The Colts What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Colts play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 8 | 1 | 0 | 51% | 17% | 10% | 1% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Standings | 7 | 1 | 0 | 41% | 17% | 12% | 4% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 5% |
| Lose Next Game | 7 | 2 | 0 | 30% | 20% | 15% | 6% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 6% |
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 55% | 18% | 10% | 1% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% |
| Current Standings | 41% | 17% | 12% | 4% | 9% | 7% | 4% | 5% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 28% | 20% | 14% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 7% |
|
Best Case Scenario Falcons beats Patriots Colts beats Steelers Raiders beats Jaguars |
Worst Case Scenario Patriots beats Falcons Steelers beats Colts Jaguars beats Raiders |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 9 of 9 | 100% | 16 | 1 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 9 | 89% | 15 | 2 | 0 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 9 | 78% | 14 | 3 | 0 | 84% | 16% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 9 | 67% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 45% | 41% | 10% | <1% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 5 of 9 | 56% | 12 | 5 | 0 | 11% | 37% | 31% | 4% | 15% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 4 of 9 | 44% | 11 | 6 | 0 | 1% | 11% | 32% | 13% | 23% | 15% | 3% | <1% |
| 3 of 9 | 33% | 10 | 7 | 0 | <1% | 1% | 12% | 15% | 13% | 31% | 21% | 7% |
| 2 of 9 | 22% | 9 | 8 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 2% | 13% | 32% | 45% |
| 1 of 9 | 11% | 8 | 9 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 90% |
| 0 of 9 | 0% | 7 | 10 | 0 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |