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Wed Jan 21 5:45 pm

UEFA Champions League - Week 20 of 20

Benfica Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Benfica are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Benfica fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Benfica Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Benfica Resultant Probabilities
Qualifing Finish Elimination
1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Benfica
(2‑5)
vs
Real Madrid
(5‑2)		 80 Benfica Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 6% 19% 29% 26% 20%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 10% 9% 73%
Real Madrid Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
Ajax
(2‑5)
vs
Olympiacos
(2‑3‑2)		 9 Ajax Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 8% 11% 8% 70%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 10% 9% 73%
Olympiacos Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 8% 10% 79%
Barcelona
(4‑2‑1)
vs
Copenhagen
(2‑3‑2)		 8 Barcelona Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 10% 8% 72%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 10% 9% 73%
Copenhagen Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 10% 80%
Sporting CP
(4‑2‑1)
vs
Athletic Bilbao
(2‑3‑2)		 8 Sporting CP Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 7% 10% 8% 71%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 10% 9% 73%
Athletic Bilbao Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 8% 10% 79%
Bayern Munich
(6‑1)
vs
PSV Eindhoven
(2‑3‑2)		 8 Bayern Munich Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 9% 10% 7% 70%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 10% 9% 73%
PSV Eindhoven Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 8% 10% 78%
Chelsea
(4‑2‑1)
vs
Napoli
(2‑3‑2)		 7 Chelsea Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 8% 11% 8% 70%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 10% 9% 73%
Napoli Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 8% 11% 78%
Atletico Madrid
(4‑2‑1)
vs
Bodo/Glimt
(1‑3‑3)		 7 Atletico Madrid Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 10% 8% 72%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 10% 9% 73%
Bodo/Glimt Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 1% 3% 7% 10% 79%
Juventus
(3‑1‑3)
vs
Monaco
(2‑2‑3)		 6 Juventus Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 4% 9% 10% 7% 69%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 10% 9% 73%
Monaco Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 4% 9% 11% 76%
Villarreal
(0‑6‑1)
vs
Leverkusen
(2‑2‑3)		 6 Villarreal Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1% 6% 10% 9% 5% 68%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 10% 9% 73%
Leverkusen Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 2% 6% 10% 9% 74%
Marseille
(3‑4)
vs
Club Brugge
(2‑4‑1)		 5 Marseille Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 3% 9% 11% 7% 69%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 10% 9% 73%
Club Brugge Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 5% 9% 9% 74%
Slavia Prague
(0‑4‑3)
vs
Pafos
(1‑3‑3)		 1 Slavia Prague Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 10% 8% 73%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 10% 9% 73%
Pafos Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 10% 9% 73%
Tottenham
(4‑1‑2)
vs
Frankfurt
(1‑5‑1)		 0 Tottenham Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 10% 9% 73%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 10% 9% 73%
Frankfurt Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 10% 8% 73%
St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose
(2‑5)
vs
Atalanta
(4‑2‑1)		 0 St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 7% 10% 9% 73%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 10% 9% 73%
Atalanta Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 10% 8% 73%
Arsenal
(7‑0)
vs
Kairat
(0‑6‑1)		 0 Arsenal Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 10% 9% 73%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 10% 9% 73%
Kairat Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 10% 9% 73%
Dortmund
(3‑2‑2)
vs
Inter Milan
(4‑3)		 0 Dortmund Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 10% 9% 73%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 10% 9% 73%
Inter Milan Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 10% 9% 73%
Liverpool
(5‑2)
vs
Qarabag
(3‑3‑1)		 0 Liverpool Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 10% 9% 73%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 10% 9% 73%
Qarabag Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 10% 9% 73%
Manchester City
(4‑2‑1)
vs
GalatasarayGalatasary
(3‑3‑1)		 0 Manchester City Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 10% 9% 73%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 10% 9% 73%
GalatasarayGalatasary Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 10% 9% 73%
Paris SG
(4‑2‑1)
vs
Newcastle
(4‑2‑1)		 0 Paris SG Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 10% 9% 73%
Current Probabilities X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 10% 9% 73%
Newcastle Wins X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% 2% 6% 10% 9% 73%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the knockout round