Where are the North Carolina Tar Heels going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The North Carolina standings table presents the probabilities of the Tar Heels winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | W | L | 1* | 2* | 3* | 4* | 5** | 6** | 7** | 8** | 9** | 10** | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | NT |
| Florida St. | 16 | 4 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Virginia | 15 | 5 | X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Louisville | 15 | 5 | X | X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Duke | 15 | 5 | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| N.C. State | 10 | 10 | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Syracuse | 10 | 10 | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Notre Dame | 10 | 10 | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Clemson | 9 | 11 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Miami | 7 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Boston College | 7 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Virginia Tech | 7 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Wake Forest | 6 | 14 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Pittsburgh | 6 | 14 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ | ^ |
| North Carolina | 6 | 14 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% | ^ |
| Georgia Tech | 11 | 9 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Notre Dame (20‑12) |
76‑65 | Home | Wed Nov 6, 7:00 pm |
| 5 | Virginia (23‑7) |
47‑56 | Away | Sun Dec 8, 4:00 pm |
| 9 | Georgia Tech (17‑14) |
83‑96 | Home | Sat Jan 4, 6:00 pm |
| 10 | Pittsburgh (16‑17) |
65‑73 | Home | Wed Jan 8, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | Clemson (16‑15) |
76‑79 (OT) | Home | Sat Jan 11, 4:30 pm |
| 11 | Pittsburgh (16‑17) |
52‑66 | Away | Sat Jan 18, 12:00 pm |
| 12 | Virginia Tech (16‑16) |
77‑79 (OT) | Away | Wed Jan 22, 8:00 pm |
| 12 | Miami (15‑16) |
94‑71 | Home | Sat Jan 25, 12:00 pm |
| 13 | N.C. State (20‑12) |
75‑65 | Away | Mon Jan 27, 7:00 pm |
| 13 | Boston College (13‑19) |
70‑71 | Home | Sat Feb 1, 6:00 pm |
| 14 | Florida St. (26‑5) |
59‑65 | Away | Mon Feb 3, 7:00 pm |
| 14 | Duke (25‑6) |
96‑98 (OT) | Home | Sat Feb 8, 6:00 pm |
| 15 | Wake Forest (13‑18) |
57‑74 | Away | Tue Feb 11, 8:00 pm |
| 15 | Virginia (23‑7) |
62‑64 | Home | Sat Feb 15, 8:00 pm |
| 16 | Notre Dame (20‑12) |
76‑77 | Away | Mon Feb 17, 7:00 pm |
| 16 | Louisville (24‑7) |
55‑72 | Away | Sat Feb 22, 4:00 pm |
| 17 | N.C. State (20‑12) |
85‑79 | Home | Tue Feb 25, 9:00 pm |
| 17 | Syracuse (18‑14) |
92‑79 | Away | Sat Feb 29, 4:00 pm |
| 18 | Wake Forest (13‑18) |
93‑83 | Home | Tue Mar 3, 7:00 pm |
| 18 | Duke (25‑6) |
76‑89 | Away | Sat Mar 7, 6:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | N.C. Wilmington (10‑22) |
Colonial AthleticColonial Athl. | 78‑62 | Away | Fri Nov 8, 7:00 pm |
| 2 | Gardner-WebbGardnr-Wbb (16‑16) |
Big SouthBig South | 77‑61 | Home | Fri Nov 15, 9:00 pm |
| 3 | Elon (12‑21) |
Colonial AthleticColonial Athl. | 75‑61 | Home | Wed Nov 20, 8:30 pm |
| 4 | Alabama (16‑15) |
SECSEC | 76‑67 | Away | Wed Nov 27, 2:30 pm |
| 4 | Michigan (19‑12) |
Big 10Big 10 | 64‑73 | Away | Thu Nov 28, 1:30 pm |
| 4 | Oregon (24‑7) |
PAC 12PAC 12 | 78‑74 | Home | Fri Nov 29 |
| 5 | Ohio St. (21‑10) |
Big 10Big 10 | 49‑74 | Home | Wed Dec 4, 9:30 pm |
| 6 | Wofford (19‑16) |
SouthernSouthern | 64‑68 | Home | Sun Dec 15, 4:00 pm |
| 7 | Gonzaga (31‑2) |
West CoastWest Coast | 81‑94 | Away | Wed Dec 18, 9:00 pm |
| 7 | UCLA (19‑12) |
PAC 12PAC 12 | 74‑64 | Home | Sat Dec 21, 3:00 pm |
| 9 | Yale (23‑7) |
Ivy LeagueIvy League | 70‑67 | Home | Mon Dec 30, 7:00 pm |