The Most Important Games for the Dolphins are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Dolphins final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Dolphins fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Dolphins Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Dolphins (6‑7) vs Steelers (7‑6) |
1 | Dolphins Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Steelers Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Seahawks (10‑3) vs Colts (8‑5) |
0 | Seahawks Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Colts Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Patriots (11‑2) vs Bills (9‑4) |
0 | Patriots Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Bills Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Chiefs (6‑7) vs Chargers (9‑4) |
0 | Chiefs Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Chargers Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Cardinals (3‑10) vs Texans (8‑5) |
0 | Cardinals Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Texans Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers (9‑4) vs Titans (2‑11) |
0 | Forty-Niners49ers Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Titans Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Bears (9‑4) vs Browns (3‑10) |
0 | Bears Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Browns Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Jets (3‑10) vs Jaguars (9‑4) |
0 | Jets Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Bengals (4‑9) vs Ravens (6‑7) |
0 | Bengals Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Ravens Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Raiders (2‑11) vs Eagles (8‑5) |
0 | Raiders Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Eagles Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Broncos (11‑2) vs Packers (9‑3‑1) |
0 | Broncos Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||
| Packers Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% | ||