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Wed Dec 10 5:15 pm

UEFA Champions League - Week 19 of 20

Real Madrid Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Real Madrid are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Real Madrid fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Real Madrid Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)		 Game
Winner		 Real Madrid Resultant Probabilities
Qualifing Finish Elimination
1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Real Madrid
(4‑2)
vs
Monaco
(2‑1‑3)		 60 Real Madrid Wins <1% 1% 6% 15% 16% 11% 9% 10% 13% 11% 5% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 6% 13% 14% 9% 8% 11% 12% 11% 6% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Monaco Wins X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 7% 14% 15% 9% 6% 7% 9% 11% 11% 7% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Marseille
(3‑3)
vs
Liverpool
(4‑2)		 13 Marseille Wins <1% 1% 7% 15% 15% 11% 11% 12% 11% 6% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 6% 13% 14% 9% 8% 11% 12% 11% 6% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Liverpool Wins <1% 1% 5% 12% 13% 9% 8% 10% 13% 12% 7% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
GalatasarayGalatasary
(3‑3)
vs
Atletico Madrid
(4‑2)		 10 GalatasarayGalatasary Wins <1% 1% 6% 14% 15% 11% 10% 13% 13% 8% 4% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 6% 13% 14% 9% 8% 11% 12% 11% 6% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Atletico Madrid Wins <1% 1% 6% 13% 13% 9% 8% 10% 13% 12% 7% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Athletic Bilbao
(1‑3‑2)
vs
Atalanta
(4‑1‑1)		 7 Athletic Bilbao Wins <1% 2% 9% 16% 13% 9% 9% 11% 11% 8% 4% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 6% 13% 14% 9% 8% 11% 12% 11% 6% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Atalanta Wins <1% 1% 5% 13% 15% 10% 8% 11% 12% 11% 6% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Arsenal
(6‑0)
vs
Inter Milan
(4‑2)		 7 Arsenal Wins X 1% 6% 15% 14% 10% 9% 12% 12% 9% 4% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 6% 13% 14% 9% 8% 11% 12% 11% 6% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Inter Milan Wins <1% 1% 6% 12% 15% 9% 8% 10% 12% 11% 7% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Slavia Prague
(0‑3‑3)
vs
Barcelona
(3‑2‑1)		 6 Slavia Prague Wins <1% 1% 6% 13% 14% 10% 10% 13% 14% 9% 4% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 6% 13% 14% 9% 8% 11% 12% 11% 6% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Barcelona Wins <1% 1% 6% 13% 13% 9% 8% 10% 12% 11% 7% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Pafos
(1‑2‑3)
vs
Chelsea
(3‑2‑1)		 5 Pafos Wins <1% 1% 6% 14% 14% 10% 10% 12% 13% 9% 5% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 6% 13% 14% 9% 8% 11% 12% 11% 6% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Chelsea Wins <1% 1% 5% 13% 14% 9% 9% 11% 12% 10% 6% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Paris SG
(4‑1‑1)
vs
Sporting CP
(3‑2‑1)		 4 Paris SG Wins <1% <1% 2% 10% 17% 12% 10% 12% 13% 10% 6% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 6% 13% 14% 9% 8% 11% 12% 11% 6% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Sporting CP Wins <1% 1% 9% 16% 11% 6% 7% 9% 11% 11% 8% 4% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Bodo/Glimt
(0‑3‑3)
vs
Manchester City
(4‑1‑1)		 3 Bodo/Glimt Wins <1% 2% 11% 17% 11% 8% 8% 10% 11% 10% 5% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 6% 13% 14% 9% 8% 11% 12% 11% 6% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Manchester City Wins <1% <1% 3% 11% 16% 12% 9% 11% 13% 11% 6% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose
(2‑4)
vs
Bayern Munich
(5‑1)		 3 St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose Wins <1% 3% 11% 13% 11% 8% 8% 10% 12% 9% 6% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 6% 13% 14% 9% 8% 11% 12% 11% 6% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Bayern Munich Wins <1% <1% 5% 13% 15% 9% 8% 11% 13% 11% 6% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Tottenham
(3‑1‑2)
vs
Dortmund
(3‑1‑2)		 2 Tottenham Wins <1% 1% 5% 13% 14% 10% 9% 11% 12% 11% 6% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 6% 13% 14% 9% 8% 11% 12% 11% 6% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Dortmund Wins <1% 1% 6% 13% 14% 9% 8% 11% 13% 11% 6% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
PSV Eindhoven
(2‑2‑2)
vs
Newcastle
(3‑2‑1)		 1 PSV Eindhoven Wins <1% 1% 6% 14% 14% 10% 9% 11% 12% 10% 6% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 6% 13% 14% 9% 8% 11% 12% 11% 6% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Newcastle Wins <1% 1% 6% 13% 13% 10% 9% 10% 12% 11% 6% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Juventus
(2‑1‑3)
vs
Benfica
(2‑4)		 0 Juventus Wins <1% 1% 6% 14% 14% 9% 8% 11% 12% 10% 6% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 6% 13% 14% 9% 8% 11% 12% 11% 6% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Benfica Wins <1% 1% 6% 13% 14% 10% 8% 11% 13% 11% 6% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Copenhagen
(2‑3‑1)
vs
Napoli
(2‑3‑1)		 0 Copenhagen Wins <1% 1% 6% 14% 14% 9% 9% 10% 12% 10% 6% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 6% 13% 14% 9% 8% 11% 12% 11% 6% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Napoli Wins <1% 1% 6% 13% 14% 10% 9% 10% 13% 10% 6% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Olympiacos
(1‑3‑2)
vs
Leverkusen
(2‑1‑3)		 0 Olympiacos Wins <1% 1% 6% 13% 14% 9% 8% 10% 13% 10% 6% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 6% 13% 14% 9% 8% 11% 12% 11% 6% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Leverkusen Wins <1% 1% 6% 14% 13% 10% 9% 11% 12% 11% 6% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Qarabag
(2‑3‑1)
vs
Frankfurt
(1‑4‑1)		 0 Qarabag Wins <1% 1% 6% 13% 14% 10% 8% 11% 13% 10% 6% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 6% 13% 14% 9% 8% 11% 12% 11% 6% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Frankfurt Wins <1% 1% 6% 13% 14% 10% 8% 11% 12% 10% 6% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Kairat
(0‑5‑1)
vs
Club Brugge
(1‑4‑1)		 0 Kairat Wins <1% 1% 6% 13% 14% 9% 8% 11% 12% 11% 6% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 6% 13% 14% 9% 8% 11% 12% 11% 6% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Club Brugge Wins <1% 1% 6% 13% 14% 9% 8% 11% 12% 11% 6% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Villarreal
(0‑5‑1)
vs
Ajax
(1‑5)		 0 Villarreal Wins <1% 1% 6% 13% 14% 9% 8% 11% 12% 11% 6% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities <1% 1% 6% 13% 14% 9% 8% 11% 12% 11% 6% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Ajax Wins <1% 1% 6% 13% 14% 9% 8% 11% 12% 11% 6% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the knockout round