The Most Important Games for the Jaguars are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Jaguars final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Jaguars fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Jaguars Resultant Playoff Probabilities | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |||
| Jaguars (7‑4) vs Titans (1‑10) |
46 | Jaguars Wins | 3% | 12% | 21% | 3% | 20% | 19% | 14% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 11% | 19% | 4% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 13% | ||
| Titans Wins | <1% | 5% | 14% | 4% | 12% | 18% | 20% | 26% | ||
| Giants (2‑10) vs Patriots (10‑2) |
10 | Giants Wins | 6% | 10% | 16% | 3% | 18% | 18% | 14% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 11% | 19% | 4% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 13% | ||
| Patriots Wins | 3% | 11% | 19% | 3% | 17% | 19% | 15% | 14% | ||
| Raiders (2‑9) vs Chargers (7‑4) |
5 | Raiders Wins | 3% | 11% | 18% | 4% | 20% | 20% | 13% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 11% | 19% | 4% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 13% | ||
| Chargers Wins | 3% | 11% | 19% | 4% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 14% | ||
| Commanders (3‑8) vs Broncos (9‑2) |
4 | Commanders Wins | 3% | 13% | 16% | 3% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 11% | 19% | 4% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 13% | ||
| Broncos Wins | 2% | 10% | 20% | 3% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 13% | ||
| Steelers (6‑5) vs Bills (7‑4) |
1 | Steelers Wins | 3% | 11% | 18% | 4% | 21% | 16% | 13% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 11% | 19% | 4% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 13% | ||
| Bills Wins | 3% | 11% | 21% | 1% | 13% | 20% | 17% | 13% | ||
| Dolphins (4‑7) vs Saints (2‑9) |
0 | Dolphins Wins | 3% | 11% | 19% | 3% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 11% | 19% | 4% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 13% | ||
| Saints Wins | 3% | 11% | 18% | 4% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 14% | ||
| Forty-Niners49ers (8‑4) vs Browns (3‑8) |
0 | Forty-Niners49ers Wins | 3% | 11% | 19% | 4% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 11% | 19% | 4% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 13% | ||
| Browns Wins | 3% | 11% | 18% | 3% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 14% | ||
| Jets (2‑9) vs Falcons (4‑7) |
0 | Jets Wins | 3% | 11% | 19% | 4% | 17% | 18% | 15% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 11% | 19% | 4% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 13% | ||
| Falcons Wins | 3% | 10% | 18% | 4% | 18% | 18% | 15% | 14% | ||
| Texans (6‑5) vs Colts (8‑3) |
0 | Texans Wins | 3% | 12% | 21% | 4% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 11% | 19% | 4% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 13% | ||
| Colts Wins | 3% | 11% | 19% | 3% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 12% | ||