The Most Important Games for the Dolphins are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Dolphins final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Dolphins fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Dolphins Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Dolphins (3‑1) vs Jets (2‑2) |
53 | Dolphins Wins | 20% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 16% | 9% | 8% | 29% | ||
| Jets Wins | 10% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 33% | ||
| Steelers (1‑3) vs Bills (3‑1) |
10 | Steelers Wins | 19% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 12% | 9% | 7% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 16% | 9% | 8% | 29% | ||
| Bills Wins | 18% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 16% | 9% | 8% | 28% | ||
| Raiders (1‑3) vs Chiefs (3‑1) |
7 | Raiders Wins | 20% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 16% | 9% | 8% | 29% | ||
| Chiefs Wins | 17% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Commanders (1‑3) vs Titans (2‑2) |
4 | Commanders Wins | 18% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 15% | 9% | 7% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 16% | 9% | 8% | 29% | ||
| Titans Wins | 18% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 29% | ||
| Texans (0‑3‑1) vs Jaguars (2‑2) |
3 | Texans Wins | 19% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 16% | 9% | 8% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 16% | 9% | 8% | 29% | ||
| Jaguars Wins | 18% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 29% | ||
| Browns (2‑2) vs Chargers (2‑2) |
2 | Browns Wins | 18% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 16% | 9% | 8% | 29% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 17% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 29% | ||
| Colts (1‑2‑1) vs Broncos (2‑2) |
2 | Colts Wins | 18% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 16% | 9% | 8% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 16% | 9% | 8% | 29% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 17% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 16% | 9% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Ravens (2‑2) vs Bengals (2‑2) |
1 | Ravens Wins | 18% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 16% | 9% | 8% | 29% | ||
| Bengals Wins | 18% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 15% | 9% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Patriots (1‑3) vs Lions (1‑3) |
0 | Patriots Wins | 18% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 16% | 9% | 8% | 29% | ||
| Lions Wins | 18% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 15% | 9% | 8% | 28% | ||