The Most Important Games for Real Madrid are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's qualifing probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Real Madrid fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Real Madrid Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qualifing Finish | Elimination | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
2* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
3* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
4* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
5* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
6* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
7* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
8* First Round Bye in the Knockout Round |
9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | |||
| Real Madrid (3‑3) vs Salzburg (1‑5) |
10 | Real Madrid Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 19% | 22% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 14% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Salzburg Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 8% | 18% | 24% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | ||
| Bologna (0‑4‑2) vs Dortmund (4‑2) |
3 | Bologna Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 11% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 14% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Dortmund Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 15% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Shakhtar (1‑4‑1) vs Brest (4‑1‑1) |
3 | Shakhtar Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 14% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Brest Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Zagreb (2‑2‑2) vs Arsenal (4‑1‑1) |
3 | Zagreb Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 15% | 11% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 14% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Arsenal Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 8% | 14% | 17% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Monaco (3‑2‑1) vs Aston Villa (4‑1‑1) |
3 | Monaco Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 16% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 14% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Aston Villa Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 13% | 18% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Liverpool (6‑0) vs Lille (4‑1‑1) |
3 | Liverpool Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 14% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Lille Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 12% | 17% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Girona (1‑5) vs AC Milan (4‑2) |
3 | Girona Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 17% | 16% | 9% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 14% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| AC Milan Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| RB Leipzig (0‑6) vs Sporting CP (3‑2‑1) |
2 | RB Leipzig Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 14% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Sporting CP Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Club Brugge (3‑2‑1) vs Juventus (3‑1‑2) |
2 | Club Brugge Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 14% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Juventus Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 17% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | ||
| Sturm Graz (1‑5) vs Atalanta (3‑1‑2) |
2 | Sturm Graz Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 18% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 14% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Atalanta Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 14% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Barcelona (5‑1) vs Benfica (3‑2‑1) |
1 | Barcelona Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 14% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Benfica Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Sparta Prague (1‑4‑1) vs Inter Milan (4‑1‑1) |
1 | Sparta Prague Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 15% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 14% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Inter Milan Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 14% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Leverkusen (4‑1‑1) vs Atletico Madrid (4‑2) |
1 | Leverkusen Wins | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 11% | 16% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 14% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Atletico Madrid Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 14% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| RS Belgrade (1‑5) vs PSV Eindhoven (2‑2‑2) |
1 | RS Belgrade Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 14% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| PSV Eindhoven Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Young Boys (0‑6) vs Celtic (2‑1‑3) |
0 | Young Boys Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 14% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Celtic Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 17% | 12% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Slovan (0‑6) vs Stuttgart (2‑3‑1) |
0 | Slovan Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 14% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Stuttgart Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 14% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Manchester City (2‑2‑2) vs Paris SG (2‑3‑1) |
0 | Manchester City Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 14% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Paris SG Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Bayern Munich (4‑2) vs Feyenoord (3‑2‑1) |
0 | Bayern Munich Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 15% | 17% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 14% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Feyenoord Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 13% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ||