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Fri Dec 8 3:00 am

NHL - Week 9 of 28

Canucks What If?

The Canucks What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Canucks play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Canucks What If?

Next Game - Hurricanes (14‑11‑1)

  Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
 Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 18 9 1 37 20% 28% 29% - - - 5% 4% 15%
Current Standings 17 9 1 35 18% 27% 29% - - - 4% 4% 17%
Lose Next Game 17 10 1 35 17% 27% 29% - - - 5% 4% 18%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 20% 28% 29% - - - 5% 4% 15%
Current Standings 18% 27% 29% - - - 4% 4% 17%
Worst Case Scenario 17% 27% 29% - - - 5% 4% 18%
Best Case Scenario
   Canucks beats Hurricanes
 Worst Case Scenario
   Hurricanes beats Canucks
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
55 of 55 100% 72 9 1 145 100% ^ ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
50 of 55 91% 67 14 1 135 >99% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% ^
45 of 55 82% 62 19 1 125 94% 6% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
44 of 55 80% 61 20 1 123 91% 9% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
43 of 55 78% 60 21 1 121 86% 13% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
42 of 55 76% 59 22 1 119 79% 20% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
41 of 55 75% 58 23 1 117 73% 25% 2% - - - <1% <1% <1%
40 of 55 73% 57 24 1 115 65% 32% 3% - - - <1% <1% <1%
39 of 55 71% 56 25 1 113 57% 38% 5% - - - <1% <1% <1%
38 of 55 69% 55 26 1 111 50% 42% 8% - - - <1% <1% <1%
37 of 55 67% 54 27 1 109 41% 47% 11% - - - <1% <1% <1%
36 of 55 65% 53 28 1 107 36% 49% 15% - - - <1% <1% <1%
35 of 55 64% 52 29 1 105 29% 51% 20% - - - <1% <1% <1%
34 of 55 62% 51 30 1 103 22% 52% 25% - - - <1% <1% <1%
33 of 55 60% 50 31 1 101 17% 49% 34% - - - 1% <1% <1%
32 of 55 58% 49 32 1 99 12% 46% 39% - - - 2% <1% <1%
31 of 55 56% 48 33 1 97 8% 40% 47% - - - 5% <1% <1%
30 of 55 55% 47 34 1 95 5% 33% 52% - - - 8% 1% <1%
29 of 55 53% 46 35 1 93 3% 27% 56% - - - 11% 3% 1%
28 of 55 51% 45 36 1 91 1% 20% 55% - - - 14% 7% 2%
27 of 55 49% 44 37 1 89 1% 12% 53% - - - 15% 12% 6%
26 of 55 47% 43 38 1 87 <1% 8% 48% - - - 14% 17% 14%
25 of 55 45% 42 39 1 85 <1% 5% 39% - - - 11% 19% 27%
24 of 55 44% 41 40 1 83 <1% 2% 31% - - - 6% 18% 43%
23 of 55 42% 40 41 1 81 <1% 1% 22% - - - 3% 13% 61%
22 of 55 40% 39 42 1 79 <1% <1% 16% - - - 1% 8% 75%
21 of 55 38% 38 43 1 77 <1% <1% 10% - - - <1% 4% 86%
20 of 55 36% 37 44 1 75 <1% <1% 6% - - - <1% 1% 92%
10 of 55 18% 27 54 1 55 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
0 of 55 0% 17 64 1 35 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs