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Fri Oct 23 3:15 am

NHL - Week 4 of 28

Sharks What If?

The Sharks What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Sharks play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Sharks What If?

Next Game - Bruins (8‑2‑1)

  Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L OTLi
Overtime Loses
Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
Win Next Game 7 4 1 15 14% 16% 15% - - - 7% 6% 42%
Current Standings 6 4 1 13 13% 16% 15% - - - 6% 6% 44%
Lose Next Game 6 5 1 13 11% 16% 15% - - - 7% 6% 44%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
Best Case Scenario 14% 16% 15% - - - 7% 6% 42%
Current Standings 13% 16% 15% - - - 6% 6% 44%
Worst Case Scenario 11% 16% 15% - - - 7% 6% 44%
Best Case Scenario
   Sharks beats Bruins
Worst Case Scenario
   Bruins beats Sharks
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Pacific Divisional Winners Central Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L OTL Pts 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 1*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
2*
First Round Home
Ice Advantage
3 7 8 9
73 of 73 100% 79 4 1 159 >99% <1% ^ - - - ^ ^ ^
70 of 73 96% 76 7 1 153 >99% <1% <1% - - - ^ ^ ^
63 of 73 86% 69 14 1 139 95% 5% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
62 of 73 85% 68 15 1 137 93% 7% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
61 of 73 84% 67 16 1 135 90% 10% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
60 of 73 82% 66 17 1 133 86% 14% <1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
59 of 73 81% 65 18 1 131 81% 18% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
58 of 73 79% 64 19 1 129 76% 23% 1% - - - <1% <1% <1%
57 of 73 78% 63 20 1 127 70% 28% 2% - - - <1% <1% <1%
56 of 73 77% 62 21 1 125 64% 33% 3% - - - <1% <1% <1%
55 of 73 75% 61 22 1 123 57% 37% 6% - - - <1% <1% <1%
54 of 73 74% 60 23 1 121 50% 42% 8% - - - <1% <1% <1%
53 of 73 73% 59 24 1 119 44% 45% 11% - - - 1% <1% <1%
52 of 73 71% 58 25 1 117 38% 46% 14% - - - 1% <1% <1%
51 of 73 70% 57 26 1 115 33% 47% 18% - - - 2% <1% <1%
50 of 73 68% 56 27 1 113 28% 47% 21% - - - 3% <1% <1%
49 of 73 67% 55 28 1 111 23% 45% 26% - - - 5% <1% <1%
48 of 73 66% 54 29 1 109 19% 43% 30% - - - 7% 1% <1%
47 of 73 64% 53 30 1 107 14% 41% 33% - - - 10% 1% <1%
46 of 73 63% 52 31 1 105 11% 38% 35% - - - 14% 2% <1%
45 of 73 62% 51 32 1 103 8% 32% 38% - - - 17% 4% <1%
44 of 73 60% 50 33 1 101 6% 28% 39% - - - 20% 6% 1%
43 of 73 59% 49 34 1 99 5% 24% 39% - - - 22% 9% 2%
42 of 73 58% 48 35 1 97 3% 20% 37% - - - 23% 13% 4%
41 of 73 56% 47 36 1 95 2% 15% 35% - - - 23% 17% 7%
40 of 73 55% 46 37 1 93 1% 12% 31% - - - 23% 21% 13%
39 of 73 53% 45 38 1 91 1% 9% 28% - - - 19% 24% 18%
38 of 73 52% 44 39 1 89 1% 7% 24% - - - 16% 24% 28%
37 of 73 51% 43 40 1 87 <1% 5% 20% - - - 13% 25% 38%
36 of 73 49% 42 41 1 85 <1% 3% 16% - - - 9% 23% 48%
35 of 73 48% 41 42 1 83 <1% 2% 14% - - - 6% 19% 59%
34 of 73 47% 40 43 1 81 <1% 1% 10% - - - 3% 15% 70%
33 of 73 45% 39 44 1 79 <1% 1% 6% - - - 2% 11% 80%
32 of 73 44% 38 45 1 77 <1% <1% 5% - - - 1% 8% 86%
31 of 73 42% 37 46 1 75 <1% <1% 4% - - - 1% 4% 91%
30 of 73 41% 36 47 1 73 <1% <1% 2% - - - <1% 2% 95%
20 of 73 27% 26 57 1 53 <1% <1% <1% - - - <1% <1% >99%
10 of 73 14% 16 67 1 33 X <1% <1% - - - X X >99%
0 of 73 0% 6 77 1 13 X X X - - - X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round home ice advantage in the playoffs