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Fri Oct 2 4:30 am

NHL - Week 1 of 28

Ducks What If?

The Ducks What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Ducks play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Ducks What If?

Next Game - Golden Knights (1‑0‑0)

  Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
 Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 1 0 0 2 12% 12% 13% - - - 6% 6% 50%
Current Standings 0 0 0 0 12% 13% 12% - - - 6% 6% 51%
Lose Next Game 0 1 0 0 11% 13% 12% - - - 6% 6% 51%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 12% 12% 13% - - - 6% 6% 50%
Current Standings 12% 13% 12% - - - 6% 6% 51%
Worst Case Scenario 11% 13% 12% - - - 6% 6% 51%
Best Case Scenario
   Ducks beats Golden Knights
 Worst Case Scenario
   Golden Knights beats Ducks
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
84 of 84 100% 84 0 0 168 100% ^ ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
80 of 84 95% 80 4 0 160 >99% <1% <1% - - - ^ ^ ^
71 of 84 85% 71 13 0 142 93% 7% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
70 of 84 83% 70 14 0 140 89% 11% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
69 of 84 82% 69 15 0 138 83% 17% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
68 of 84 81% 68 16 0 136 76% 22% 2% - - - <1% <1% <1%
67 of 84 80% 67 17 0 134 68% 28% 3% - - - <1% <1% <1%
66 of 84 79% 66 18 0 132 61% 33% 5% - - - <1% <1% <1%
65 of 84 77% 65 19 0 130 52% 39% 8% - - - 1% <1% <1%
64 of 84 76% 64 20 0 128 44% 42% 12% - - - 1% <1% <1%
63 of 84 75% 63 21 0 126 37% 44% 16% - - - 2% <1% <1%
62 of 84 74% 62 22 0 124 31% 45% 20% - - - 4% <1% <1%
61 of 84 73% 61 23 0 122 25% 45% 24% - - - 5% 1% <1%
60 of 84 71% 60 24 0 120 20% 43% 29% - - - 8% 1% <1%
59 of 84 70% 59 25 0 118 17% 40% 31% - - - 10% 1% <1%
58 of 84 69% 58 26 0 116 13% 37% 34% - - - 13% 2% <1%
57 of 84 68% 57 27 0 114 11% 34% 36% - - - 16% 4% <1%
56 of 84 67% 56 28 0 112 9% 30% 37% - - - 18% 5% 1%
55 of 84 65% 55 29 0 110 7% 26% 38% - - - 21% 7% 1%
54 of 84 64% 54 30 0 108 5% 24% 37% - - - 22% 9% 2%
53 of 84 63% 53 31 0 106 4% 22% 36% - - - 22% 13% 3%
52 of 84 62% 52 32 0 104 3% 19% 35% - - - 24% 15% 5%
51 of 84 61% 51 33 0 102 2% 16% 33% - - - 24% 18% 7%
50 of 84 60% 50 34 0 100 2% 14% 32% - - - 23% 19% 10%
49 of 84 58% 49 35 0 98 2% 12% 29% - - - 23% 21% 13%
48 of 84 57% 48 36 0 96 1% 10% 27% - - - 21% 23% 17%
47 of 84 56% 47 37 0 94 1% 9% 25% - - - 19% 26% 21%
46 of 84 55% 46 38 0 92 1% 7% 23% - - - 16% 26% 27%
45 of 84 54% 45 39 0 90 1% 6% 21% - - - 15% 25% 33%
44 of 84 52% 44 40 0 88 <1% 5% 19% - - - 13% 24% 39%
43 of 84 51% 43 41 0 86 <1% 4% 16% - - - 11% 23% 45%
42 of 84 50% 42 42 0 84 <1% 3% 15% - - - 9% 22% 51%
41 of 84 49% 41 43 0 82 <1% 3% 13% - - - 7% 20% 56%
40 of 84 48% 40 44 0 80 <1% 2% 11% - - - 5% 18% 64%
39 of 84 46% 39 45 0 78 <1% 2% 9% - - - 4% 15% 70%
38 of 84 45% 38 46 0 76 <1% 1% 8% - - - 3% 13% 75%
37 of 84 44% 37 47 0 74 <1% 1% 7% - - - 2% 10% 80%
36 of 84 43% 36 48 0 72 <1% 1% 6% - - - 1% 8% 84%
35 of 84 42% 35 49 0 70 <1% <1% 4% - - - 1% 6% 88%
34 of 84 40% 34 50 0 68 <1% <1% 3% - - - <1% 4% 92%
33 of 84 39% 33 51 0 66 <1% <1% 3% - - - <1% 3% 94%
30 of 84 36% 30 54 0 60 <1% <1% 1% - - - <1% 1% 98%
20 of 84 24% 20 64 0 40 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
10 of 84 12% 10 74 0 20 X X X - - - X X 100%
0 of 84 0% 0 84 0 0 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs