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Wed Oct 5 8:30 pm

UEFA Champions League - Week 6 of 9

Atletico Madrid What If?

The Atletico Madrid What If table presents qualifing probabilities depended upon how Atletico Madrid plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Atletico Madrid What If?

Next Game - Club Brugge (3‑0)

  Resultant Record Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
  W L T Pts 1*
Advancement to the
Knockout Round
2*
Advancement to the
Knockout Round
3
Win Next Game 2 2 0 6 15% 33% 52%
Current Standings 1 2 0 3 10% 29% 61%
Lose Next Game 1 3 0 3 X 18% 82%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
  1*
Advancement to the
Knockout Round
2*
Advancement to the
Knockout Round
3
Best Case Scenario 15% 33% 52%
Current Standings 10% 29% 61%
Worst Case Scenario X 18% 82%
Best Case Scenario
   Atletico Madrid beats Club Brugge
Worst Case Scenario
   Club Brugge beats Atletico Madrid
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the qualifing probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
W L T Pts 1*
Advancement to the
Knockout Round
2*
Advancement to the
Knockout Round
3
3 of 3 100% 4 2 0 12 63% 37% ^
2 of 3 67% 3 3 0 9 1% 51% 48%
1 of 3 33% 2 4 0 6 X <1% >99%
0 of 3 0% 1 5 0 3 X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes advancement to the knockout round