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Fri Oct 2 4:30 am

NHL - Week 1 of 28

Sharks What If?

The Sharks What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Sharks play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Sharks What If?

Next Game - Kings (0‑1‑0)

  Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
 Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 2 0 0 4 18% 13% 13% - - - 6% 6% 43%
Current Standings 1 0 0 2 17% 14% 13% - - - 6% 6% 45%
Lose Next Game 1 1 0 2 16% 14% 13% - - - 6% 6% 45%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 18% 13% 13% - - - 6% 6% 43%
Current Standings 17% 14% 13% - - - 6% 6% 45%
Worst Case Scenario 16% 14% 13% - - - 6% 6% 45%
Best Case Scenario
   Sharks beats Kings
 Worst Case Scenario
   Kings beats Sharks
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
83 of 83 100% 84 0 0 168 100% ^ ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
80 of 83 96% 81 3 0 162 >99% <1% ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
71 of 83 86% 72 12 0 144 95% 5% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
70 of 83 84% 71 13 0 142 92% 8% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
69 of 83 83% 70 14 0 140 87% 12% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
68 of 83 82% 69 15 0 138 82% 17% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
67 of 83 81% 68 16 0 136 74% 24% 2% - - - <1% <1% <1%
66 of 83 80% 67 17 0 134 66% 30% 4% - - - <1% <1% <1%
65 of 83 78% 66 18 0 132 58% 35% 6% - - - <1% <1% <1%
64 of 83 77% 65 19 0 130 50% 40% 9% - - - 1% <1% <1%
63 of 83 76% 64 20 0 128 43% 43% 13% - - - 1% <1% <1%
62 of 83 75% 63 21 0 126 36% 44% 17% - - - 3% <1% <1%
61 of 83 73% 62 22 0 124 30% 45% 21% - - - 4% <1% <1%
60 of 83 72% 61 23 0 122 24% 44% 26% - - - 6% 1% <1%
59 of 83 71% 60 24 0 120 20% 42% 29% - - - 8% 1% <1%
58 of 83 70% 59 25 0 118 16% 39% 33% - - - 11% 2% <1%
57 of 83 69% 58 26 0 116 12% 36% 35% - - - 13% 3% <1%
56 of 83 67% 57 27 0 114 10% 33% 36% - - - 16% 4% <1%
55 of 83 66% 56 28 0 112 8% 30% 38% - - - 18% 5% 1%
54 of 83 65% 55 29 0 110 6% 27% 37% - - - 21% 8% 1%
53 of 83 64% 54 30 0 108 5% 24% 36% - - - 22% 10% 2%
52 of 83 63% 53 31 0 106 4% 20% 36% - - - 24% 13% 4%
51 of 83 61% 52 32 0 104 3% 18% 35% - - - 24% 15% 5%
50 of 83 60% 51 33 0 102 2% 17% 32% - - - 23% 18% 8%
49 of 83 59% 50 34 0 100 2% 13% 31% - - - 23% 20% 11%
48 of 83 58% 49 35 0 98 2% 11% 29% - - - 21% 23% 14%
47 of 83 57% 48 36 0 96 1% 10% 27% - - - 19% 23% 19%
46 of 83 55% 47 37 0 94 1% 8% 25% - - - 17% 25% 23%
45 of 83 54% 46 38 0 92 1% 8% 23% - - - 16% 24% 29%
44 of 83 53% 45 39 0 90 1% 6% 21% - - - 14% 25% 34%
43 of 83 52% 44 40 0 88 <1% 5% 19% - - - 11% 24% 41%
42 of 83 51% 43 41 0 86 <1% 4% 18% - - - 10% 23% 45%
41 of 83 49% 42 42 0 84 <1% 3% 15% - - - 8% 21% 53%
40 of 83 48% 41 43 0 82 <1% 3% 12% - - - 6% 18% 60%
39 of 83 47% 40 44 0 80 <1% 2% 11% - - - 5% 16% 66%
38 of 83 46% 39 45 0 78 <1% 2% 10% - - - 3% 14% 71%
37 of 83 45% 38 46 0 76 <1% 1% 8% - - - 3% 12% 76%
36 of 83 43% 37 47 0 74 <1% 1% 7% - - - 2% 10% 81%
35 of 83 42% 36 48 0 72 <1% 1% 5% - - - 1% 8% 85%
34 of 83 41% 35 49 0 70 <1% <1% 4% - - - 1% 5% 90%
33 of 83 40% 34 50 0 68 <1% <1% 3% - - - <1% 4% 92%
32 of 83 39% 33 51 0 66 <1% <1% 2% - - - <1% 2% 95%
30 of 83 36% 31 53 0 62 <1% <1% 1% - - - <1% 1% 98%
20 of 83 24% 21 63 0 42 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
10 of 83 12% 11 73 0 22 X X X - - - X X 100%
0 of 83 0% 1 83 0 2 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs