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Mon Feb 26 10:30 pm

ACC Basketball - Week 17 of 18

North Carolina Tar Heels Standings

Where are the North Carolina Tar Heels going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The North Carolina standings table presents the probabilities of the Tar Heels winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

ACC Basketball Standings
Record Rcrd Regular Season Finish
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L GPi
Games Played
20 game season
1*
First and Second
Round Byes
2*
First and Second
Round Byes
3*
First and Second
Round Byes
4*
First and Second
Round Byes
5**
First Round Bye
6**
First Round Bye
7**
First Round Bye
8**
First Round Bye
9**
First Round Bye
10 11 12 13 14 15
North Carolina 14i
North Carolina Recent Games

Lost Tue, Feb 13 @  Syracuse        79-86 
Won  Sat, Feb 17 vs Virginia Tech   96-81 
Won  Sat, Feb 24 @  Virginia        54-44 
Won  Mon, Feb 26 vs Miami           75-71 
     Sat, Mar 02 vs N.C. State     
     Tue, Mar 05 vs Notre Dame     
     Sat, Mar 09 @  Duke           

3 17 90% 10% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Duke 12
Duke Recent Games

Won  Mon, Feb 12 vs Wake Forest     77-69 
Won  Sat, Feb 17 @  Florida St.     76-67 
Won  Wed, Feb 21 @  Miami           84-55 
Lost Sat, Feb 24 @  Wake Forest     79-83 
     Wed, Feb 28 vs Louisville     
     Sat, Mar 02 vs Virginia       
     Mon, Mar 04 @  N.C. State     
     Sat, Mar 09 vs North Carolina 

4 16 10% 70% 13% 6% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Virginia 11
Virginia Recent Games

Lost Tue, Feb 13 vs Pittsburgh      63-74 
Won  Sat, Feb 17 vs Wake Forest     49-47 
Lost Mon, Feb 19 @  Virginia Tech   41-75 
Lost Sat, Feb 24 vs North Carolina  44-54 
     Wed, Feb 28 @  Boston College 
     Sat, Mar 02 @  Duke           
     Sat, Mar 09 vs Georgia Tech   

6 17 X 17% 33% 30% 15% 5% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Wake Forest 10
Wake Forest Recent Games

Lost Mon, Feb 12 @  Duke            69-77 
Lost Sat, Feb 17 @  Virginia        47-49 
Won  Tue, Feb 20 vs Pittsburgh      91-58 
Won  Sat, Feb 24 vs Duke            83-79 
     Tue, Feb 27 @  Notre Dame     
     Sat, Mar 02 @  Virginia Tech  
     Tue, Mar 05 vs Georgia Tech   
     Sat, Mar 09 vs Clemson        

6 16 X 2% 36% 22% 20% 12% 5% 2% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
Pittsburgh 9
Pittsburgh Recent Games

Won  Tue, Feb 13 @  Virginia        74-63 
Won  Sat, Feb 17 vs Louisville      86-59 
Lost Tue, Feb 20 @  Wake Forest     58-91 
Won  Sat, Feb 24 vs Virginia Tech   79-64 
     Tue, Feb 27 @  Clemson        
     Sat, Mar 02 @  Boston College 
     Tue, Mar 05 vs Florida St.    
     Sat, Mar 09 vs N.C. State     

7 16 X <1% 7% 8% 10% 18% 18% 20% 13% 5% 2% ^ ^ ^ ^
N.C. State 9
N.C. State Recent Games

Lost Sat, Feb 10 @  Wake Forest     79-83 
Won  Sat, Feb 17 @  Clemson         78-77 
Lost Tue, Feb 20 vs Syracuse        83-87 
Won  Sat, Feb 24 vs Boston College  81-70 
     Tue, Feb 27 @  Florida St.    
     Sat, Mar 02 @  North Carolina 
     Mon, Mar 04 vs Duke           
     Sat, Mar 09 @  Pittsburgh     

7 16 X <1% 3% 5% 7% 10% 15% 20% 21% 18% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Clemson 9
Clemson Recent Games

Won  Wed, Feb 14 vs Miami           77-60 
Lost Sat, Feb 17 vs N.C. State      77-78 
Won  Wed, Feb 21 @  Georgia Tech    81-57 
Won  Sat, Feb 24 vs Florida St.     74-63 
     Tue, Feb 27 vs Pittsburgh     
     Sat, Mar 02 @  Notre Dame     
     Tue, Mar 05 vs Syracuse       
     Sat, Mar 09 @  Wake Forest    

7 16 X <1% 8% 24% 25% 18% 12% 7% 4% 2% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Syracuse 9
Syracuse Recent Games

Won  Tue, Feb 13 vs North Carolina  86-79 
Lost Sat, Feb 17 @  Georgia Tech    60-65 
Won  Tue, Feb 20 @  N.C. State      87-83 
Won  Sat, Feb 24 vs Notre Dame      88-85 
     Tue, Feb 27 vs Virginia Tech  
     Sat, Mar 02 @  Louisville     
     Tue, Mar 05 @  Clemson        

8 17 X <1% <1% 4% 15% 22% 26% 16% 12% 6% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
Florida St. 8
Florida St. Recent Games

Lost Tue, Feb 13 @  Virginia Tech   75-83 
Lost Sat, Feb 17 vs Duke            67-76 
Won  Tue, Feb 20 vs Boston College  84-76 
Lost Sat, Feb 24 @  Clemson         63-74 
     Tue, Feb 27 vs N.C. State     
     Sat, Mar 02 @  Georgia Tech   
     Tue, Mar 05 @  Pittsburgh     
     Sat, Mar 09 vs Miami          

8 16 X X <1% 1% 6% 11% 16% 19% 24% 18% 3% <1% <1% ^ ^
Virginia Tech 7
Virginia Tech Recent Games

Won  Tue, Feb 13 vs Florida St.     83-75 
Lost Sat, Feb 17 @  North Carolina  81-96 
Won  Mon, Feb 19 vs Virginia        75-41 
Lost Sat, Feb 24 @  Pittsburgh      64-79 
     Tue, Feb 27 @  Syracuse       
     Sat, Mar 02 vs Wake Forest    
     Tue, Mar 05 @  Louisville     
     Sat, Mar 09 vs Notre Dame     

9 16 X X <1% <1% 2% 4% 8% 14% 23% 34% 11% 3% 1% <1% <1%
Boston College 6
Boston College Recent Games

Won  Tue, Feb 13 vs Louisville      89-77 
Won  Sat, Feb 17 vs Miami           85-77 
Lost Tue, Feb 20 @  Florida St.     76-84 
Lost Sat, Feb 24 @  N.C. State      70-81 
     Wed, Feb 28 vs Virginia       
     Sat, Mar 02 vs Pittsburgh     
     Wed, Mar 06 @  Miami          
     Sat, Mar 09 @  Louisville     

10 16 X X X X X X <1% 1% 4% 12% 57% 23% 3% <1% <1%
Miami 6
Miami Recent Games

Lost Sat, Feb 17 @  Boston College  77-85 
Lost Wed, Feb 21 vs Duke            55-84 
Lost Sat, Feb 24 vs Georgia Tech    76-80 
Lost Mon, Feb 26 @  North Carolina  71-75 
     Wed, Mar 06 vs Boston College 
     Sat, Mar 09 @  Florida St.    

12 18 X X X X X X X X <1% 4% 22% 46% 23% 5% <1%
Notre Dame 5
Notre Dame Recent Games

Won  Sat, Feb 10 vs Virginia Tech   74-66 
Won  Wed, Feb 14 vs Georgia Tech    58-55 
Won  Wed, Feb 21 @  Louisville      72-50 
Lost Sat, Feb 24 @  Syracuse        85-88 
     Tue, Feb 27 vs Wake Forest    
     Sat, Mar 02 vs Clemson        
     Tue, Mar 05 @  North Carolina 
     Sat, Mar 09 @  Virginia Tech  

11 16 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 7% 52% 37% 1%
Georgia Tech 5
Georgia Tech Recent Games

Lost Wed, Feb 14 @  Notre Dame      55-58 
Won  Sat, Feb 17 vs Syracuse        65-60 
Lost Wed, Feb 21 vs Clemson         57-81 
Won  Sat, Feb 24 @  Miami           80-76 
     Sat, Mar 02 vs Florida St.    
     Tue, Mar 05 @  Wake Forest    
     Sat, Mar 09 @  Virginia       

12 17 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 20% 20% 51% 8%
Louisville 3
Louisville Recent Games

Won  Sat, Feb 10 vs Georgia Tech    79-67 
Lost Tue, Feb 13 @  Boston College  77-89 
Lost Sat, Feb 17 @  Pittsburgh      59-86 
Lost Wed, Feb 21 vs Notre Dame      50-72 
     Wed, Feb 28 @  Duke           
     Sat, Mar 02 vs Syracuse       
     Tue, Mar 05 vs Virginia Tech  
     Sat, Mar 09 vs Boston College 

13 16 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% 1% 1% 7% 91%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
  • ** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament


(1) Tar Heels 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Probability
Opponent W L
Bye 100%
Elimination X



Tar Heels Conference Schedule
Current Week 17
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
4 Florida St.
(14‑13)
78‑70 Home Sat Dec 2, 2:00 pm
9 Pittsburgh
(18‑9)
70‑57 Away Tue Jan 2, 7:00 pm
9 Clemson
(19‑8)
65‑55 Away Sat Jan 6, 12:00 pm
10 N.C. State
(17‑10)
67‑54 Away Wed Jan 10, 8:00 pm
10 Syracuse
(18‑10)
103‑67 Home Sat Jan 13, 1:00 pm
11 Louisville
(8‑19)
86‑70 Home Wed Jan 17, 9:00 pm
11 Boston College
(15‑12)
76‑66 Away Sat Jan 20, 2:15 pm
12 Wake Forest
(18‑9)
85‑64 Home Mon Jan 22, 7:00 pm
12 Florida St.
(14‑13)
75‑68 Away Sat Jan 27, 2:00 pm
13 Georgia Tech
(12‑16)
73‑74 Away Tue Jan 30, 7:00 pm
13 Duke
(21‑6)
93‑84 Home Sat Feb 3, 6:30 pm
14 Clemson
(19‑8)
76‑80 Home Tue Feb 6, 7:00 pm
14 Miami
(15‑14)
75‑72 Away Sat Feb 10, 4:00 pm
15 Syracuse
(18‑10)
79‑86 Away Tue Feb 13, 7:00 pm
15 Virginia Tech
(15‑12)
96‑81 Home Sat Feb 17, 2:00 pm
16 Virginia
(20‑8)
54‑44 Away Sat Feb 24, 4:00 pm
17 Miami
(15‑14)
75‑71 Home Mon Feb 26, 7:00 pm
17 N.C. State
(17‑10)
  Home Sat Mar 2, 4:00 pm
18 Notre Dame
(10‑17)
  Home Tue Mar 5, 7:00 pm
18 Duke
(21‑6)
  Away Sat Mar 9, 6:30 pm


Tar Heels Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 Radford
(15‑14)
Big SouthBig South 86‑70 Home Mon Nov 6, 7:00 pm
1 Lehigh
(12‑15)
Patriot LeaguePatriot League 90‑68 Home Sun Nov 12, 2:00 pm
2 UC Riverside
(13‑16)
Big WestBig West 77‑52 Home Fri Nov 17, 8:00 pm
3 Northern Iowa
(16‑13)
Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley 91‑69 Home Wed Nov 22, 12:00 pm
3 Villanova
(15‑12)
Big EastBig East 81‑83 Home Thu Nov 23, 2:30 pm
3 Arkansas
(14‑13)
SECSEC 87‑72 Home Fri Nov 24, 1:00 pm
4 Tennessee
(21‑6)
SECSEC 100‑92 Home Wed Nov 29, 7:15 pm
5 UConn
(25‑3)
Big EastBig East 76‑87 Away Tue Dec 5, 9:00 pm
6 Kentucky
(19‑8)
SECSEC 83‑87 Away Sat Dec 16, 5:30 pm
7 Oklahoma
(19‑8)
Big 12Big 12 81‑69 Away Wed Dec 20, 9:00 pm
8 Charleston Southern
(9‑18)
Big SouthBig South 105‑60 Home Fri Dec 29, 8:00 pm