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Fri Nov 6 12:00 am

NFL - Week 9 of 18

Giants What If?

The Giants What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Giants play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Giants What If?

Next Game - Eagles (2‑6)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 5 2 1 4% 14% 39% 18% <1% 1% 2% 23%
Current Standings 4 2 1 3% 12% 36% 17% <1% 1% 2% 29%
Lose Next Game 4 3 1 1% 7% 33% 20% <1% 1% 2% 36%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 4% 14% 40% 20% <1% <1% 1% 20%
Current Standings 3% 12% 36% 17% <1% 1% 2% 29%
Worst Case Scenario 1% 8% 31% 19% <1% 1% 2% 39%
Best Case Scenario
   Colts beats Cowboys
   Giants beats Eagles
Worst Case Scenario
   Cowboys beats Colts
   Eagles beats Giants
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
10 of 10 100% 14 2 1 72% 28% 1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
9 of 10 90% 13 3 1 31% 56% 13% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
8 of 10 80% 12 4 1 7% 48% 45% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
7 of 10 70% 11 5 1 <1% 22% 74% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1%
6 of 10 60% 10 6 1 <1% 4% 74% 16% <1% 2% 2% 1%
5 of 10 50% 9 7 1 <1% <1% 43% 37% <1% 2% 6% 12%
4 of 10 40% 8 8 1 <1% <1% 13% 40% <1% <1% 2% 45%
3 of 10 30% 7 9 1 X <1% 1% 22% <1% <1% <1% 77%
2 of 10 20% 6 10 1 X X <1% 5% X <1% <1% 95%
1 of 10 10% 5 11 1 X X <1% <1% X X X >99%
0 of 10 0% 4 12 1 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs