The Most Important Games for Real Madrid are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Real Madrid fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Real Madrid Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qualifing Finish | Elimination | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
2* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
3* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
4* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
5* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
6* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
7* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
8* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | |||
| Real Madrid (5‑2) vs Benfica (2‑5) |
68 | Real Madrid Wins | X | 23% | 75% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Benfica Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 21% | 30% | 25% | 11% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| GalatasarayGalatasary (3‑3‑1) vs Manchester City (4‑2‑1) |
11 | GalatasarayGalatasary Wins | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 11% | 6% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Manchester City Wins | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 10% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Qarabag (3‑3‑1) vs Liverpool (5‑2) |
10 | Qarabag Wins | X | 11% | 39% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Liverpool Wins | X | 11% | 35% | 3% | 12% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Copenhagen (2‑3‑2) vs Barcelona (4‑2‑1) |
10 | Copenhagen Wins | X | 11% | 37% | 4% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 10% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Barcelona Wins | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bodo/Glimt (1‑3‑3) vs Atletico Madrid (4‑2‑1) |
10 | Bodo/Glimt Wins | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 10% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Atletico Madrid Wins | X | 11% | 37% | 4% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Athletic Bilbao (2‑3‑2) vs Sporting CP (4‑2‑1) |
9 | Athletic Bilbao Wins | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 10% | 5% | 6% | 10% | 10% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Sporting CP Wins | X | 11% | 37% | 4% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose (2‑5) vs Atalanta (4‑2‑1) |
9 | St.-GilloiseSt-Gillose Wins | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 10% | 11% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Atalanta Wins | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 10% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Napoli (2‑3‑2) vs Chelsea (4‑2‑1) |
9 | Napoli Wins | X | 11% | 37% | 4% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Chelsea Wins | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Frankfurt (1‑5‑1) vs Tottenham (4‑1‑2) |
8 | Frankfurt Wins | X | 11% | 36% | 6% | 12% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 10% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tottenham Wins | X | 11% | 36% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 7% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Dortmund (3‑2‑2) vs Inter Milan (4‑3) |
1 | Dortmund Wins | X | 11% | 36% | 5% | 11% | 4% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Inter Milan Wins | X | 11% | 37% | 4% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| PSV Eindhoven (2‑3‑2) vs Bayern Munich (6‑1) |
0 | PSV Eindhoven Wins | X | 44% | 4% | 4% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Bayern Munich Wins | X | X | 47% | 5% | 10% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Paris SG (4‑2‑1) vs Newcastle (4‑2‑1) |
0 | Paris SG Wins | X | 11% | 36% | 3% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Newcastle Wins | X | 11% | 37% | 10% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Juventus (3‑1‑3) vs Monaco (2‑2‑3) |
0 | Juventus Wins | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Monaco Wins | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Ajax (2‑5) vs Olympiacos (2‑3‑2) |
0 | Ajax Wins | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Olympiacos Wins | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Arsenal (7‑0) vs Kairat (0‑6‑1) |
0 | Arsenal Wins | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Kairat Wins | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Club Brugge (2‑4‑1) vs Marseille (3‑4) |
0 | Club Brugge Wins | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Marseille Wins | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Leverkusen (2‑2‑3) vs Villarreal (0‑6‑1) |
0 | Leverkusen Wins | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Villarreal Wins | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Pafos (1‑3‑3) vs Slavia Prague (0‑4‑3) |
0 | Pafos Wins | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Slavia Prague Wins | X | 11% | 36% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||