The Most Important Games for the Louisville Cardinals are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cardinals final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Louisville Cardinals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Louisville Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT | |||
| California (20‑9) vs Georgia Tech (11‑18) |
0 | California Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 66% | 22% | 12% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 65% | 21% | 14% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Georgia Tech Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 65% | 17% | 18% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| SMU (19‑10) vs Miami (23‑6) |
0 | SMU Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 64% | 17% | 19% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 65% | 21% | 14% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Miami Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 67% | 26% | 7% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Notre Dame (13‑16) vs Stanford (18‑11) |
0 | Notre Dame Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 65% | 21% | 14% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 65% | 21% | 14% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Stanford Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 65% | 21% | 14% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Pittsburgh (11‑18) vs Florida St. (15‑14) |
0 | Pittsburgh Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 65% | 29% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 65% | 21% | 14% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Florida St. Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 66% | 15% | 19% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Virginia (26‑4) vs Virginia Tech (19‑11) |
0 | Virginia Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 65% | 21% | 14% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 65% | 21% | 14% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Virginia Tech Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 65% | 21% | 14% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Duke (28‑2) vs North Carolina (24‑6) |
0 | Duke Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 65% | 21% | 14% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | <1% | 65% | 21% | 14% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| North Carolina Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 65% | 21% | 14% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||