The Colts What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Colts play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 9 | 2 | 0 | 28% | 23% | 20% | 5% | 9% | 8% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Standings | 8 | 2 | 0 | 21% | 21% | 22% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 8% |
| Lose Next Game | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11% | 19% | 26% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 8% | 11% |
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 35% | 23% | 18% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Standings | 21% | 21% | 22% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 6% | 8% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 8% | 18% | 27% | 10% | 6% | 10% | 9% | 11% |
|
Best Case Scenario Bengals beats Patriots Colts beats Chiefs Cardinals beats Jaguars |
Worst Case Scenario Patriots beats Bengals Chiefs beats Colts Jaguars beats Cardinals |
|||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 7 of 7 | 100% | 15 | 2 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 7 | 86% | 14 | 3 | 0 | 66% | 30% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 7 | 71% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 23% | 49% | 26% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 7 | 57% | 12 | 5 | 0 | 3% | 24% | 50% | 11% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 3 of 7 | 43% | 11 | 6 | 0 | <1% | 2% | 29% | 22% | 18% | 22% | 6% | 1% |
| 2 of 7 | 29% | 10 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 5% | 25% | 36% | 22% |
| 1 of 7 | 14% | 9 | 8 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 16% | 80% |
| 0 of 7 | 0% | 8 | 9 | 0 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |