PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Oct 22 8:15 pm

NFL - Week 7 of 17

Falcons What If?

The Falcons What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Falcons play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Falcons What If?

Next Game - Patriots (4‑2)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
Win Next Game 4 2 0 8% 11% 7% 5% 10% 10% 49%
Current Standings 3 2 0 6% 9% 7% 6% 9% 9% 55%
Lose Next Game 3 3 0 3% 7% 6% 6% 8% 9% 61%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
Best Case Scenario 10% 12% 8% 5% 12% 11% 43%
Current Standings 6% 9% 7% 6% 9% 9% 55%
Worst Case Scenario 1% 5% 6% 7% 5% 9% 68%
Best Case Scenario
   Falcons beats Patriots
   Falcons beats Jets
Worst Case Scenario
   Patriots beats Falcons
   Jets beats Falcons
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1* 2* 3** 4** 5 6 7
11 of 11 100% 14 2 0 90% 10% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
10 of 11 91% 13 3 0 64% 35% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^
9 of 11 82% 12 4 0 25% 51% 16% 1% 7% <1% <1%
8 of 11 73% 11 5 0 3% 24% 32% 12% 23% 6% <1%
7 of 11 64% 10 6 0 <1% 2% 14% 21% 23% 28% 12%
6 of 11 55% 9 7 0 <1% <1% 2% 11% 4% 21% 62%
5 of 11 45% 8 8 0 <1% <1% <1% 2% <1% 2% 96%
4 of 11 36% 7 9 0 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
3 of 11 27% 6 10 0 X X X X <1% <1% >99%
2 of 11 18% 5 11 0 X X X X X X 100%
1 of 11 9% 4 12 0 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 11 0% 3 13 0 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs