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Wed Dec 11 5:30 pm

UEFA Champions League - Week 14 of 20

Paris SG What If?

The Paris SG What If table presents qualifing probabilities depended upon how Paris SG plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Paris SG What If?

Next Game - Manchester City (2‑2‑2)

  Resultant Record Qualifing Finish Elimination
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Win Next Game 3 3 1 10 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 6% 14% 21% 19% 11% 5% 2% 3% 4% 5% 4% 3% 1%
Current Standings 2 3 1 7 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 9% 8% 5% 2% 3% 6% 9% 12% 13% 10% 15%
Lose Next Game 2 4 1 7 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 7% 18% 25% 20% 28%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Qualifing Finish Elimination
  1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Current Standings X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 9% 8% 5% 2% 3% 6% 9% 12% 13% 10% 15%
Best Case Scenario
None
Worst Case Scenario
None
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the qualifing probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Qualifing Finish Elimination
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
2 of 2 100% 4 3 1 13 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 7% 18% 27% 24% 14% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
1 of 2 50% 3 4 1 10 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 3% 10% 23% 29% 23% 11%
0 of 2 0% 2 5 1 7 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round bye in the knockout round