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Thu Sep 21 7:45 am

UEFA Champions League - Week 1 of 13

Benfica What If?

The Benfica What If table presents qualifing probabilities depended upon how Benfica plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Benfica What If?

Next Game - Inter Milan (0‑0‑1)

  Resultant Record Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
  W L T Pts 1*
Advancement to the
Knockout Round
2*
Advancement to the
Knockout Round
3
Win Next Game 1 1 0 3 33% 33% 34%
Current Standings 0 1 0 0 18% 25% 57%
Lose Next Game 0 2 0 0 7% 18% 76%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
  1*
Advancement to the
Knockout Round
2*
Advancement to the
Knockout Round
3
Best Case Scenario 33% 33% 34%
Current Standings 18% 25% 57%
Worst Case Scenario 7% 18% 76%
Best Case Scenario
   Benfica beats Inter Milan
Worst Case Scenario
   Inter Milan beats Benfica
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the qualifing probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
W L T Pts 1*
Advancement to the
Knockout Round
2*
Advancement to the
Knockout Round
3
5 of 5 100% 5 1 0 15 99% 1% ^
4 of 5 80% 4 2 0 12 79% 21% ^
3 of 5 60% 3 3 0 9 6% 65% 30%
2 of 5 40% 2 4 0 6 X 1% 99%
1 of 5 20% 1 5 0 3 X X 100%
0 of 5 0% 0 6 0 0 X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes advancement to the knockout round