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Sat Nov 14 4:00 am

NHL - Week 7 of 28

Sharks What If?

The Sharks What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Sharks play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Sharks What If?

Next Game - Mammoth (10‑8‑2)

  Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
 Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 9 11 2 20 2% 6% 11% - - - 4% 5% 70%
Current Standings 8 11 2 18 2% 6% 10% - - - 4% 5% 73%
Lose Next Game 8 12 2 18 2% 5% 10% - - - 3% 5% 74%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 2% 6% 11% - - - 4% 5% 70%
Current Standings 2% 6% 10% - - - 4% 5% 73%
Worst Case Scenario 2% 5% 10% - - - 3% 5% 74%
Best Case Scenario
   Sharks beats Mammoth
 Worst Case Scenario
   Mammoth beats Sharks
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
 3 7 8 9
63 of 63 100% 71 11 2 144 >99% <1% <1% - - - ^ ^ ^
60 of 63 95% 68 14 2 138 >99% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
54 of 63 86% 62 20 2 126 93% 7% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
53 of 63 84% 61 21 2 124 89% 11% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
52 of 63 83% 60 22 2 122 86% 14% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
51 of 63 81% 59 23 2 120 79% 20% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
50 of 63 79% 58 24 2 118 73% 25% 2% - - - <1% <1% <1%
49 of 63 78% 57 25 2 116 66% 31% 3% - - - <1% <1% <1%
48 of 63 76% 56 26 2 114 58% 37% 5% - - - <1% <1% <1%
47 of 63 75% 55 27 2 112 50% 42% 7% - - - <1% <1% <1%
46 of 63 73% 54 28 2 110 41% 46% 12% - - - 1% <1% <1%
45 of 63 71% 53 29 2 108 34% 48% 17% - - - 2% <1% <1%
44 of 63 70% 52 30 2 106 28% 47% 21% - - - 4% <1% <1%
43 of 63 68% 51 31 2 104 21% 46% 28% - - - 5% <1% <1%
42 of 63 67% 50 32 2 102 16% 42% 33% - - - 8% 1% <1%
41 of 63 65% 49 33 2 100 11% 38% 37% - - - 12% 2% <1%
40 of 63 63% 48 34 2 98 7% 32% 40% - - - 16% 4% 1%
39 of 63 62% 47 35 2 96 5% 26% 40% - - - 19% 8% 2%
38 of 63 60% 46 36 2 94 3% 21% 40% - - - 19% 12% 5%
37 of 63 59% 45 37 2 92 2% 15% 38% - - - 18% 18% 9%
36 of 63 57% 44 38 2 90 1% 10% 33% - - - 16% 20% 20%
35 of 63 56% 43 39 2 88 <1% 7% 27% - - - 12% 22% 31%
34 of 63 54% 42 40 2 86 <1% 4% 21% - - - 8% 20% 46%
33 of 63 52% 41 41 2 84 <1% 2% 15% - - - 4% 16% 62%
32 of 63 51% 40 42 2 82 <1% 1% 11% - - - 2% 11% 75%
31 of 63 49% 39 43 2 80 <1% 1% 8% - - - 1% 6% 85%
30 of 63 48% 38 44 2 78 <1% <1% 4% - - - <1% 3% 92%
20 of 63 32% 28 54 2 58 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
10 of 63 16% 18 64 2 38 X <1% <1% - - - X X >99%
0 of 63 0% 8 74 2 18 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs