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Wed Oct 5 8:30 pm

UEFA Champions League - Week 6 of 9

Real Madrid Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for Real Madrid are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Real Madrid fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.

Real Madrid Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Real Madrid Resultant Probabilities
Qualifing Group Finish Elimination
1*
Advancement to the
Knockout Round
2*
Advancement to the
Knockout Round
3
Real Madrid
(3‑0)

vs
Shakhtar Donetsk
(1‑1‑1)
3 Real Madrid Wins >99% <1% ^
Current Probabilities 95% 5% <1%
Shakhtar Donetsk Wins 83% 15% 2%
Celtic
(0‑2‑1)

vs
RB Leipzig
(1‑2)
0 Celtic Wins 96% 4% <1%
Current Probabilities 95% 5% <1%
RB Leipzig Wins 93% 6% 1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes advancement to the knockout round