The Vikings What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Vikings play future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Win Next Game | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 36% |
| Current Standings | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 39% |
| Lose Next Game | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 44% |
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 34% |
| Current Standings | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 39% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 6% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 45% |
|
Best Case Scenario Commanders beats Packers Saints beats Forty-Niners Vikings beats Falcons |
Worst Case Scenario Packers beats Commanders Forty-Niners beats Saints Falcons beats Vikings |
|||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | 1* First Round Bye |
2** First Round Home Field Advantage |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | ||
| 16 of 16 | 100% | 17 | 0 | 0 | 98% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 16 | 94% | 16 | 1 | 0 | 85% | 14% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 16 | 88% | 15 | 2 | 0 | 58% | 36% | 4% | <1% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 16 | 81% | 14 | 3 | 0 | 28% | 46% | 17% | 2% | 6% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 12 of 16 | 75% | 13 | 4 | 0 | 8% | 34% | 32% | 8% | 15% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| 11 of 16 | 69% | 12 | 5 | 0 | 1% | 13% | 32% | 20% | 20% | 12% | 2% | <1% |
| 10 of 16 | 63% | 11 | 6 | 0 | <1% | 3% | 17% | 26% | 16% | 25% | 11% | 3% |
| 9 of 16 | 56% | 10 | 7 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 6% | 23% | 6% | 21% | 25% | 19% |
| 8 of 16 | 50% | 9 | 8 | 0 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 1% | 8% | 22% | 52% |
| 7 of 16 | 44% | 8 | 9 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 7% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 84% |
| 6 of 16 | 38% | 7 | 10 | 0 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 97% |
| 5 of 16 | 31% | 6 | 11 | 0 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 99% |
| 4 of 16 | 25% | 5 | 12 | 0 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 3 of 16 | 19% | 4 | 13 | 0 | X | X | <1% | <1% | X | X | <1% | >99% |
| 2 of 16 | 13% | 3 | 14 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 1 of 16 | 6% | 2 | 15 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 0 of 16 | 0% | 1 | 16 | 0 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |