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Fri Dec 8 3:00 am

NHL - Week 9 of 28

Ducks What If?

The Ducks What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Ducks play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Ducks What If?

Next Game - Jets (15‑8‑2)

  Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
 Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 11 16 0 22 <1% 2% 7% - - - 4% 5% 81%
Current Standings 10 16 0 20 <1% 2% 6% - - - 4% 5% 83%
Lose Next Game 10 17 0 20 <1% 1% 5% - - - 3% 5% 85%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario <1% 2% 6% - - - 4% 5% 83%
Current Standings <1% 2% 6% - - - 4% 5% 83%
Worst Case Scenario <1% 2% 6% - - - 4% 5% 83%
Best Case Scenario
   Blue Jackets beats Blues
 Worst Case Scenario
   Blues beats Blue Jackets
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
56 of 56 100% 66 16 0 132 99% 1% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
53 of 56 95% 63 19 0 126 95% 5% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
52 of 56 93% 62 20 0 124 91% 9% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
51 of 56 91% 61 21 0 122 87% 13% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
50 of 56 89% 60 22 0 120 80% 19% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
49 of 56 88% 59 23 0 118 72% 26% 2% - - - <1% <1% <1%
48 of 56 86% 58 24 0 116 64% 32% 3% - - - <1% <1% <1%
47 of 56 84% 57 25 0 114 56% 37% 6% - - - <1% <1% <1%
46 of 56 82% 56 26 0 112 47% 43% 9% - - - <1% <1% <1%
45 of 56 80% 55 27 0 110 39% 47% 14% - - - 1% <1% <1%
44 of 56 79% 54 28 0 108 30% 48% 20% - - - 2% <1% <1%
43 of 56 77% 53 29 0 106 24% 48% 25% - - - 3% <1% <1%
42 of 56 75% 52 30 0 104 18% 45% 32% - - - 5% <1% <1%
41 of 56 73% 51 31 0 102 12% 42% 38% - - - 8% <1% <1%
40 of 56 71% 50 32 0 100 8% 36% 42% - - - 13% 1% <1%
39 of 56 70% 49 33 0 98 5% 31% 45% - - - 17% 2% <1%
38 of 56 68% 48 34 0 96 3% 23% 47% - - - 23% 4% 1%
37 of 56 66% 47 35 0 94 1% 16% 45% - - - 28% 8% 2%
36 of 56 64% 46 36 0 92 1% 11% 40% - - - 30% 14% 5%
35 of 56 63% 45 37 0 90 <1% 7% 34% - - - 26% 22% 11%
34 of 56 61% 44 38 0 88 <1% 4% 27% - - - 21% 25% 22%
33 of 56 59% 43 39 0 86 <1% 2% 19% - - - 14% 27% 38%
32 of 56 57% 42 40 0 84 <1% 1% 13% - - - 8% 23% 56%
31 of 56 55% 41 41 0 82 <1% <1% 8% - - - 4% 16% 73%
30 of 56 54% 40 42 0 80 <1% <1% 4% - - - 2% 8% 86%
29 of 56 52% 39 43 0 78 <1% <1% 2% - - - <1% 4% 94%
20 of 56 36% 30 52 0 60 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
10 of 56 18% 20 62 0 40 X X <1% - - - X X >99%
0 of 56 0% 10 72 0 20 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs