The Oilers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Oilers play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Pacific Divisional Winners | Central Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | OTLi Overtime Loses |
Pts | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Win Next Game | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 24% | 17% | 14% | - | - | - | 6% | 5% | 34% |
| Current Standings | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 23% | 17% | 14% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 35% |
| Lose Next Game | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 22% | 17% | 14% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 36% |
| Pacific Divisional Winners | Central Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 24% | 17% | 14% | - | - | - | 6% | 5% | 34% |
| Current Standings | 23% | 17% | 14% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 35% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 22% | 17% | 14% | - | - | - | 5% | 5% | 36% |
|
Best Case Scenario Oilers beats Mammoth |
Worst Case Scenario Mammoth beats Oilers |
||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Pacific Divisional Winners | Central Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | OTL | Pts | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 1* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
2* First Round Home Ice Advantage |
3 | 7 | 8 | 9 | ||
| 77 of 77 | 100% | 82 | 1 | 1 | 165 | 100% | ^ | ^ | - | - | - | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 70 of 77 | 91% | 75 | 8 | 1 | 151 | >99% | <1% | <1% | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 63 of 77 | 82% | 68 | 15 | 1 | 137 | 94% | 6% | <1% | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 62 of 77 | 81% | 67 | 16 | 1 | 135 | 92% | 8% | <1% | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 61 of 77 | 79% | 66 | 17 | 1 | 133 | 87% | 13% | <1% | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 60 of 77 | 78% | 65 | 18 | 1 | 131 | 81% | 18% | 1% | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 59 of 77 | 77% | 64 | 19 | 1 | 129 | 75% | 23% | 2% | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 58 of 77 | 75% | 63 | 20 | 1 | 127 | 69% | 28% | 3% | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 57 of 77 | 74% | 62 | 21 | 1 | 125 | 61% | 34% | 5% | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 56 of 77 | 73% | 61 | 22 | 1 | 123 | 56% | 37% | 7% | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 55 of 77 | 71% | 60 | 23 | 1 | 121 | 48% | 41% | 10% | - | - | - | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 54 of 77 | 70% | 59 | 24 | 1 | 119 | 42% | 43% | 13% | - | - | - | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 53 of 77 | 69% | 58 | 25 | 1 | 117 | 35% | 45% | 17% | - | - | - | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| 52 of 77 | 68% | 57 | 26 | 1 | 115 | 31% | 45% | 20% | - | - | - | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| 51 of 77 | 66% | 56 | 27 | 1 | 113 | 25% | 45% | 25% | - | - | - | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| 50 of 77 | 65% | 55 | 28 | 1 | 111 | 21% | 44% | 28% | - | - | - | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| 49 of 77 | 64% | 54 | 29 | 1 | 109 | 17% | 42% | 32% | - | - | - | 8% | 1% | <1% |
| 48 of 77 | 62% | 53 | 30 | 1 | 107 | 14% | 38% | 34% | - | - | - | 11% | 2% | <1% |
| 47 of 77 | 61% | 52 | 31 | 1 | 105 | 11% | 35% | 37% | - | - | - | 14% | 3% | <1% |
| 46 of 77 | 60% | 51 | 32 | 1 | 103 | 9% | 31% | 38% | - | - | - | 17% | 5% | 1% |
| 45 of 77 | 58% | 50 | 33 | 1 | 101 | 7% | 28% | 38% | - | - | - | 18% | 8% | 1% |
| 44 of 77 | 57% | 49 | 34 | 1 | 99 | 5% | 24% | 38% | - | - | - | 20% | 10% | 3% |
| 43 of 77 | 56% | 48 | 35 | 1 | 97 | 4% | 21% | 38% | - | - | - | 20% | 13% | 5% |
| 42 of 77 | 55% | 47 | 36 | 1 | 95 | 3% | 17% | 36% | - | - | - | 20% | 16% | 8% |
| 41 of 77 | 53% | 46 | 37 | 1 | 93 | 2% | 14% | 33% | - | - | - | 19% | 19% | 13% |
| 40 of 77 | 52% | 45 | 38 | 1 | 91 | 1% | 11% | 31% | - | - | - | 17% | 21% | 19% |
| 39 of 77 | 51% | 44 | 39 | 1 | 89 | 1% | 9% | 28% | - | - | - | 15% | 22% | 26% |
| 38 of 77 | 49% | 43 | 40 | 1 | 87 | 1% | 7% | 24% | - | - | - | 12% | 23% | 33% |
| 37 of 77 | 48% | 42 | 41 | 1 | 85 | <1% | 6% | 21% | - | - | - | 10% | 22% | 42% |
| 36 of 77 | 47% | 41 | 42 | 1 | 83 | <1% | 4% | 18% | - | - | - | 7% | 19% | 51% |
| 35 of 77 | 45% | 40 | 43 | 1 | 81 | <1% | 3% | 15% | - | - | - | 5% | 17% | 61% |
| 34 of 77 | 44% | 39 | 44 | 1 | 79 | <1% | 2% | 13% | - | - | - | 3% | 13% | 69% |
| 33 of 77 | 43% | 38 | 45 | 1 | 77 | <1% | 1% | 10% | - | - | - | 2% | 10% | 77% |
| 32 of 77 | 42% | 37 | 46 | 1 | 75 | <1% | 1% | 8% | - | - | - | 1% | 7% | 83% |
| 31 of 77 | 40% | 36 | 47 | 1 | 73 | <1% | 1% | 6% | - | - | - | 1% | 5% | 88% |
| 30 of 77 | 39% | 35 | 48 | 1 | 71 | <1% | <1% | 4% | - | - | - | <1% | 3% | 92% |
| 29 of 77 | 38% | 34 | 49 | 1 | 69 | <1% | <1% | 3% | - | - | - | <1% | 2% | 95% |
| 20 of 77 | 26% | 25 | 58 | 1 | 51 | <1% | <1% | <1% | - | - | - | <1% | <1% | >99% |
| 10 of 77 | 13% | 15 | 68 | 1 | 31 | X | <1% | <1% | - | - | - | X | X | >99% |
| 0 of 77 | 0% | 5 | 78 | 1 | 11 | X | X | X | - | - | - | X | X | 100% |