PlayoffStatus.com

Fri Oct 24 8:00 am

NFL - Week 8 of 18

Falcons What If?

The Falcons What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Falcons play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Falcons What If?

Next Game - Dolphins (1‑6)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 4 3 0 1% 3% 5% 5% 8% 9% 10% 59%
Current Standings 3 3 0 1% 3% 5% 5% 7% 8% 9% 61%
Lose Next Game 3 4 0 <1% 1% 3% 4% 4% 7% 8% 72%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 2% 4% 8% 8% 6% 8% 9% 56%
Current Standings 1% 3% 5% 5% 7% 8% 9% 61%
Worst Case Scenario <1% 1% 3% 3% 5% 7% 9% 72%
Best Case Scenario
   Falcons beats Dolphins
   Bills beats Panthers
   Saints beats Buccaneers
Worst Case Scenario
   Dolphins beats Falcons
   Panthers beats Bills
   Buccaneers beats Saints
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
11 of 11 100% 14 3 0 48% 37% 7% <1% 7% <1% ^ ^
10 of 11 91% 13 4 0 13% 34% 22% 4% 24% 3% <1% <1%
9 of 11 82% 12 5 0 1% 11% 24% 12% 32% 17% 2% <1%
8 of 11 73% 11 6 0 <1% 1% 10% 14% 17% 32% 20% 6%
7 of 11 64% 10 7 0 <1% <1% 1% 7% 3% 15% 31% 42%
6 of 11 55% 9 8 0 <1% <1% <1% 2% <1% 1% 9% 88%
5 of 11 45% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 99%
4 of 11 36% 7 10 0 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
3 of 11 27% 6 11 0 X X <1% <1% X <1% <1% >99%
2 of 11 18% 5 12 0 X X X X X X X 100%
1 of 11 9% 4 13 0 X X X X X X X 100%
0 of 11 0% 3 14 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs