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Fri Sep 16 11:00 am

UEFA Champions League - Week 3 of 9

Benfica What If?

The Benfica What If table presents qualifing probabilities depended upon how Benfica plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Benfica What If?

Next Game - Paris SG (2‑0)

  Resultant Record Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
  W L T Pts 1*
Advancement to the
Knockout Round
2*
Advancement to the
Knockout Round
3
Win Next Game 3 0 0 9 45% 53% 2%
Current Standings 2 0 0 6 15% 76% 8%
Lose Next Game 2 1 0 6 3% 85% 12%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
  1*
Advancement to the
Knockout Round
2*
Advancement to the
Knockout Round
3
Best Case Scenario 45% 53% 2%
Current Standings 15% 76% 8%
Worst Case Scenario 3% 85% 12%
Best Case Scenario
   Benfica beats Paris SG
Worst Case Scenario
   Paris SG beats Benfica
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the qualifing probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
W L T Pts 1*
Advancement to the
Knockout Round
2*
Advancement to the
Knockout Round
3
4 of 4 100% 6 0 0 18 100% ^ ^
3 of 4 75% 5 1 0 15 78% 22% ^
2 of 4 50% 4 2 0 12 20% 79% 1%
1 of 4 25% 3 3 0 9 <1% 68% 32%
0 of 4 0% 2 4 0 6 X 6% 94%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes advancement to the knockout round