 8% 10% 10% 15%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 28% 17% 14% 6% 11% 10% 6% 6%
Current Standings 20% 17% 17% 9% 10% 10% 8% 10%
Worst Case Scenario 8% 16% 21% 14% 6% 11% 10% 14%
Best Case Scenario
   Raiders beats Broncos
   Colts beats Falcons
   Buccaneers beats Patriots
Worst Case Scenario
   Broncos beats Raiders
   Falcons beats Colts
   Patriots beats Buccaneers
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
8 of 8 100% 15 2 0 99% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
7 of 8 88% 14 3 0 73% 25% 2% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
6 of 8 75% 13 4 0 29% 47% 19% 2% 3% <1% <1% ^
5 of 8 63% 12 5 0 5% 27% 38% 12% 14% 4% <1% <1%
4 of 8 50% 11 6 0 <1% 5% 27% 23% 20% 20% 5% <1%
3 of 8 38% 10 7 0 <1% <1% 8% 17% 9% 30% 27% 8%
2 of 8 25% 9 8 0 <1% <1% 1% 5% 1% 11% 31% 52%
1 of 8 13% 8 9 0 X <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 7% 92%
0 of 8 0% 7 10 0 X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs