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Thu Oct 22 11:45 pm

NFL - Week 7 of 18

Ravens What If?

The Ravens What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Ravens play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Ravens What If?

Next Game - Bengals (3‑2)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Win Next Game 5 2 0 6% 10% 7% 3% 12% 13% 11% 38%
Current Standings 4 2 0 5% 9% 6% 3% 11% 12% 11% 44%
Lose Next Game 4 3 0 2% 6% 4% 2% 9% 12% 12% 53%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
Best Case Scenario 7% 11% 8% 4% 10% 12% 11% 37%
Current Standings 5% 9% 6% 3% 11% 12% 11% 44%
Worst Case Scenario 2% 5% 4% 2% 9% 12% 12% 54%
Best Case Scenario
   Ravens beats Bengals
   Titans beats Browns
Worst Case Scenario
   Bengals beats Ravens
   Browns beats Titans
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L T 1*
First Round Bye
2**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7 8
11 of 11 100% 15 2 0 81% 19% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
10 of 11 91% 14 3 0 51% 41% 2% <1% 6% <1% ^ ^
9 of 11 82% 13 4 0 18% 46% 13% 1% 19% 2% <1% <1%
8 of 11 73% 12 5 0 2% 20% 21% 6% 33% 16% 2% <1%
7 of 11 64% 11 6 0 <1% 3% 10% 8% 23% 37% 15% 3%
6 of 11 55% 10 7 0 <1% <1% 2% 5% 6% 26% 35% 26%
5 of 11 45% 9 8 0 <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 5% 20% 74%
4 of 11 36% 8 9 0 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 97%
3 of 11 27% 7 10 0 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
2 of 11 18% 6 11 0 X X X X <1% <1% <1% >99%
1 of 11 9% 5 12 0 X X X X X X <1% >99%
0 of 11 0% 4 13 0 X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • ** denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs