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Thu Nov 5 3:00 am

NHL - Week 6 of 28

Kraken What If?

The Kraken What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Kraken play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Kraken What If?

Next Game - Rangers (8‑7‑1)

  Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 10 5 1 21 23% 20% 16% - - - 6% 6% 30%
Current Standings 9 5 1 19 23% 20% 15% - - - 6% 6% 31%
Lose Next Game 9 6 1 19 20% 20% 16% - - - 5% 6% 33%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 23% 20% 15% - - - 6% 6% 31%
Current Standings 23% 20% 15% - - - 6% 6% 31%
Worst Case Scenario 22% 20% 16% - - - 6% 5% 32%
Best Case Scenario
   Jets beats Canucks
   Red Wings beats Golden Knights
Worst Case Scenario
   Canucks beats Jets
   Golden Knights beats Red Wings
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
69 of 69 100% 78 5 1 157 100% ^ ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
60 of 69 87% 69 14 1 139 >99% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
55 of 69 80% 64 19 1 129 94% 6% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
54 of 69 78% 63 20 1 127 91% 9% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
53 of 69 77% 62 21 1 125 87% 12% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
52 of 69 75% 61 22 1 123 83% 17% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
51 of 69 74% 60 23 1 121 78% 21% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
50 of 69 72% 59 24 1 119 72% 27% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
49 of 69 71% 58 25 1 117 65% 32% 2% - - - <1% <1% <1%
48 of 69 70% 57 26 1 115 59% 37% 5% - - - <1% <1% <1%
47 of 69 68% 56 27 1 113 52% 41% 7% - - - <1% <1% <1%
46 of 69 67% 55 28 1 111 44% 45% 10% - - - 1% <1% <1%
45 of 69 65% 54 29 1 109 37% 47% 14% - - - 2% <1% <1%
44 of 69 64% 53 30 1 107 31% 48% 19% - - - 3% <1% <1%
43 of 69 62% 52 31 1 105 24% 46% 26% - - - 4% <1% <1%
42 of 69 61% 51 32 1 103 19% 44% 29% - - - 7% 1% <1%
41 of 69 59% 50 33 1 101 14% 41% 34% - - - 10% 2% <1%
40 of 69 58% 49 34 1 99 10% 36% 37% - - - 14% 3% <1%
39 of 69 57% 48 35 1 97 7% 31% 39% - - - 17% 5% 1%
38 of 69 55% 47 36 1 95 5% 26% 39% - - - 19% 9% 2%
37 of 69 54% 46 37 1 93 3% 19% 38% - - - 21% 14% 5%
36 of 69 52% 45 38 1 91 2% 14% 35% - - - 20% 19% 10%
35 of 69 51% 44 39 1 89 1% 11% 31% - - - 17% 22% 18%
34 of 69 49% 43 40 1 87 1% 7% 27% - - - 13% 23% 29%
33 of 69 48% 42 41 1 85 <1% 5% 22% - - - 9% 22% 41%
32 of 69 46% 41 42 1 83 <1% 3% 16% - - - 6% 18% 57%
31 of 69 45% 40 43 1 81 <1% 2% 12% - - - 3% 13% 70%
30 of 69 43% 39 44 1 79 <1% 1% 8% - - - 1% 9% 81%
29 of 69 42% 38 45 1 77 <1% 1% 5% - - - <1% 4% 90%
28 of 69 41% 37 46 1 75 <1% <1% 3% - - - <1% 2% 94%
20 of 69 29% 29 54 1 59 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
10 of 69 14% 19 64 1 39 X <1% <1% - - - X <1% >99%
0 of 69 0% 9 74 1 19 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs