The Most Important Games for the Jaguars are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Jaguars final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Jaguars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Jaguars Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Jaguars (5‑4) vs Chargers (7‑3) |
44 | Jaguars Wins | 2% | 5% | 9% | 3% | 12% | 17% | 19% | 32% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 44% | ||
| Chargers Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 9% | 19% | 58% | ||
| Titans (1‑8) vs Texans (4‑5) |
5 | Titans Wins | 1% | 4% | 9% | 4% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 42% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 44% | ||
| Texans Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 45% | ||
| Buccaneers (6‑3) vs Bills (6‑3) |
3 | Buccaneers Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 44% | ||
| Bills Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 8% | 13% | 18% | 45% | ||
| Broncos (8‑2) vs Chiefs (5‑4) |
2 | Broncos Wins | 1% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 44% | ||
| Chiefs Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 3% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 46% | ||
| Bengals (3‑6) vs Steelers (5‑4) |
1 | Bengals Wins | 1% | 4% | 9% | 2% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 44% | ||
| Steelers Wins | 1% | 4% | 7% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 44% | ||
| Browns (2‑7) vs Ravens (4‑5) |
1 | Browns Wins | 1% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 9% | 14% | 18% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 44% | ||
| Ravens Wins | 1% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 45% | ||
| Commanders (3‑7) vs Dolphins (3‑7) |
1 | Commanders Wins | 1% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 9% | 13% | 18% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 44% | ||
| Dolphins Wins | 1% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 44% | ||
| Raiders (2‑7) vs Cowboys (3‑5‑1) |
0 | Raiders Wins | 1% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 44% | ||
| Cowboys Wins | 1% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 9% | 13% | 17% | 44% | ||