The Colts What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Colts play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 9 | 3 | 0 | 7% | 18% | 31% | 6% | 12% | 12% | 9% | 7% |
| Current Standings | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5% | 15% | 26% | 5% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 16% |
| Lose Next Game | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1% | 7% | 20% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 26% |
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 16% | 19% | 20% | 5% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 7% |
| Current Standings | 5% | 15% | 26% | 5% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 16% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 1% | 6% | 22% | 5% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 26% |
|
Best Case Scenario Colts beats Texans Commanders beats Broncos Giants beats Patriots |
Worst Case Scenario Texans beats Colts Broncos beats Commanders Patriots beats Giants |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 6 of 6 | 100% | 14 | 3 | 0 | 59% | 36% | 5% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 6 | 83% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 19% | 52% | 29% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 6 | 67% | 12 | 5 | 0 | 2% | 25% | 57% | 5% | 11% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| 3 of 6 | 50% | 11 | 6 | 0 | <1% | 2% | 34% | 13% | 25% | 20% | 6% | <1% |
| 2 of 6 | 33% | 10 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 29% | 35% | 22% |
| 1 of 6 | 17% | 9 | 8 | 0 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 21% | 75% |
| 0 of 6 | 0% | 8 | 9 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 98% |