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Thu Oct 8 3:00 am

NHL - Week 2 of 28

Kraken What If?

The Kraken What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Kraken play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Kraken What If?

Next Game - Red Wings (1‑2‑0)

  Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
 Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 3 2 0 6 11% 13% 13% - - - 6% 6% 50%
Current Standings 2 2 0 4 11% 13% 13% - - - 6% 6% 51%
Lose Next Game 2 3 0 4 10% 13% 13% - - - 6% 6% 52%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 11% 13% 13% - - - 6% 6% 50%
Current Standings 11% 13% 13% - - - 6% 6% 51%
Worst Case Scenario 10% 13% 13% - - - 6% 6% 52%
Best Case Scenario
   Kraken beats Red Wings
 Worst Case Scenario
   Red Wings beats Kraken
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
80 of 80 100% 82 2 0 164 100% ^ ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
70 of 80 88% 72 12 0 144 96% 4% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
69 of 80 86% 71 13 0 142 92% 8% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
68 of 80 85% 70 14 0 140 87% 13% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
67 of 80 84% 69 15 0 138 82% 17% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
66 of 80 83% 68 16 0 136 75% 23% 2% - - - <1% <1% <1%
65 of 80 81% 67 17 0 134 69% 28% 3% - - - <1% <1% <1%
64 of 80 80% 66 18 0 132 61% 33% 5% - - - <1% <1% <1%
63 of 80 79% 65 19 0 130 53% 39% 8% - - - 1% <1% <1%
62 of 80 78% 64 20 0 128 46% 42% 11% - - - 1% <1% <1%
61 of 80 76% 63 21 0 126 38% 45% 15% - - - 2% <1% <1%
60 of 80 75% 62 22 0 124 32% 45% 20% - - - 3% <1% <1%
59 of 80 74% 61 23 0 122 27% 45% 24% - - - 5% <1% <1%
58 of 80 73% 60 24 0 120 22% 45% 27% - - - 7% 1% <1%
57 of 80 71% 59 25 0 118 17% 41% 31% - - - 9% 1% <1%
56 of 80 70% 58 26 0 116 14% 40% 33% - - - 11% 2% <1%
55 of 80 69% 57 27 0 114 12% 35% 35% - - - 15% 3% <1%
54 of 80 68% 56 28 0 112 10% 32% 37% - - - 17% 4% 1%
53 of 80 66% 55 29 0 110 8% 29% 37% - - - 20% 6% 1%
52 of 80 65% 54 30 0 108 6% 25% 38% - - - 21% 8% 2%
51 of 80 64% 53 31 0 106 5% 23% 36% - - - 23% 11% 2%
50 of 80 63% 52 32 0 104 4% 20% 36% - - - 23% 13% 4%
49 of 80 61% 51 33 0 102 3% 17% 34% - - - 23% 16% 6%
48 of 80 60% 50 34 0 100 2% 15% 33% - - - 23% 19% 8%
47 of 80 59% 49 35 0 98 2% 13% 30% - - - 22% 21% 12%
46 of 80 58% 48 36 0 96 2% 11% 29% - - - 20% 23% 16%
45 of 80 56% 47 37 0 94 1% 9% 27% - - - 19% 24% 20%
44 of 80 55% 46 38 0 92 1% 8% 25% - - - 17% 24% 25%
43 of 80 54% 45 39 0 90 1% 6% 21% - - - 15% 25% 31%
42 of 80 53% 44 40 0 88 1% 5% 21% - - - 13% 24% 37%
41 of 80 51% 43 41 0 86 <1% 4% 18% - - - 11% 24% 43%
40 of 80 50% 42 42 0 84 <1% 4% 16% - - - 8% 22% 50%
39 of 80 49% 41 43 0 82 <1% 3% 14% - - - 7% 20% 57%
38 of 80 48% 40 44 0 80 <1% 2% 12% - - - 5% 17% 63%
37 of 80 46% 39 45 0 78 <1% 2% 10% - - - 4% 15% 69%
36 of 80 45% 38 46 0 76 <1% 1% 9% - - - 3% 13% 74%
35 of 80 44% 37 47 0 74 <1% 1% 7% - - - 2% 10% 80%
34 of 80 43% 36 48 0 72 <1% 1% 5% - - - 1% 7% 85%
33 of 80 41% 35 49 0 70 <1% 1% 5% - - - 1% 6% 88%
32 of 80 40% 34 50 0 68 <1% <1% 4% - - - <1% 4% 91%
31 of 80 39% 33 51 0 66 <1% <1% 2% - - - <1% 3% 94%
30 of 80 38% 32 52 0 64 <1% <1% 2% - - - <1% 2% 96%
20 of 80 25% 22 62 0 44 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
10 of 80 13% 12 72 0 24 X X <1% - - - X X >99%
0 of 80 0% 2 82 0 4 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs