Where are the North Carolina Tar Heels going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The North Carolina standings table presents the probabilities of the Tar Heels winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
Li Schedule Content Number of Loses ----- Hover/Touch Content Remaining Games Venue |
GPi Schedule Content Games Played 20 game season ----- Hover/Touch Content Two-Team Tiebreaker Status |
1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3* First and Second Round Byes |
4* First and Second Round Byes |
5** First Round Bye |
6** First Round Bye |
7** First Round Bye |
8** First Round Bye |
9** First Round Bye |
10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | NT |
| Duke | 19i Duke Recent Games Won Tue, Feb 25 @ Miami 97-60 Won Sat, Mar 01 vs Florida St. 100-65 Won Mon, Mar 03 vs Wake Forest 93-60 Won Sat, Mar 08 @ North Carolina 82-69 |
1i
Duke Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 1 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
20i
Duke Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Louisville | 18 Louisville Recent Games Won Tue, Feb 25 @ Virginia Tech 71-66 Won Sat, Mar 01 vs Pittsburgh 79-68 Won Wed, Mar 05 vs California 85-68 Won Sat, Mar 08 vs Stanford 68-48 |
2
Louisville Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 2 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
20
Louisville Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Clemson | 18 Clemson Recent Games Won Wed, Feb 26 vs Notre Dame 83-68 Won Sat, Mar 01 @ Virginia 71-58 Won Wed, Mar 05 @ Boston College 78-69 Won Sat, Mar 08 vs Virginia Tech 65-47 |
2
Clemson Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 3 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
20
Clemson Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
X | X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Wake Forest | 13 Wake Forest Recent Games Lost Wed, Feb 26 vs Virginia 75-83 Won Sat, Mar 01 vs Notre Dame 74-71 Lost Mon, Mar 03 @ Duke 60-93 Won Sat, Mar 08 vs Georgia Tech 69-43 |
7
Wake Forest Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 4 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
20
Wake Forest Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| North Carolina | 13 North Carolina Recent Games Won Mon, Feb 24 @ Florida St. 96-85 Won Sat, Mar 01 vs Miami 92-73 Won Tue, Mar 04 @ Virginia Tech 91-59 Lost Sat, Mar 08 vs Duke 69-82 |
7
North Carolina Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 5 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
20
North Carolina Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| SMU | 13 SMU Recent Games Won Wed, Feb 26 @ California 81-77 Lost Sat, Mar 01 @ Stanford 68-73 Won Tue, Mar 04 vs Syracuse 77-75 Lost Sat, Mar 08 @ Florida St. 69-76 |
7
SMU Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 6 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
20
SMU Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Stanford | 11 Stanford Recent Games Won Wed, Feb 26 vs Boston College 78-60 Won Sat, Mar 01 vs SMU 73-68 Lost Wed, Mar 05 @ Notre Dame 54-56 Lost Sat, Mar 08 @ Louisville 48-68 |
9
Stanford Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 7 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
20
Stanford Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Georgia Tech | 10 Georgia Tech Recent Games Won Tue, Feb 25 @ Pittsburgh 73-67 Won Sat, Mar 01 vs N.C. State 87-62 Won Tue, Mar 04 vs Miami 89-74 Lost Sat, Mar 08 @ Wake Forest 43-69 |
10
Georgia Tech Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 8 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
20
Georgia Tech Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Virginia | 8 Virginia Recent Games Won Wed, Feb 26 @ Wake Forest 83-75 Lost Sat, Mar 01 vs Clemson 58-71 Won Tue, Mar 04 vs Florida St. 60-57 Lost Sat, Mar 08 @ Syracuse 70-84 |
12
Virginia Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 9 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
20
Virginia Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Virginia Tech | 8 Virginia Tech Recent Games Lost Tue, Feb 25 vs Louisville 66-71 Won Sat, Mar 01 vs Syracuse 101-95 Lost Tue, Mar 04 vs North Carolina 59-91 Lost Sat, Mar 08 @ Clemson 47-65 |
12
Virginia Tech Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 10 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
20
Virginia Tech Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Florida St. | 8 Florida St. Recent Games Lost Mon, Feb 24 vs North Carolina 85-96 Lost Sat, Mar 01 @ Duke 65-100 Lost Tue, Mar 04 @ Virginia 57-60 Won Sat, Mar 08 vs SMU 76-69 |
12
Florida St. Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 11 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
20
Florida St. Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Notre Dame | 8 Notre Dame Recent Games Lost Wed, Feb 26 @ Clemson 68-83 Lost Sat, Mar 01 @ Wake Forest 71-74 Won Wed, Mar 05 vs Stanford 56-54 Won Sat, Mar 08 vs California 112-110 |
12
Notre Dame Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 12 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
20
Notre Dame Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Pittsburgh | 8 Pittsburgh Recent Games Lost Tue, Feb 25 vs Georgia Tech 67-73 Lost Sat, Mar 01 @ Louisville 68-79 Lost Wed, Mar 05 @ N.C. State 63-71 Won Sat, Mar 08 vs Boston College 93-67 |
12
Pittsburgh Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 13 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
20
Pittsburgh Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Syracuse | 7 Syracuse Recent Games Won Wed, Feb 26 vs N.C. State 74-60 Lost Sat, Mar 01 @ Virginia Tech 95-101 Lost Tue, Mar 04 @ SMU 75-77 Won Sat, Mar 08 vs Virginia 84-70 |
13
Syracuse Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 14 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
20
Syracuse Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ^ |
| California | 6 California Recent Games Lost Wed, Feb 26 vs SMU 77-81 Won Sat, Mar 01 vs Boston College 82-71 Lost Wed, Mar 05 @ Louisville 68-85 Lost Sat, Mar 08 @ Notre Dame 110-112 |
14
California Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 15 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
20
California Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ |
| N.C. State | 5 N.C. State Recent Games Lost Wed, Feb 26 @ Syracuse 60-74 Lost Sat, Mar 01 @ Georgia Tech 62-87 Won Wed, Mar 05 vs Pittsburgh 71-63 Lost Sat, Mar 08 @ Miami 70-72 |
15
N.C. State Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 16 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
20
N.C. State Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Boston College | 4 Boston College Recent Games Lost Wed, Feb 26 @ Stanford 60-78 Lost Sat, Mar 01 @ California 71-82 Lost Wed, Mar 05 vs Clemson 69-78 Lost Sat, Mar 08 @ Pittsburgh 67-93 |
16
Boston College Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 17 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
20
Boston College Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Miami | 3 Miami Recent Games Lost Tue, Feb 25 vs Duke 60-97 Lost Sat, Mar 01 @ North Carolina 73-92 Lost Tue, Mar 04 @ Georgia Tech 74-89 Won Sat, Mar 08 vs N.C. State 72-70 |
17
Miami Remaining Games Venue SOS - 50% SOS Rank - 18 All Home Most Home Equal Most Away All Away |
20
Miami Two-Team Tiebreaker Status Has Won Currently Ahead Currently Equal Currently Behind Has Lost more infoi |
X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 100% | ||
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Georgia Tech (17‑16) |
68‑65 | Home | Sat Dec 7, 2:00 pm |
| 9 | Louisville (27‑7) |
70‑83 | Away | Wed Jan 1, 6:00 pm |
| 9 | Notre Dame (15‑18) |
74‑73 | Away | Sat Jan 4, 12:00 pm |
| 10 | SMU (23‑10) |
82‑67 | Home | Tue Jan 7, 9:00 pm |
| 10 | N.C. State (12‑19) |
63‑61 | Away | Sat Jan 11, 4:00 pm |
| 11 | California (14‑19) |
79‑53 | Home | Wed Jan 15, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | Stanford (20‑13) |
71‑72 | Home | Sat Jan 18, 2:15 pm |
| 12 | Wake Forest (21‑11) |
66‑67 | Away | Tue Jan 21, 9:00 pm |
| 12 | Boston College (12‑19) |
102‑96 (OT) | Home | Sat Jan 25, 2:15 pm |
| 13 | Pittsburgh (17‑15) |
65‑73 | Away | Tue Jan 28, 9:00 pm |
| 13 | Duke (31‑3) |
70‑87 | Away | Sat Feb 1, 6:30 pm |
| 14 | Pittsburgh (17‑15) |
67‑66 | Home | Sat Feb 8, 4:00 pm |
| 15 | Clemson (27‑6) |
65‑85 | Away | Mon Feb 10, 7:00 pm |
| 15 | Syracuse (14‑19) |
88‑82 | Away | Sat Feb 15, 6:00 pm |
| 16 | N.C. State (12‑19) |
97‑73 | Home | Wed Feb 19, 7:00 pm |
| 16 | Virginia (15‑17) |
81‑66 | Home | Sat Feb 22, 4:00 pm |
| 17 | Florida St. (17‑15) |
96‑85 | Away | Mon Feb 24, 7:00 pm |
| 17 | Miami (7‑24) |
92‑73 | Home | Sat Mar 1, 12:00 pm |
| 18 | Virginia Tech (13‑19) |
91‑59 | Away | Tue Mar 4, 7:00 pm |
| 18 | Duke (31‑3) |
69‑82 | Home | Sat Mar 8, 6:30 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elon (17‑15) |
CoastalCoastal | 90‑76 | Home | Mon Nov 4, 9:00 pm |
| 1 | Kansas (21‑12) |
Big 12Big 12 | 89‑92 | Away | Fri Nov 8, 7:00 pm |
| 2 | American (22‑12) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 107‑55 | Home | Fri Nov 15, 8:00 pm |
| 3 | Hawai'i (15‑16) |
Big WestBig West | 87‑69 | Away | Sat Nov 23, 12:30 am |
| 4 | Dayton (22‑10) |
Atlantic 10Atl. 10 | 92‑90 | Home | Mon Nov 25, 11:30 pm |
| 4 | Auburn (28‑5) |
SECSEC | 72‑85 | Home | Tue Nov 26, 11:00 pm |
| 4 | Michigan St. (27‑6) |
Big 10Big 10 | 91‑94 (OT) | Home | Wed Nov 27, 9:30 pm |
| 5 | Alabama (25‑8) |
SECSEC | 79‑94 | Home | Wed Dec 4, 7:15 pm |
| 6 | La Salle (14‑18) |
Atlantic 10Atl. 10 | 93‑67 | Home | Sat Dec 14, 4:00 pm |
| 7 | Florida (29‑4) |
SECSEC | 84‑90 | Home | Tue Dec 17, 7:00 pm |
| 7 | UCLA (22‑10) |
Big 10Big 10 | 76‑74 | Away | Sat Dec 21, 3:00 pm |
| 8 | Campbell (15‑17) |
CoastalCoastal | 97‑81 | Home | Sun Dec 29, 8:00 pm |