The Bayern Munich What If table presents qualifing probabilities depended upon how Bayern Munich plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Qualifing Finish | Elimination | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
2* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
3* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
4* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
5* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
6* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
7* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
8* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | |
Win Next Game | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15 | <1% | 5% | 21% | 31% | 22% | 10% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
Current Standings | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | <1% | 3% | 12% | 19% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Lose Next Game | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 15% | 21% | 20% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Qualifing Finish | Elimination | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
2* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
3* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
4* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
5* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
6* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
7* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
8* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | |
Best Case Scenario | <1% | 3% | 13% | 20% | 17% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | <1% | 3% | 12% | 19% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | 3% | 12% | 18% | 15% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Best Case Scenario Slovan beats Atletico Madrid Sturm Graz beats Lille RS Belgrade beats AC Milan |
Worst Case Scenario Atletico Madrid beats Slovan Lille beats Sturm Graz AC Milan beats RS Belgrade |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Qualifing Finish | Elimination | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
2* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
3* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
4* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
5* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
6* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
7* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
8* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | ||
2 of 2 | 100% | 6 | 2 | 0 | 18 | <1% | 6% | 25% | 37% | 23% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
1 of 2 | 50% | 5 | 3 | 0 | 15 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 19% | 26% | 23% | 14% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
0 of 2 | 0% | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 16% | 25% | 26% | 17% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |