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NFL - Week 5 of 17

Seahawks What If?

The Seahawks What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Seahawks play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

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Seahawks What If?

Next Game - Redskins (1-3)

  Resultant Record  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
  W L T 1** 2** 3* 4* 5 6 7
Win Next Game 3 1 0 13% 7% 5% 2% 15% 10% 49%
Current Standings 2 1 0 12% 6% 4% 2% 15% 9% 53%
Lose Next Game 2 2 0 7% 6% 5% 3% 12% 9% 60%




Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
  1** 2** 3* 4* 5 6 7
Best Case Scenario 13% 7% 5% 2% 14% 9% 49%
Current Standings 12% 6% 4% 2% 15% 9% 53%
Worst Case Scenario 6% 5% 4% 2% 12% 9% 61%
Best Case Scenario
   Broncos beats Cardinals
   Seahawks beats Redskins
Worst Case Scenario
   Cardinals beats Broncos
   Redskins beats Seahawks
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record  Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs
W L T 1** 2** 3* 4* 5 6 7
13 of 13 100% 15 1 0 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
12 of 13 92% 14 2 0 92% 6% < 1% < 1% 1% ^ ^
11 of 13 85% 13 3 0 56% 26% 3% < 1% 15% < 1% ^
10 of 13 77% 12 4 0 17% 30% 15% 2% 34% 2% < 1%
9 of 13 69% 11 5 0 2% 10% 19% 7% 42% 18% 3%
8 of 13 62% 10 6 0 < 1% 1% 7% 8% 22% 35% 26%
7 of 13 54% 9 7 0 < 1% < 1% 1% 4% 4% 19% 73%
6 of 13 46% 8 8 0 < 1% < 1% < 1% 1% < 1% 2% 97%
5 of 13 38% 7 9 0 X < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
4 of 13 31% 6 10 0 X X < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
3 of 13 23% 5 11 0 X X < 1% < 1% < 1% < 1% > 99%
2 of 13 15% 4 12 0 X X X X X X 100%
1 of 13 8% 3 13 0 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 13 0% 2 14 0 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes home field advantage in the first round of the post season tournament
  • ** denotes a bye in the first round of the post season tournament