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Sat Oct 3 3:30 am

NHL - Week 1 of 28

Canucks What If?

The Canucks What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Canucks play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Canucks What If?

Next Game - Flames (0‑1‑0)

  Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 2 1 0 4 11% 12% 13% - - - 7% 7% 51%
Current Standings 1 1 0 2 10% 13% 13% - - - 7% 7% 51%
Lose Next Game 1 2 0 2 9% 12% 13% - - - 7% 7% 52%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 11% 12% 13% - - - 7% 7% 51%
Current Standings 10% 13% 13% - - - 7% 7% 51%
Worst Case Scenario 9% 12% 13% - - - 7% 7% 52%
Best Case Scenario
   Canucks beats Flames
Worst Case Scenario
   Flames beats Canucks
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
82 of 82 100% 83 1 0 166 100% ^ ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
80 of 82 98% 81 3 0 162 >99% <1% ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
71 of 82 87% 72 12 0 144 93% 6% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
70 of 82 85% 71 13 0 142 89% 11% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
69 of 82 84% 70 14 0 140 82% 17% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
68 of 82 83% 69 15 0 138 76% 22% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
67 of 82 82% 68 16 0 136 70% 27% 3% - - - <1% <1% <1%
66 of 82 80% 67 17 0 134 61% 34% 5% - - - <1% <1% <1%
65 of 82 79% 66 18 0 132 53% 39% 8% - - - <1% <1% <1%
64 of 82 78% 65 19 0 130 46% 41% 12% - - - 1% <1% <1%
63 of 82 77% 64 20 0 128 38% 44% 15% - - - 2% <1% <1%
62 of 82 76% 63 21 0 126 32% 45% 20% - - - 3% <1% <1%
61 of 82 74% 62 22 0 124 26% 45% 24% - - - 5% <1% <1%
60 of 82 73% 61 23 0 122 21% 43% 28% - - - 7% 1% <1%
59 of 82 72% 60 24 0 120 17% 40% 31% - - - 10% 1% <1%
58 of 82 71% 59 25 0 118 13% 38% 34% - - - 13% 2% <1%
57 of 82 70% 58 26 0 116 11% 34% 36% - - - 16% 3% <1%
56 of 82 68% 57 27 0 114 9% 31% 37% - - - 18% 5% <1%
55 of 82 67% 56 28 0 112 7% 28% 37% - - - 21% 6% 1%
54 of 82 66% 55 29 0 110 6% 25% 37% - - - 22% 9% 1%
53 of 82 65% 54 30 0 108 4% 22% 37% - - - 24% 11% 3%
52 of 82 63% 53 31 0 106 3% 19% 35% - - - 24% 14% 4%
51 of 82 62% 52 32 0 104 3% 17% 33% - - - 26% 16% 5%
50 of 82 61% 51 33 0 102 2% 14% 32% - - - 25% 19% 8%
49 of 82 60% 50 34 0 100 2% 12% 29% - - - 24% 22% 11%
48 of 82 59% 49 35 0 98 1% 10% 28% - - - 23% 23% 15%
47 of 82 57% 48 36 0 96 1% 9% 25% - - - 20% 26% 19%
46 of 82 56% 47 37 0 94 1% 8% 23% - - - 18% 26% 25%
45 of 82 55% 46 38 0 92 1% 6% 21% - - - 17% 27% 29%
44 of 82 54% 45 39 0 90 1% 5% 19% - - - 15% 26% 35%
43 of 82 52% 44 40 0 88 <1% 4% 17% - - - 12% 25% 41%
42 of 82 51% 43 41 0 86 <1% 3% 15% - - - 10% 25% 47%
41 of 82 50% 42 42 0 84 <1% 3% 13% - - - 8% 22% 54%
40 of 82 49% 41 43 0 82 <1% 2% 11% - - - 6% 19% 61%
39 of 82 48% 40 44 0 80 <1% 2% 10% - - - 5% 17% 66%
38 of 82 46% 39 45 0 78 <1% 1% 8% - - - 4% 15% 72%
37 of 82 45% 38 46 0 76 <1% 1% 7% - - - 3% 12% 78%
36 of 82 44% 37 47 0 74 <1% 1% 6% - - - 2% 10% 82%
35 of 82 43% 36 48 0 72 <1% 1% 4% - - - 1% 7% 87%
34 of 82 41% 35 49 0 70 <1% <1% 4% - - - 1% 5% 90%
33 of 82 40% 34 50 0 68 <1% <1% 3% - - - <1% 3% 93%
32 of 82 39% 33 51 0 66 <1% <1% 2% - - - <1% 2% 95%
30 of 82 37% 31 53 0 62 <1% <1% 1% - - - <1% 1% 98%
20 of 82 24% 21 63 0 42 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
10 of 82 12% 11 73 0 22 X X X - - - X X 100%
0 of 82 0% 1 83 0 2 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs