The Benfica What If table presents qualifing probabilities depended upon how Benfica plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
Resultant Record | Qualifing Finish | Elimination | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
2* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
3* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
4* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
5* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
6* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
7* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
8* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | |
Win Next Game | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
Lose Next Game | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 13% |
Qualifing Finish | Elimination | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
2* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
3* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
4* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
5* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
6* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
7* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
8* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | |
Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Current Standings | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 13% |
Best Case Scenario Slovan beats Atletico Madrid RS Belgrade beats AC Milan Benfica beats Bologna |
Worst Case Scenario Atletico Madrid beats Slovan AC Milan beats RS Belgrade Bologna beats Benfica |
Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Qualifing Finish | Elimination | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
W | L | T | Pts | 1* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
2* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
3* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
4* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
5* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
6* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
7* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
8* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | ||
3 of 3 | 100% | 6 | 2 | 0 | 18 | <1% | 3% | 16% | 34% | 29% | 14% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
2 of 3 | 67% | 5 | 3 | 0 | 15 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 11% | 19% | 25% | 21% | 13% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
1 of 3 | 33% | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 19% | 27% | 23% | 12% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
0 of 3 | 0% | 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 23% | 65% |