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Jaguars What If?

The Jaguars What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Jaguars play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

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Jaguars What If?

Next Game - Vikings (5-5)

  Resultant Record  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
  W L T 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Win Next Game 5 6 0 X X X X 1% 2% 97%
Current Standings 4 6 0 X X X X 1% 2% 98%
Lose Next Game 4 7 0 X X X X < 1% < 1% > 99%




Best/Worst Case Scenarios - New (Under Development)

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
  1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Best Case Scenario X X X X 1% 2% 97%
Current Standings X X X X 1% 2% 98%
Worst Case Scenario X X X X < 1% < 1% > 99%
Best Case Scenario
   Jaguars beats Vikings
 Worst Case Scenario
   Vikings beats Jaguars
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
W L T 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
6 of 6 100% 10 6 0 X X X X 19% 44% 37%
5 of 6 83% 9 7 0 X X X X 1% 10% 89%
4 of 6 67% 8 8 0 X X X X < 1% < 1% > 99%
3 of 6 50% 7 9 0 X X X X < 1% < 1% > 99%
2 of 6 33% 6 10 0 X X X X X X 100%
1 of 6 17% 5 11 0 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 6 0% 4 12 0 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot

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