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Fri Oct 30 3:00 am

NHL - Week 5 of 28

Sharks What If?

The Sharks What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Sharks play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Sharks What If?

Next Game - Senators (8‑5‑1)

  Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
 Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 8 6 1 17 10% 15% 15% - - - 7% 7% 46%
Current Standings 7 6 1 15 10% 14% 14% - - - 7% 7% 48%
Lose Next Game 7 7 1 15 9% 14% 15% - - - 7% 6% 50%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 10% 15% 15% - - - 7% 7% 46%
Current Standings 10% 14% 14% - - - 7% 7% 48%
Worst Case Scenario 9% 14% 15% - - - 7% 6% 50%
Best Case Scenario
   Sharks beats Senators
 Worst Case Scenario
   Senators beats Sharks
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
70 of 70 100% 77 6 1 155 >99% <1% ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
60 of 70 86% 67 16 1 135 98% 2% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
58 of 70 83% 65 18 1 131 93% 7% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
57 of 70 81% 64 19 1 129 90% 10% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
56 of 70 80% 63 20 1 127 85% 15% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
55 of 70 79% 62 21 1 125 80% 19% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
54 of 70 77% 61 22 1 123 73% 25% 2% - - - <1% <1% <1%
53 of 70 76% 60 23 1 121 67% 30% 3% - - - <1% <1% <1%
52 of 70 74% 59 24 1 119 59% 35% 6% - - - <1% <1% <1%
51 of 70 73% 58 25 1 117 53% 39% 8% - - - <1% <1% <1%
50 of 70 71% 57 26 1 115 46% 43% 11% - - - 1% <1% <1%
49 of 70 70% 56 27 1 113 38% 45% 15% - - - 1% <1% <1%
48 of 70 69% 55 28 1 111 32% 47% 18% - - - 3% <1% <1%
47 of 70 67% 54 29 1 109 26% 46% 24% - - - 4% <1% <1%
46 of 70 66% 53 30 1 107 21% 45% 27% - - - 7% <1% <1%
45 of 70 64% 52 31 1 105 17% 41% 32% - - - 9% 1% <1%
44 of 70 63% 51 32 1 103 12% 38% 36% - - - 13% 2% <1%
43 of 70 61% 50 33 1 101 9% 33% 38% - - - 17% 3% <1%
42 of 70 60% 49 34 1 99 6% 28% 39% - - - 20% 6% 1%
41 of 70 59% 48 35 1 97 4% 22% 39% - - - 23% 9% 2%
40 of 70 57% 47 36 1 95 3% 18% 36% - - - 25% 14% 4%
39 of 70 56% 46 37 1 93 2% 13% 33% - - - 25% 19% 7%
38 of 70 54% 45 38 1 91 1% 11% 29% - - - 23% 23% 13%
37 of 70 53% 44 39 1 89 1% 7% 25% - - - 21% 25% 21%
36 of 70 51% 43 40 1 87 <1% 5% 21% - - - 16% 26% 32%
35 of 70 50% 42 41 1 85 <1% 3% 16% - - - 11% 25% 44%
34 of 70 49% 41 42 1 83 <1% 2% 13% - - - 7% 21% 57%
33 of 70 47% 40 43 1 81 <1% 1% 9% - - - 4% 16% 70%
32 of 70 46% 39 44 1 79 <1% 1% 6% - - - 2% 10% 81%
31 of 70 44% 38 45 1 77 <1% <1% 4% - - - 1% 6% 89%
30 of 70 43% 37 46 1 75 <1% <1% 2% - - - <1% 3% 94%
20 of 70 29% 27 56 1 55 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
10 of 70 14% 17 66 1 35 X <1% <1% - - - X X >99%
0 of 70 0% 7 76 1 15 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs