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Wed Nov 26 5:15 pm

UEFA Champions League - Week 13 of 20

St.-Gilloise What If?

The St.-Gilloise What If table presents qualifing probabilities depended upon how St.-Gilloise plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

St.-Gilloise What If?

Next Game - Marseille (2‑3)

  Resultant Record Qualifing Finish Elimination
  W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Win Next Game 3 3 0 9 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 7% 8% 6% 4% 5% 8% 11% 14% 28%
Current Standings 2 3 0 6 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 3% 3% 4% 5% 7% 9% 58%
Lose Next Game 2 4 0 6 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 5% 89%


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Qualifing Finish Elimination
  1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Best Case Scenario <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 4% 7% 8% 7% 5% 7% 10% 13% 15% 20%
Current Standings <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 3% 3% 4% 5% 7% 9% 58%
Worst Case Scenario X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 3% 93%
Best Case Scenario
   Galatasaray beats Monaco
   St.-Gilloise beats Marseille
   Ajax beats Qarabag
 Worst Case Scenario
   Monaco beats Galatasaray
   Marseille beats St.-Gilloise
   Qarabag beats Ajax
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the qualifing probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Qualifing Finish Elimination
W L T Pts 1*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 2*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 3*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 4*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 5*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 6*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 7*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 8*
First Round Bye in the
Knockout Round
 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
3 of 3 100% 5 3 0 15 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 12% 22% 27% 21% 10% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
2 of 3 67% 4 4 0 12 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 13% 24% 27% 19% 8% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
1 of 3 33% 3 5 0 9 X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 8% 19% 70%
0 of 3 0% 2 6 0 6 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% >99%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this qualifing spot
  • X means the team cannot win this qualifing spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this qualifing spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes first round bye in the knockout round