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Mon Oct 5 3:00 am

NHL - Week 1 of 28

Golden Knights What If?

The Golden Knights What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Golden Knights play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Golden Knights What If?

Next Game - Kraken (2‑1‑0)

  Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 3 1 0 6 14% 14% 13% - - - 6% 7% 46%
Current Standings 2 1 0 4 14% 14% 13% - - - 6% 6% 47%
Lose Next Game 2 2 0 4 12% 14% 14% - - - 7% 7% 47%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 14% 14% 13% - - - 6% 7% 46%
Current Standings 14% 14% 13% - - - 6% 6% 47%
Worst Case Scenario 12% 14% 14% - - - 7% 7% 47%
Best Case Scenario
   Golden Knights beats Kraken
Worst Case Scenario
   Kraken beats Golden Knights
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
81 of 81 100% 83 1 0 166 100% ^ ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
80 of 81 99% 82 2 0 164 100% ^ ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
70 of 81 86% 72 12 0 144 94% 6% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
69 of 81 85% 71 13 0 142 90% 10% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
68 of 81 84% 70 14 0 140 85% 14% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
67 of 81 83% 69 15 0 138 79% 20% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
66 of 81 81% 68 16 0 136 73% 25% 2% - - - <1% <1% <1%
65 of 81 80% 67 17 0 134 65% 31% 4% - - - <1% <1% <1%
64 of 81 79% 66 18 0 132 58% 36% 6% - - - <1% <1% <1%
63 of 81 78% 65 19 0 130 50% 41% 9% - - - 1% <1% <1%
62 of 81 77% 64 20 0 128 43% 43% 13% - - - 1% <1% <1%
61 of 81 75% 63 21 0 126 36% 45% 17% - - - 2% <1% <1%
60 of 81 74% 62 22 0 124 30% 46% 21% - - - 3% <1% <1%
59 of 81 73% 61 23 0 122 25% 45% 25% - - - 5% 1% <1%
58 of 81 72% 60 24 0 120 19% 44% 29% - - - 7% 1% <1%
57 of 81 70% 59 25 0 118 16% 40% 32% - - - 11% 1% <1%
56 of 81 69% 58 26 0 116 13% 37% 35% - - - 13% 2% <1%
55 of 81 68% 57 27 0 114 11% 35% 36% - - - 15% 3% <1%
54 of 81 67% 56 28 0 112 9% 30% 37% - - - 19% 5% 1%
53 of 81 65% 55 29 0 110 7% 27% 37% - - - 21% 7% 1%
52 of 81 64% 54 30 0 108 5% 24% 36% - - - 23% 9% 1%
51 of 81 63% 53 31 0 106 4% 22% 36% - - - 24% 12% 3%
50 of 81 62% 52 32 0 104 3% 18% 35% - - - 25% 14% 4%
49 of 81 60% 51 33 0 102 3% 16% 34% - - - 25% 17% 6%
48 of 81 59% 50 34 0 100 2% 13% 31% - - - 25% 20% 9%
47 of 81 58% 49 35 0 98 2% 12% 30% - - - 22% 22% 13%
46 of 81 57% 48 36 0 96 1% 10% 27% - - - 21% 25% 17%
45 of 81 56% 47 37 0 94 1% 8% 25% - - - 19% 25% 21%
44 of 81 54% 46 38 0 92 1% 7% 24% - - - 17% 26% 26%
43 of 81 53% 45 39 0 90 1% 6% 21% - - - 15% 25% 32%
42 of 81 52% 44 40 0 88 <1% 5% 18% - - - 13% 25% 38%
41 of 81 51% 43 41 0 86 <1% 4% 16% - - - 11% 24% 45%
40 of 81 49% 42 42 0 84 <1% 3% 14% - - - 9% 22% 51%
39 of 81 48% 41 43 0 82 <1% 3% 13% - - - 7% 19% 58%
38 of 81 47% 40 44 0 80 <1% 2% 11% - - - 5% 17% 65%
37 of 81 46% 39 45 0 78 <1% 2% 9% - - - 4% 15% 70%
36 of 81 44% 38 46 0 76 <1% 1% 8% - - - 3% 13% 76%
35 of 81 43% 37 47 0 74 <1% 1% 6% - - - 2% 11% 80%
34 of 81 42% 36 48 0 72 <1% <1% 6% - - - 1% 8% 85%
33 of 81 41% 35 49 0 70 <1% <1% 4% - - - 1% 6% 88%
32 of 81 40% 34 50 0 68 <1% <1% 3% - - - <1% 4% 93%
31 of 81 38% 33 51 0 66 <1% <1% 2% - - - <1% 3% 95%
30 of 81 37% 32 52 0 64 <1% <1% 2% - - - <1% 2% 96%
20 of 81 25% 22 62 0 44 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
10 of 81 12% 12 72 0 24 X X <1% - - - X X >99%
0 of 81 0% 2 82 0 4 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs