Where are the North Carolina Tar Heels going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The North Carolina standings table presents the probabilities of the Tar Heels winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
Li Schedule Content Number of Loses ----- Hover/Touch Content Remaining Games Venue |
GPi Schedule Content Games Played 18 game season ----- Hover/Touch Content Two-Team Tiebreaker Status |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT |
| Duke | 0i Duke Recent Games Won Sun, Nov 23 vs Howard 93-56 Won Thu, Nov 27 @ Arkansas 80-71 Won Tue, Dec 02 vs Florida 67-66 Won Sat, Dec 06 @ Michigan St. 66-60 Tue, Dec 16 vs Lipscomb Sat, Dec 20 @ Texas Tech Wed, Dec 31 vs Georgia Tech Sat, Jan 03 @ Florida St. |
0i
Duke Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 1 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0i
Duke Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
24% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| North Carolina | 0 North Carolina Recent Games Lost Thu, Nov 27 vs Michigan St. 58-74 Won Tue, Dec 02 @ Kentucky 67-64 Won Sun, Dec 07 vs Georgetwn 81-61 Won Sat, Dec 13 vs SC Upstate 80-62 Tue, Dec 16 vs E. Tennessee St. Sat, Dec 20 vs Ohio St. Mon, Dec 22 vs E. Carolina Tue, Dec 30 vs Florida St. |
0
North Carolina Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 2 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0
North Carolina Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| SMU | 0 SMU Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 28 @ Mississippi St. 87-81 Lost Wed, Dec 03 @ Vanderbilt 69-88 Won Sun, Dec 07 vs Texas A&M 93-80 Lost Sat, Dec 13 @ LSU 77-89 Sun, Dec 21 vs C Arkansas Sun, Dec 28 vs CSU Fullerton Sat, Jan 03 vs North Carolina Wed, Jan 07 @ Clemson |
0
SMU Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 3 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0
SMU Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Virginia Tech | 0 Virginia Tech Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 28 @ VCU 68-86 Won Tue, Dec 02 @ South Carolina 86-83 Won Sat, Dec 06 vs George Mason 73-62 Won Thu, Dec 11 vs Western Carolina 96-74 Sun, Dec 14 vs MD Eastern Shore Sat, Dec 20 vs Elon Wed, Dec 31 vs Virginia Sat, Jan 03 @ Wake Forest |
0
Virginia Tech Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 4 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0
Virginia Tech Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 3% |
| Louisville | 0 Louisville Recent Games Won Wed, Nov 26 vs NJIT 104-47 Lost Wed, Dec 03 @ Arkansas 80-89 Won Sat, Dec 06 vs Indiana 87-78 Won Sat, Dec 13 vs Memphis 99-73 Tue, Dec 16 @ Tennessee Sat, Dec 20 vs Montana Tue, Dec 30 @ California Fri, Jan 02 @ Stanford |
0
Louisville Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 5 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0
Louisville Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 4% |
| California | 0 California Recent Games Won Tue, Dec 02 vs Utah 79-72 Won Sat, Dec 06 vs Pacific 67-61 Won Tue, Dec 09 vs Dominican (CA) 93-71 Won Sat, Dec 13 vs NWestrn St 79-70 Fri, Dec 19 vs Morgan St. Sun, Dec 21 vs Columbia Tue, Dec 30 vs Louisville Fri, Jan 02 vs Notre Dame |
0
California Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 6 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0
California Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% |
| Virginia | 0 Virginia Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 28 vs Queens U. 94-69 Won Wed, Dec 03 @ Texas 88-69 Won Sat, Dec 06 vs Dayton 86-73 Won Tue, Dec 09 vs MD Eastern Shore 84-60 Sat, Dec 20 vs Maryland Mon, Dec 22 vs American Wed, Dec 31 @ Virginia Tech Sat, Jan 03 @ N.C. State |
0
Virginia Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 7 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0
Virginia Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 5% |
| Miami | 0 Miami Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 28 @ Georgetwn 78-65 Won Tue, Dec 02 @ Ole Miss 75-66 Won Sat, Dec 06 vs Southern Miss 88-64 Won Sat, Dec 13 vs UL Monroe 104-79 Tue, Dec 16 vs FIU Sun, Dec 21 vs North Florida Tue, Dec 30 vs Pittsburgh Wed, Jan 07 @ Wake Forest |
0
Miami Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 8 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0
Miami Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 6% |
| Notre Dame | 0 Notre Dame Recent Games Won Tue, Dec 02 vs Missouri 76-71 Won Fri, Dec 05 @ TCU 87-85 Won Wed, Dec 10 vs Idaho 80-65 Won Sat, Dec 13 vs Evansville 82-58 Sun, Dec 21 vs Fort Wayne Tue, Dec 30 @ Stanford Fri, Jan 02 @ California Sat, Jan 10 vs Clemson |
0
Notre Dame Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 9 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0
Notre Dame Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 7% |
| Clemson | 0 Clemson Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 28 vs Alabama A&M 92-56 Lost Wed, Dec 03 @ Alabama 84-90 Lost Tue, Dec 09 @ BYU 64-67 Won Sat, Dec 13 vs Mercer 70-63 Tue, Dec 16 vs South Carolina Sun, Dec 21 vs Cincinnati Wed, Dec 31 @ Syracuse Sat, Jan 03 @ Pittsburgh |
0
Clemson Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 10 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0
Clemson Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
4% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 9% |
| Wake Forest | 0 Wake Forest Recent Games Won Tue, Nov 25 vs Campbell 99-51 Won Fri, Nov 28 vs N. Eastern 86-73 Lost Tue, Dec 02 vs Oklahoma 68-86 Won Sat, Dec 06 @ West Virginia 75-66 Sun, Dec 14 vs Queens U. Wed, Dec 17 vs Longwood Sun, Dec 21 vs Vanderbilt Wed, Dec 31 @ N.C. State |
0
Wake Forest Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 11 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0
Wake Forest Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 11% |
| Stanford | 0 Stanford Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 28 @ St. Louis 78-77 Won Mon, Dec 01 vs Portland 94-72 Lost Sun, Dec 07 vs UNLV 74-75 Won Sat, Dec 13 @ San José State 86-82 Wed, Dec 17 vs UT Arlington Sat, Dec 20 @ Colorado Sat, Dec 27 vs CSU Northridge Tue, Dec 30 vs Notre Dame |
0
Stanford Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 12 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0
Stanford Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 12% |
| N.C. State | 0 N.C. State Recent Games Lost Wed, Dec 03 @ Auburn 73-83 Won Sat, Dec 06 vs NC Ashvlle 75-63 Won Wed, Dec 10 vs Liberty 85-45 Lost Sat, Dec 13 vs Kansas 76-77 Wed, Dec 17 vs Texas Southern Sun, Dec 21 vs Ole Miss Wed, Dec 31 vs Wake Forest Sat, Jan 03 vs Virginia |
0
N.C. State Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 13 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0
N.C. State Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 21% |
| Syracuse | 0 Syracuse Recent Games Lost Wed, Nov 26 @ Iowa St. 64-95 Won Tue, Dec 02 vs Tennessee 62-60 Won Thu, Dec 11 vs St. Joseph's 71-63 Lost Sat, Dec 13 vs Hofstra 69-70 Wed, Dec 17 vs Mercyhurst Sat, Dec 20 vs N. Eastern Mon, Dec 22 vs Stonehill Wed, Dec 31 vs Clemson |
0
Syracuse Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 14 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0
Syracuse Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 27% |
| Georgia Tech | 0 Georgia Tech Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 28 @ DePaul 61-75 Lost Sat, Nov 29 @ Drake 74-84 Lost Wed, Dec 03 vs Mississippi St. 73-85 Won Sat, Dec 06 vs Monmouth 79-67 Tue, Dec 16 vs Marist Sat, Dec 20 vs Lafayette Sun, Dec 28 vs Florida A&M Wed, Dec 31 @ Duke |
0
Georgia Tech Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 15 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0
Georgia Tech Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
<1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 40% |
| Florida St. | 0 Florida St. Recent Games Lost Fri, Nov 28 vs Texas A&M 59-95 Lost Tue, Dec 02 vs Georgia 73-107 Lost Sat, Dec 06 @ Houston 67-82 Lost Sat, Dec 13 vs UMass 95-103 Tue, Dec 16 @ Dayton Fri, Dec 19 vs Miss. Valley St. Mon, Dec 22 vs Jack.ville Tue, Dec 30 @ North Carolina |
0
Florida St. Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 16 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0
Florida St. Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
<1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 43% |
| Pittsburgh | 0 Pittsburgh Recent Games Won Fri, Nov 28 vs Ohio St. 67-66 Lost Tue, Dec 02 vs Texas A&M 73-81 Lost Sun, Dec 07 vs Hofstra 73-80 Lost Sat, Dec 13 @ Villanova 61-79 Wed, Dec 17 vs Bingham. Sun, Dec 21 @ Penn State Tue, Dec 30 @ Miami Sat, Jan 03 vs Clemson |
0
Pittsburgh Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 17 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0
Pittsburgh Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
<1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 44% |
| Boston College | 0 Boston College Recent Games Won Wed, Nov 26 vs Harvard 73-60 Lost Wed, Dec 03 vs LSU 69-78 Won Sat, Dec 06 vs New Haven 67-63 Lost Wed, Dec 10 vs UMass 74-76 Mon, Dec 22 vs Fair. Dickinson Sun, Dec 28 vs Le Moyne Sat, Jan 03 @ Georgia Tech Tue, Jan 06 vs N.C. State |
0
Boston College Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 18 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
0
Boston College Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
<1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 59% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 79% | ||
| (15)Georgia Tech | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (17)Pittsburgh | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (16)Florida St. | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (13)N.C. State | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (14)Syracuse | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (12)Stanford | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (11)Wake Forest | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (18)Boston College | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (10)Clemson | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (9)Notre Dame | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (8)Miami | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (7)Virginia | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (6)California | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (5)Louisville | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (4)Virginia Tech | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (3)SMU | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (1)Duke | 0 | 0 | <1% |
| Elimination | 1% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Florida St. (5‑5) |
Home | Tue Dec 30, 7:00 pm | |
| 9 | SMU (9‑2) |
Away | Sat Jan 3, 2:15 pm | |
| 10 | Wake Forest (7‑3) |
Home | Sat Jan 10, 6:00 pm | |
| 11 | Stanford (8‑2) |
Away | Wed Jan 14, 9:00 pm | |
| 11 | California (10‑1) |
Away | Sat Jan 17, 4:00 pm | |
| 12 | Notre Dame (9‑3) |
Home | Wed Jan 21, 7:00 pm | |
| 12 | Virginia (9‑1) |
Away | Sat Jan 24, TBD | |
| 13 | Georgia Tech (6‑4) |
Away | Sat Jan 31, 2:00 pm | |
| 14 | Syracuse (6‑4) |
Home | Mon Feb 2, 7:00 pm | |
| 14 | Duke (10‑0) |
Home | Sat Feb 7, 6:30 pm | |
| 15 | Miami (9‑2) |
Away | Tue Feb 10, 7:00 pm | |
| 15 | Pittsburgh (5‑6) |
Home | Sat Feb 14, 2:00 pm | |
| 16 | N.C. State (7‑4) |
Away | Tue Feb 17, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | Syracuse (6‑4) |
Away | Sat Feb 21, 1:00 pm | |
| 17 | Louisville (9‑1) |
Home | Mon Feb 23, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Virginia Tech (9‑2) |
Home | Sat Feb 28, TBD | |
| 18 | Clemson (8‑3) |
Home | Tue Mar 3, 7:00 pm | |
| 18 | Duke (10‑0) |
Away | Sat Mar 7, 6:30 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central Arkansas (4‑7) |
Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun | 94‑54 | Home | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | Kansas (8‑3) |
Big 12Big 12 | 87‑74 | Home | Fri Nov 7 |
| 2 | Radford (4‑7) |
Big SouthBig South | 89‑74 | Home | Tue Nov 11 |
| 2 | N.C. Central (3‑9) |
MideasternMid-Eastern | 97‑53 | Home | Fri Nov 14 |
| 3 | Navy (6‑5) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 73‑61 | Home | Tue Nov 18, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | St. BonaventureSt. Bonavnt (10‑2) |
Atlantic 10Atl. 10 | 85‑70 | Home | Tue Nov 25, 6:00 pm |
| 4 | Michigan St. (9‑1) |
Big 10Big 10 | 58‑74 | Home | Thu Nov 27, 4:30 pm |
| 5 | Kentucky (7‑4) |
SECSEC | 67‑64 | Away | Tue Dec 2, 9:30 pm |
| 5 | Georgetown (7‑3) |
Big EastBig East | 81‑61 | Home | Sun Dec 7, 5:00 pm |
| 6 | S. Carolina Upstate (6‑6) |
Big SouthBig South | 80‑62 | Home | Sat Dec 13, 2:00 pm |
| 7 | E. Tennessee St. (8‑3) |
SouthernSouthern | Home | Tue Dec 16, 8:00 pm | |
| 7 | Ohio St. (7‑2) |
Big 10Big 10 | Home | Sat Dec 20, 3:00 pm | |
| 8 | E. Carolina (3‑7) |
American AthleticAm. Athletic | Home | Mon Dec 22, 8:00 pm |