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Wed Nov 4 3:00 am

NHL - Week 6 of 28

Golden Knights What If?

The Golden Knights What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Golden Knights play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Golden Knights What If?

Next Game - Red Wings (7‑6‑3)

  Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 11 5 2 24 20% 19% 16% - - - 6% 6% 32%
Current Standings 10 5 2 22 19% 19% 16% - - - 6% 6% 34%
Lose Next Game 10 6 2 22 17% 19% 16% - - - 6% 6% 36%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 20% 19% 16% - - - 6% 6% 32%
Current Standings 19% 19% 16% - - - 6% 6% 34%
Worst Case Scenario 17% 19% 16% - - - 6% 6% 36%
Best Case Scenario
   Golden Knights beats Red Wings
Worst Case Scenario
   Red Wings beats Golden Knights
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
67 of 67 100% 77 5 2 156 100% ^ ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
60 of 67 90% 70 12 2 142 >99% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
54 of 67 81% 64 18 2 130 95% 5% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
53 of 67 79% 63 19 2 128 92% 8% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
52 of 67 78% 62 20 2 126 89% 11% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
51 of 67 76% 61 21 2 124 85% 14% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
50 of 67 75% 60 22 2 122 80% 19% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
49 of 67 73% 59 23 2 120 74% 25% 2% - - - <1% <1% <1%
48 of 67 72% 58 24 2 118 68% 29% 2% - - - <1% <1% <1%
47 of 67 70% 57 25 2 116 62% 34% 4% - - - <1% <1% <1%
46 of 67 69% 56 26 2 114 54% 39% 6% - - - <1% <1% <1%
45 of 67 67% 55 27 2 112 46% 44% 10% - - - 1% <1% <1%
44 of 67 66% 54 28 2 110 40% 46% 13% - - - 1% <1% <1%
43 of 67 64% 53 29 2 108 33% 46% 18% - - - 2% <1% <1%
42 of 67 63% 52 30 2 106 26% 47% 23% - - - 4% <1% <1%
41 of 67 61% 51 31 2 104 20% 46% 28% - - - 6% 1% <1%
40 of 67 60% 50 32 2 102 15% 42% 33% - - - 10% 1% <1%
39 of 67 58% 49 33 2 100 11% 37% 36% - - - 13% 3% <1%
38 of 67 57% 48 34 2 98 8% 32% 39% - - - 16% 5% 1%
37 of 67 55% 47 35 2 96 5% 27% 39% - - - 20% 8% 2%
36 of 67 54% 46 36 2 94 3% 21% 38% - - - 23% 12% 3%
35 of 67 52% 45 37 2 92 2% 16% 37% - - - 22% 16% 7%
34 of 67 51% 44 38 2 90 1% 13% 32% - - - 19% 21% 13%
33 of 67 49% 43 39 2 88 1% 9% 27% - - - 16% 24% 24%
32 of 67 48% 42 40 2 86 <1% 6% 23% - - - 12% 24% 35%
31 of 67 46% 41 41 2 84 <1% 4% 18% - - - 8% 21% 50%
30 of 67 45% 40 42 2 82 <1% 2% 13% - - - 4% 17% 64%
29 of 67 43% 39 43 2 80 <1% 1% 9% - - - 2% 12% 76%
28 of 67 42% 38 44 2 78 <1% 1% 7% - - - 1% 6% 85%
27 of 67 40% 37 45 2 76 <1% <1% 4% - - - <1% 3% 92%
20 of 67 30% 30 52 2 62 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
10 of 67 15% 20 62 2 42 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
0 of 67 0% 10 72 2 22 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs