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Sat Oct 24 6:15 am

NHL - Week 4 of 28

Canucks What If?

The Canucks What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Canucks play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Canucks What If?

Next Game - Wild (6‑3‑2)

  Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
 Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 3 9 1 7 1% 3% 7% - - - 5% 6% 78%
Current Standings 2 9 1 5 1% 3% 7% - - - 5% 6% 79%
Lose Next Game 2 10 1 5 1% 3% 6% - - - 4% 6% 80%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 1% 3% 7% - - - 5% 6% 79%
Current Standings 1% 3% 7% - - - 5% 6% 79%
Worst Case Scenario 1% 3% 7% - - - 4% 5% 80%
Best Case Scenario
   Blue Jackets beats Golden Knights
   Red Wings beats Flames
 Worst Case Scenario
   Golden Knights beats Blue Jackets
   Flames beats Red Wings
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
72 of 72 100% 74 9 1 149 >99% <1% <1% - - - <1% ^ ^
70 of 72 97% 72 11 1 145 99% 1% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
66 of 72 92% 68 15 1 137 94% 6% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
65 of 72 90% 67 16 1 135 92% 8% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
64 of 72 89% 66 17 1 133 89% 11% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
63 of 72 88% 65 18 1 131 84% 16% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
62 of 72 86% 64 19 1 129 79% 20% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
61 of 72 85% 63 20 1 127 74% 24% 2% - - - <1% <1% <1%
60 of 72 83% 62 21 1 125 67% 30% 3% - - - <1% <1% <1%
59 of 72 82% 61 22 1 123 61% 34% 5% - - - <1% <1% <1%
58 of 72 81% 60 23 1 121 54% 40% 7% - - - <1% <1% <1%
57 of 72 79% 59 24 1 119 46% 43% 10% - - - 1% <1% <1%
56 of 72 78% 58 25 1 117 40% 45% 13% - - - 2% <1% <1%
55 of 72 76% 57 26 1 115 34% 46% 18% - - - 2% <1% <1%
54 of 72 75% 56 27 1 113 27% 47% 22% - - - 4% <1% <1%
53 of 72 74% 55 28 1 111 21% 44% 28% - - - 6% <1% <1%
52 of 72 72% 54 29 1 109 17% 41% 32% - - - 9% 1% <1%
51 of 72 71% 53 30 1 107 13% 38% 35% - - - 12% 2% <1%
50 of 72 69% 52 31 1 105 10% 33% 37% - - - 16% 3% <1%
49 of 72 68% 51 32 1 103 8% 30% 38% - - - 19% 5% 1%
48 of 72 67% 50 33 1 101 5% 25% 38% - - - 23% 7% 1%
47 of 72 65% 49 34 1 99 4% 21% 37% - - - 24% 12% 2%
46 of 72 64% 48 35 1 97 3% 16% 35% - - - 27% 15% 5%
45 of 72 63% 47 36 1 95 2% 13% 32% - - - 26% 19% 8%
44 of 72 61% 46 37 1 93 1% 10% 28% - - - 25% 24% 13%
43 of 72 60% 45 38 1 91 1% 7% 25% - - - 22% 25% 20%
42 of 72 58% 44 39 1 89 <1% 5% 21% - - - 17% 27% 29%
41 of 72 57% 43 40 1 87 <1% 4% 17% - - - 13% 27% 39%
40 of 72 56% 42 41 1 85 <1% 3% 13% - - - 10% 24% 50%
39 of 72 54% 41 42 1 83 <1% 2% 10% - - - 7% 20% 61%
38 of 72 53% 40 43 1 81 <1% 1% 8% - - - 5% 15% 71%
37 of 72 51% 39 44 1 79 <1% 1% 5% - - - 2% 11% 80%
36 of 72 50% 38 45 1 77 <1% <1% 4% - - - 1% 8% 87%
35 of 72 49% 37 46 1 75 <1% <1% 3% - - - 1% 5% 92%
30 of 72 42% 32 51 1 65 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
20 of 72 28% 22 61 1 45 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
10 of 72 14% 12 71 1 25 X X X - - - X X 100%
0 of 72 0% 2 81 1 5 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs