The Most Important Games for Real Madrid are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Real Madrid fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Real Madrid Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qualifing Finish | Elimination | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
2* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
3* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
4* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
5* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
6* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
7* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
8* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | |||
| Real Madrid (2‑0) vs Leipzig (1‑1) |
49 | Real Madrid Wins | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||
| Leipzig Wins | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 14% | ||
| Arsenal (2‑0) vs Bayern Munich (1‑0‑1) |
2 | Arsenal Wins | 2% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||
| Bayern Munich Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% | ||
| Sabah (1‑1) vs Dortmund (1‑1) |
1 | Sabah Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||
| Dortmund Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% | ||
| Club Brugge (1‑1) vs Lens (1‑1) |
1 | Club Brugge Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||
| Lens Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||
| Slavia Prague (0‑2) vs Fenerbahce (0‑1‑1) |
1 | Slavia Prague Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||
| Fenerbahce Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 4% | ||
| Villarreal (1‑1) vs Liverpool (2‑0) |
1 | Villarreal Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||
| Liverpool Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||
| Viking FK (0‑1‑1) vs Aston Villa (2‑0) |
1 | Viking FK Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||
| Aston Villa Wins | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||
| Atletico Madrid (1‑1) vs Stuttgart (2‑0) |
1 | Atletico Madrid Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||
| Stuttgart Wins | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||
| Como (1‑1) vs Manchester U. (1‑1) |
1 | Como Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||
| Manchester U. Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||
| Lask Linz (0‑2) vs Sporting CP (2‑0) |
1 | Lask Linz Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||
| Sporting CP Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||
| Slovan (0‑2) vs Roma (0‑1‑1) |
1 | Slovan Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||
| Roma Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% | ||
| Inter Milan (0‑2) vs Shakhtar (1‑0‑1) |
1 | Inter Milan Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||
| Shakhtar Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% | ||
| AEK Athens (1‑1) vs Manchester City (1‑1) |
1 | AEK Athens Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||
| Manchester City Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||
| Barcelona (2‑0) vs Paris SG (2‑0) |
1 | Barcelona Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||
| Paris SG Wins | 4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||
| Napoli (0‑2) vs Bodo (1‑1) |
0 | Napoli Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||
| Bodo Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||
| Feyenoord (1‑1) vs Real Betis (2‑0) |
0 | Feyenoord Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||
| Real Betis Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||
| Lille (0‑2) vs GalatasarayGalatasary (0‑2) |
0 | Lille Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||
| GalatasarayGalatasary Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||
| PSV Eindhoven (0‑1‑1) vs Porto (0‑2) |
0 | PSV Eindhoven Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||
| Porto Wins | 3% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 4% | ||